AC Milan vs Frosinone Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 12

22 Nov 2026, 17:30

Post on X

Frosinone

Away

AI call Frosinone or draw

21%

29%

50%

Home Win Draw Away Win

AC Milan vs Frosinone prediction: Sportiko gives AC Milan a 21% chance of winning, Frosinone 50% and the draw 29%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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AC Milan

WLDDW

Frosinone

WDWDW

Last 3 meetings AC Milan · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

AC Milan will face Frosinone in a Serie A clash on November 22, 2026. Milan has historically demonstrated a strong performance against lower-ranked teams, with a high win percentage at home. Frosinone, struggling with consistency, will need to improve their defensive record, having conceded an average of two goals per match in recent outings. Key players like Milan’s forward line will likely exploit Frosinone's defensive vulnerabilities, aiming for an early advantage. Overall, Milan is expected to dominate possession and create more goal-scoring opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Frosinone goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11	12	10	5	2	1
1	7	14	9	5	2	1
2	4	6	4	2	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ AC Milan goals · most likely 1–1 (13.9%)

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Players in form

AC Milan

Diego Moreira 3 gls

A. Rabiot 2 gls

Frosinone

A. Raimondo 4 gls

G. Kvernadze 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

50%

Draw

29%

Home Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

50%

Draw

29%

Home Win

21%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

70% Away (No Draw) 30% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Away Win by 2+ 8% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

50% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 21% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.6%	12.0%	10.3%	5.2%	2.0%
1	6.5%	13.9%	9.3%	4.7%	1.8%
2	3.7%	5.5%	4.2%	2.1%	0.8%
3	1.1%	1.7%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AC Milan	Draw	Frosinone
AC Milan	11.7%	4.0%	2.2%
Draw	8.9%	19.2%	18.5%
Frosinone	1.2%	4.0%	30.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

34%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: AC Milan vs Frosinone

3 AC Milan Wins

0 Draws

0 Frosinone Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 Feb 2024	Frosinone	2 - 3	AC Milan
02 Dec 2023	AC Milan	3 - 1	Frosinone
19 May 2019	AC Milan	2 - 0	Frosinone

See all 6 meetings — Premium

AC Milan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Lecce	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 2
12 Sep	A Lazio	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Juventus	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	H Venezia	W	2 - 0

Frosinone — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Como	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	A Genoa	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Venezia	W	3 - 2
02 Sep	A Sassuolo	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	A Fiorentina	W	0 - 3

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.