Juventus vs Lazio Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 7

18 Oct 2026, 16:30

Post on X

Lazio

Away

AI call Juventus or draw

46%

29%

25%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Juventus vs Lazio prediction: Sportiko gives Juventus a 46% chance of winning, Lazio 25% and the draw 29%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.8%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Juventus

WWLDW

Lazio

WDWWW

Last 3 meetings Juventus · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Juventus faces Lazio in an intriguing Serie A matchup on October 18, 2026. Both teams have shown strong defensive records, with Juventus averaging only 0.9 goals conceded per match this season, while Lazio has kept a solid backline, conceding 1.1 goals per game. Offensively, Juventus has been more potent, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per match compared to Lazio's 1.6. The outcome may hinge on Juventus' ability to control possession and exploit Lazio's defensive vulnerabilities. Key players to watch include Juventus' leading goal scorer and Lazio's midfield orchestrator, who can dictate the pace of the game.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

46%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

25%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lazio goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	6	4	2
1	10	14	7	2	1
2	9	9	5	2
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Juventus goals · most likely 1–1 (13.8%)

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Players in form

Juventus

E. Zhegrova 2 gls

Lazio

D. Frattesi 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

29%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

46%

Draw

29%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

64% Home (No Draw) 36% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

46% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.0%	6.4%	4.3%	1.6%	0.4%
1	9.7%	13.8%	6.6%	2.4%	0.6%
2	8.7%	9.4%	5.1%	1.8%	0.5%
3	4.4%	4.8%	2.6%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.7%	1.8%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Juventus	Draw	Lazio
Juventus	28.2%	4.3%	1.5%
Draw	16.6%	18.1%	10.0%
Lazio	2.3%	4.4%	14.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Juventus vs Lazio

0 Juventus Wins

2 Draws

1 Lazio Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Feb 2026	Juventus	2 - 2	Lazio
26 Oct 2025	Lazio	1 - 0	Juventus
10 May 2025	Lazio	1 - 1	Juventus

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Juventus — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Atalanta	W	2 - 0
17 Sep	H NEC Nijmegen	W	5 - 0
13 Sep	A Sassuolo	L	3 - 2
06 Sep	H AC Milan	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Parma	W	2 - 0

Lazio — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Venezia	W	0 - 2
12 Sep	H AC Milan	D	2 - 2
07 Sep	A Udinese	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	H Genoa	W	1 - 0
24 Aug	A Bologna	W	0 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.