Como vs AS Roma Prediction

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 6
FT
Post on X
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
AI call Too close to call
38%
27%
35%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Como vs AS Roma prediction: Sportiko gives Como a 38% chance of winning, AS Roma 35% and the draw 27%. Last updated 11 Oct 2026, 12:32.

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Match Report

Como held Roma to a goalless draw in Serie A's sixth round, a match that proved more eventful off the ball than on it. Roma dominated possession with 65% and registered 19 total shots to Como's nine, yet neither side could convert, with the visitors managing four shots on target against two for the hosts.

The second half brought significant drama when Roma's Donyell Malen was shown a red card on 53 minutes, reducing the visitors to ten men and handing Como a numerical advantage they were ultimately unable to exploit. Despite the dismissal, Roma's defensive structure held firm, and Como's attacking threat remained limited to just 1.12 expected goals throughout the contest.

A flurry of bookings and late substitutions added further chaos to the closing stages, with six yellow cards distributed across both sides. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Como win as the most likely outcome at 38%, a call that went unsettled as neither team found a decisive moment. The point leaves both sides searching for momentum in the early Serie A standings.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⇄ 45'
Lorenzo Pellegrini ⇄ Matías Soulé
Assane Diao Yellow Card
45+2' ▮
HT 0–0
▮ 46'
M. de Roon Yellow Card
▮ 53'
D. Malen Red Card
▮ 57'
Manu Koné Yellow Card
⇄ 60'
Mario Hermoso ⇄ Leonardo Balerdi
▮ 62'
Matías Soulé Yellow Card
Maxence Caqueret ⇄ Jesús Rodriguez
66' ⇄
Lucas Da Cunha ⇄ Martin Baturina
78' ⇄
⇄ 82'
Nahuel Molina ⇄ Devyne Rensch
Máximo Perrone ⇄ Luis Milla
88' ⇄
Assane Diao ⇄ Jayden Addai
88' ⇄
Yan Couto ⇄ Marc-Oliver Kempf
88' ⇄
⇄ 89'
Paulo Dybala ⇄ Emanuele Lulli
⇄ 89'
Manu Koné ⇄ Niccolò Pisilli
Martin Baturina Yellow Card
90' ▮
FT 0–0
Como

Match Stats

AS Roma
65% Ball Possession 35%
1.5 Expected Goals (xG) 1.12
19 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 2
10 Shots off Goal 5
5 Blocked Shots 2
9 Shots insidebox 4
10 Shots outsidebox 5
6 Corner Kicks 2
0 Offsides 3
9 Fouls 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
665 Total passes 344
611 Passes accurate 270
9 Free Kicks 9
Como
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
4 Jacobo Ramón D 7.4 90' – – 2 80 (78%) 5
99 Trevoh Chalobah D 7.2 90' – – 2 104 (103%) 3
16 Kaiki D 7.1 90' – – 2 58 (55%) 1
7 Lucas Da Cunha M 7.1 78' – – 1 63 (58%) –
5 Máximo Perrone M 7.0 88' – – 1 73 (65%) 3
27 Yan Couto D 7.0 88' – – – 57 (49%) 3
10 Nico Paz M 6.9 90' – – 4 51 (44%) –
20 Martin Baturina M 6.8 12' – – 1 20 (19%) –
6 Luis Milla M 6.8 2' – – – 6 (6%) 1
11 Assane Diao M 6.7 88' – – – 33 (27%) –
8 Maxence Caqueret M 6.6 66' – – 2 33 (30%) 2
17 Jesús Rodriguez F 6.6 24' – – 1 17 (16%) –
2 Marc-Oliver Kempf D 6.5 2' – – – 13 (13%) –
42 Jayden Addai F 6.5 2' – – – 7 (7%) –
1 Jean Butez G 6.4 90' – – – 42 (37%) –
9 Anastasios Douvikas F 6.3 90' – – 3 8 (4%) –
AS Roma
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
95 Pierluigi Gollini G 7.8 90' – – – 33 (22%) –
22 Mario Hermoso D 7.1 60' – – 1 40 (37%) 1
77 Emanuele Lulli D 6.9 1' – – – – –
5 Evan Ndicka D 6.8 90' – – – 29 (28%) –
23 Gianluca Mancini D 6.8 90' – – – 37 (29%) –
7 Lorenzo Pellegrini M 6.7 46' – – 2 17 (11%) –
20 Nahuel Molina M 6.6 82' – – – 28 (25%) 6
2 Devyne Rensch D 6.6 8' – – – 3 (1%) 1
17 Manu Koné M 6.5 89' – – 1 26 (20%) 2
26 Leonardo Balerdi D 6.5 30' – – – 8 (5%) 1
21 Paulo Dybala M 6.4 89' – – 3 32 (19%) –
18 Matías Soulé F 6.3 44' – – – 10 (7%) –
15 M. de Roon M 6.2 90' – – – 42 (34%) 5
43 Wesley M 6.2 90' – – – 35 (29%) 3
61 Niccolò Pisilli M 6.1 1' – – – 2 (1%) –
14 D. Malen F 5.9 53' – – 2 2 (2%) –
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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Our lean
Too close to call
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Como
WWWWW
AS Roma
WLWWD
Last 3 meetings Como · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Como faces AS Roma, a team with significantly greater historical and recent performance metrics. AS Roma has averaged more possession (around 57%) and a superior goal-scoring rate, netting over 1.5 goals per match this season. Como, on the other hand, struggles defensively, conceding an average of two goals per match. This match will be crucial for Como to secure points against a top-tier opponent, while Roma will aim to consolidate their position in the league standings. Expect a tactical battle with Roma likely dominating possession and pushing for an early lead.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
38%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
35%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Como
T. Douvikas 5 gls
AS Roma
D. Malen 8 gls
M. Soulé 3 gls

