Genoa vs Venezia Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 8

25 Oct 2026, 17:30

Post on X

Venezia

Away

AI call Genoa to win or draw

69%

22%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Genoa vs Venezia prediction: Sportiko gives Genoa a 69% chance of winning, Venezia 9% and the draw 22%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 15.5%

Both teams to score

38%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Genoa

LWDLL

Venezia

LLLLL

Last 3 meetings Genoa · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Genoa faces Venezia in a Serie A clash, both teams historically battling for mid-table stability. Genoa's recent form has shown a mix of resilience and vulnerability, with a defensive record that has been inconsistent. Venezia, meanwhile, has struggled to find the net, averaging just 0.8 goals per match this season. Set pieces could be a crucial factor, as both teams have shown weaknesses in defending them. Expect a closely contested match, with tactical discipline and set-piece execution likely to determine the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

69%

45%

Draw

22%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Venezia goals →

	0	1	2
0	9	3	1
1	15	10	3
2	16	9	3
3	10	6	2
4	5	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Genoa goals · most likely 2–0 (15.5%)

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

22%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

22%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

89% Home (No Draw) 11% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

43% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

69% Home Scores More 22% Equal Goals 9% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.4%	3.5%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%
1	14.8%	10.3%	2.6%	0.5%	0.1%
2	15.5%	8.9%	2.5%	0.5%	0.1%
3	10.1%	5.8%	1.6%	0.3%	0.0%
4	4.9%	2.8%	0.8%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

75%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Genoa	Draw	Venezia
Genoa	43.9%	2.4%	0.4%
Draw	23.8%	15.2%	3.8%
Venezia	2.3%	3.0%	5.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

43%

1.5

57%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

14%

28%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

57%

32%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Genoa vs Venezia

1 Genoa Wins

1 Draws

1 Venezia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 Feb 2025	Genoa	2 - 0	Venezia
21 Sep 2024	Venezia	2 - 0	Genoa
20 Feb 2022	Venezia	1 - 1	Genoa

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Genoa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Parma	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	H Sudtirol	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Frosinone	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	H Como	L	1 - 4
30 Aug	A Lazio	L	1 - 0

Venezia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Lazio	L	0 - 2
11 Sep	H Fiorentina	L	2 - 4
06 Sep	A Frosinone	L	3 - 2
02 Sep	A Udinese	L	2 - 1
28 Aug	A AC Milan	L	2 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.