Frosinone vs Sassuolo Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 7

Post on X

Sassuolo

Away

Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone

AI call Too close to call

39%

26%

35%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Frosinone vs Sassuolo prediction: Sportiko gives Frosinone a 39% chance of winning, Sassuolo 35% and the draw 26%. Last updated 16 Oct 2026, 20:42.

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Under 4.5 76%
1st Half Over 0.5 75%

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Match Report

Frosinone produced a dramatic home victory over Sassuolo in a breathless Serie A encounter that saw five goals scored inside the opening 37 minutes. Giacomo Calò opened the scoring in the ninth minute, only for Domenico Berardi to level quickly before a VAR cancellation denied Kvernadze. Antonio Raimondo then took control, netting twice in quick succession in the 26th and 30th minutes to put Frosinone in command, before Kristian Thorstvedt pulled one back for Sassuolo on 37 minutes to make it 3–2 at the break.

The second half was more measured but Raimondo settled the contest with his hat-trick goal just past the hour mark, completing a fine individual performance before being withdrawn at full-time. Despite Sassuolo enjoying more of the ball at 42% possession and generating a superior expected goals figure of 2.12 to Frosinone's 1.94, the hosts were ruthlessly clinical in front of goal.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Frosinone win as the most likely outcome at 39%, though even that cautious call felt uncertain given how the match twisted and turned throughout.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Giacomo Calò

9' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 15'

Domenico Berardi assist: Darryl Bakola

Giorgi Kvernadze Goal cancelled

17' 🖵

Antonio Raimondo

26' ⚽ 2–1

Antonio Raimondo

30' ⚽ 3–1

⚽ 3–2 37'

Kristian Thorstvedt

HT 3–2

Antonio Raimondo

57' ⚽ 4–2

⇄ 58'

Kristian Thorstvedt ⇄ Kieron Bowie

⇄ 67'

Sebastiano Esposito ⇄ Benjamín Domínguez

⇄ 68'

Josh Doig ⇄ Rafael Obrador

⇄ 68'

Nemanja Matić ⇄ Luca Lipani

Ilario Monterisi ⇄ Omar Fayed

74' ⇄

Giorgi Kvernadze ⇄ Alessio Zerbin

74' ⇄

Anthony Oyono ⇄ Wisdom Amey

80' ⇄

Giacomo Calò ⇄ Matteo Cichella

80' ⇄

▮ 82'

Kieron Bowie Yellow Card

⇄ 83'

Armand Laurienté ⇄ Cristian Volpato

Antonio Raimondo ⇄ Daniel Bîrligea

90' ⇄

FT 4–2

Frosinone

Match Stats

Sassuolo

42% Ball Possession 58%

2.12 Expected Goals (xG) 1.94

21 Total Shots 14

10 Shots on Goal 6

7 Shots off Goal 5

4 Blocked Shots 3

11 Shots insidebox 11

10 Shots outsidebox 3

5 Corner Kicks 4

3 Offsides 3

13 Fouls 11

0 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

4 Goalkeeper Saves 6

333 Total passes 466

246 Passes accurate 377

11 Free Kicks 13

Frosinone

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Antonio Raimondo F	9.3	90'	3	–	6	10 (5%)	–
14 Giacomo Calò M	8.2	80'	1	–	5	67 (54%)	–
24 Alessio Zerbin F	6.7	16'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	3
2 Giorgio Cittadini D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	20 (16%)	5
17 Giorgi Kvernadze M	6.5	74'	–	–	4	24 (20%)	–
7 Farès Ghedjemis M	6.4	90'	–	–	3	30 (26%)	2
79 Gabriele Bracaglia D	6.4	90'	–	–	1	16 (13%)	3
10 Romano Schmid M	6.3	90'	–	–	1	44 (33%)	–
22 Lorenzo Palmisani G	6.3	90'	–	–	–	23 (9%)	–
30 Ilario Monterisi D	6.2	74'	–	–	–	18 (16%)	–
5 Wisdom Amey D	6.2	10'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	1
74 Omar Fayed D	6.1	16'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	–
16 Matteo Cichella M	6.1	10'	–	–	1	4 (4%)	2
73 Patrizio Masini M	6.0	90'	–	–	–	32 (20%)	2
20 Anthony Oyono D	6.0	80'	–	–	–	33 (24%)	2

Sassuolo

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
49 Arijanet Murić G	7.3	90'	–	–	–	40 (34%)	–
10 Domenico Berardi M	7.2	90'	1	–	2	29 (21%)	1
50 Darryl Bakola M	7.2	90'	–	1	1	60 (52%)	3
42 Kristian Thorstvedt M	6.9	58'	1	–	2	36 (26%)	1
15 Duje Ćaleta-Car D	6.6	90'	–	–	2	59 (52%)	2
26 Cas Odenthal D	6.5	90'	–	–	2	36 (31%)	3
45 Armand Laurienté M	6.4	83'	–	–	3	29 (26%)	–
25 Benjamín Domínguez F	6.4	23'	–	–	–	15 (13%)	–
94 Sebastiano Esposito F	6.3	67'	–	–	–	37 (26%)	2
3 Josh Doig D	6.2	68'	–	–	–	24 (21%)	1
9 Kieron Bowie F	6.1	32'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
7 Cristian Volpato M	6.0	7'	–	–	–	8 (4%)	–
35 Luca Lipani M	5.9	22'	–	–	2	8 (6%)	2
18 Nemanja Matić M	5.8	68'	–	–	–	44 (36%)	–
33 Rafael Obrador D	5.6	22'	–	–	–	8 (5%)	1
20 Ignace Van der Brempt D	5.4	90'	–	–	–	26 (19%)	1