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Head to Head: Como vs AS Roma

1 Como Wins
0 Draws
2 AS Roma Wins
Date Home Score Away
15 Mar 2026 Como 2 - 1 AS Roma
15 Dec 2025 AS Roma 1 - 0 Como
02 Mar 2025 AS Roma 2 - 1 Como
See all 4 meetings — Premium

Como — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
04 Nov A Lens W 1 - 9
01 Nov H Venezia W 1 - 0
27 Oct A Torino W 1 - 3
24 Oct H Sassuolo W 2 - 0
21 Oct H Manchester United W 4 - 1

AS Roma — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Sassuolo W 3 - 0
03 Nov A Manchester United L 3 - 2
31 Oct A Udinese W 2 - 5
27 Oct H Cagliari W 4 - 2
24 Oct A Napoli D 3 - 3

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lazio
10 9 1 0 +16 28
2
AS Roma
11 8 3 0 +21 27
3
Inter
10 8 1 1 +13 25
4
Como
10 7 2 1 +10 23
5
AC Milan
10 6 3 1 +9 21
6
Frosinone
11 6 2 3 +9 20
7
Juventus
10 5 2 3 +3 17
8
Bologna
11 5 2 4 +2 17
9
Cagliari
11 5 1 5 -5 16
10
Napoli
10 4 2 4 +4 14
11
Torino
11 4 2 5 -2 14
12
Genoa
10 4 1 5 -4 13
13
Atalanta
10 3 2 5 -4 11
14
Lecce
11 3 1 7 -10 10
15
Fiorentina
10 2 2 6 -8 8
16
Parma
11 2 2 7 -8 8
17
Sassuolo
11 2 2 7 -13 8
18
Monza
10 2 1 7 -7 7
19
Venezia
11 2 0 9 -13 6
20
Udinese
11 1 2 8 -13 5

AS Roma

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: G. Gasperini
95 Gollini
22 Hermoso
5 Ndicka
23 Mancini
43 Wesley
17 Koné
15 Roon
20 Molina
7 Pellegrini
21 Dybala
14 Malen

Starting XI

# Player Pos
95 P. Gollini G
23 G. Mancini D
5 E. Ndicka D
22 Hermoso D
20 N. Molina M
15 M. de Roon M
17 M. Koné M
43 Wesley M
21 P. Dybala M
7 L. Pellegrini M
14 D. Malen F

Substitutes

9 S. Castro F
70 G. De Marzi G
87 D. Ghilardi D
77 E. Lulli D
61 N. Pisilli M
2 D. Rensch D
18 M. Soulé F
26 L. Balerdi D
32 D. Vásquez G
86 Rodrigo Mora M

Como

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Cesc Fàbregas
1 Butez
16 Kaiki
99 Chalobah
4 Naveros
27 Couto
7 Cunha
5 Perrone
8 Caqueret
10 Paz
11 Diao
9 Douvikas

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Butez G
27 Yan Couto D
4 Jacobo Ramón Naveros D
99 T. Chalobah D
16 Kaiki D
5 M. Perrone M
7 L. da Cunha M
11 Assane Diao M
10 N. Paz M
8 M. Caqueret M
9 T. Douvikas F

Substitutes

3 Álex Valle D
28 I. Smolčić D
97 Robert Sánchez G
17 Jesús Rodríguez F
21 S. Ricci M
6 Luis Milla M
22 M. Vigorito G
20 M. Baturina M
30 M. Liberali M
42 J. Addai F
13 A. Dossena D
18 E. Goldaniga D
53 Willy Kambwala Ndengushi D
2 M. Kempf D
15 A. Lahdo M

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