Frosinone vs Lecce Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 9

28 Oct 2026, 17:30

Post on X

Lecce

Away

Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone

AI call Frosinone to win or draw

66%

23%

11%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Frosinone vs Lecce prediction: Sportiko gives Frosinone a 66% chance of winning, Lecce 11% and the draw 23%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Frosinone

WDWDW

Lecce

LWLLW

Last 2 meetings Frosinone · 0W 1D 1L

Match summary

Frosinone will face Lecce in a Serie A clash, both teams aiming to secure crucial points. Historically, Frosinone has struggled defensively, allowing 1.8 goals per match, while Lecce has shown a more balanced approach, averaging 1.4 goals scored per game. Lecce's midfield control will be key, as they rank higher in possession percentage (52%) compared to Frosinone's 47%. Expect a tactical battle where Lecce might leverage set pieces, given Frosinone's vulnerability in aerial duels. The outcome will heavily depend on Frosinone's ability to tighten their defense and convert chances.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lecce goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	4	2
1	14	11	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	9	6	2
4	4	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Frosinone goals · most likely 2–0 (14.3%)

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Players in form

Frosinone

A. Raimondo 4 gls

G. Kvernadze 3 gls

Lecce

L. Coulibaly 2 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

66%

Draw

23%

Away Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

66%

Draw

23%

Away Win

11%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

86% Home (No Draw) 14% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

41% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

66% Home Scores More 23% Equal Goals 11% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.0%	3.8%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
1	13.6%	11.0%	3.2%	0.7%	0.1%
2	14.3%	9.3%	3.0%	0.7%	0.1%
3	9.2%	6.0%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%
4	4.4%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Frosinone	Draw	Lecce
Frosinone	43.0%	3.0%	0.6%
Draw	22.2%	15.5%	4.7%
Lecce	2.2%	3.0%	5.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

71%

2.5

29%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

52%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Frosinone vs Lecce

0 Frosinone Wins

1 Draws

1 Lecce Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 Mar 2024	Frosinone	1 - 1	Lecce
16 Dec 2023	Lecce	2 - 1	Frosinone

Frosinone — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Como	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	A Genoa	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Venezia	W	3 - 2
02 Sep	A Sassuolo	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	A Fiorentina	W	0 - 3

Lecce — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A AC Milan	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Monza	W	3 - 2
07 Sep	A Cagliari	L	1 - 0
31 Aug	H AS Roma	L	0 - 4
23 Aug	A Venezia	W	0 - 2

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.