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Confidence Low (39%)

At a glance

Our lean

Too close to call

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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Frosinone

LWWDW

Sassuolo

LLLLL

Last 3 meetings Frosinone · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Frosinone will host Sassuolo with both teams seeking crucial points to improve their standings. Frosinone has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match this season, while Sassuolo boasts a more balanced attack, scoring 1.5 goals per game. Key players to watch include Frosinone's top scorer, who will need to capitalize on any defensive lapses from Sassuolo. The match could hinge on whether Frosinone can tighten their defense against Sassuolo's creative midfield, which excels in transitioning from defense to attack. Overall, it promises to be a competitive encounter with implications for both sides' aspirations in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Frosinone

A. Raimondo 8 gls

G. Calò 5 gls

G. Kvernadze 3 gls

Sassuolo

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Frosinone vs Sassuolo

1 Frosinone Wins

1 Draws

1 Sassuolo Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
02 Sep 2026	Sassuolo	1 - 1	Frosinone
09 Mar 2024	Sassuolo	1 - 0	Frosinone
17 Sep 2023	Frosinone	4 - 2	Sassuolo

See all 7 meetings — Premium

Frosinone — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Nov	A Cagliari	L	1 - 0
01 Nov	H Torino	W	2 - 0
29 Oct	H Lecce	W	5 - 1
25 Oct	A Atalanta	D	4 - 4
16 Oct	H Sassuolo	W	4 - 2

Sassuolo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Nov	A AS Roma	L	3 - 0
02 Nov	H Fiorentina	L	2 - 4
27 Oct	H Lazio	L	2 - 6
24 Oct	A Como	L	2 - 0
16 Oct	A Frosinone	L	4 - 2

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lazio	10	9	1	0	24	8	+16	28
2	AS Roma	11	8	3	0	31	10	+21	27
3	Inter	10	8	1	1	26	13	+13	25
4	Como	10	7	2	1	18	8	+10	23
5	AC Milan	10	6	3	1	21	12	+9	21
6	Frosinone	11	6	2	3	24	15	+9	20
7	Juventus	10	5	2	3	13	10	+3	17
8	Bologna	11	5	2	4	16	14	+2	17
9	Cagliari	11	5	1	5	10	15	-5	16
10	Napoli	10	4	2	4	17	13	+4	14
11	Torino	11	4	2	5	15	17	-2	14
12	Genoa	10	4	1	5	10	14	-4	13
13	Atalanta	10	3	2	5	16	20	-4	11
14	Lecce	11	3	1	7	12	22	-10	10
15	Fiorentina	10	2	2	6	15	23	-8	8
16	Parma	11	2	2	7	9	17	-8	8
17	Sassuolo	11	2	2	7	16	29	-13	8
18	Monza	10	2	1	7	17	24	-7	7
19	Venezia	11	2	0	9	8	21	-13	6
20	Udinese	11	1	2	8	12	25	-13	5

Sassuolo

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: A. Aquilani

49 Murić

3 Doig

15 Ćaleta-Car

26 Odenthal

20 Brempt

50 Bakola

18 Matić

45 Laurienté

42 Thorstvedt

10 Berardi

94 Esposito

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
49	A. Murić	G
20	I. Van der Brempt	D
26	C. Odenthal	D
15	D. Ćaleta-Car	D
3	J. Doig	D
18	N. Matić	M
50	D. Bakola	M
10	D. Berardi	M
42	K. Thorstvedt	M
45	A. Laurienté	M
94	S. Esposito	F

Substitutes

46	S. Cinquegrano	M
6	S. Walukiewicz	D
25	B. Domínguez	F
8	A. Ghion	M
35	L. Lipani	M
33	Rafael Obrador	D
70	E. Pieragnolo	D
12	G. Satalino	G
19	L. Skjellerup	F
55	I. Sulemana	M
80	S. Turati	G
7	C. Volpato	M
5	Fali Candé	D
9	K. Bowie	F
17	Vasilije Adžić	M

Frosinone

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: M. Alvini

22 Palmisani

79 Bracaglia

30 Monterisi

2 Cittadini

20 Oyono

14 Calò

73 Masini

17 Kvernadze

10 Schmid

7 Ghedjemis

9 Raimondo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	L. Palmisani	G
20	A. Oyono	D
2	G. Cittadini	D
30	I. Monterisi	D
79	G. Bracaglia	D
73	P. Masini	M
14	G. Calò	M
7	F. Ghedjemis	M
10	R. Schmid	M
17	G. Kvernadze	M
9	A. Raimondo	F

Substitutes

24	A. Zerbin	F
71	A. Terzić	D
90	E. Tchato	D
12	M. Pisseri	G
70	L. Hasa	M
40	S. Fini	F
74	Omar Fayed	D
34	A. El Azzouzi	M
91	S. Desplanches	G
16	Matteo Cichella	M
3	G. Calvani	D
89	T. Bobček	F
11	D. Bîrligea	F
5	W. Amey	D
25	K. Akpoguma	D