Lecce vs Bologna Prediction
Lecce vs Bologna prediction: Sportiko gives Lecce a 24% chance of winning, Bologna 47% and the draw 30%. Last updated 11 Oct 2026, 14:59.
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Match Report
Bologna claimed a hard-fought 2–1 victory at Lecce in Matchday 6 of Serie A, with the decisive goal arriving in the final quarter of an hour. Riccardo Orsolini broke the deadlock early, scoring in the 17th minute to send Bologna into the break ahead. The first half was a feisty affair, with four yellow cards distributed across both sides before the interval.
Lecce responded after the break, with Amar Fatah levelling the contest on 64 minutes to set up a tense finish. However, Jay Enem restored Bologna's advantage just eleven minutes later, and the visitors held on to secure all three points. Bologna's dominance was reflected in the statistics — they controlled 57% of possession, registered 19 total shots to Lecce's ten, and earned ten corner kicks compared to the hosts' three, though Lecce's expected goals figure of 1.55 actually edged Bologna's 1.00.
The result validated our pre-match AI model's assessment, which had rated a Bologna win as the most likely outcome at 47%. Bologna move on with a confidence-boosting away victory, while Lecce will rue their inability to hold a hard-earned equaliser.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Lecce
Match Stats
Lecce
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Amar Fatah F | 8.2 | 79' | 1 | – | 1 | 18 (17%) | 1 |
| 25 Antonino Gallo D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (45%) | – |
| 17 Danilo Veiga D | 6.9 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 32 (22%) | 3 |
| 79 Oumar Ngom M | 6.9 | 54' | – | – | 2 | 44 (40%) | – |
| 44 Tiago Gabriel D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 50 (49%) | 2 |
| 11 Konan N'Dri F | 6.7 | 28' | – | – | 3 | 11 (7%) | – |
| 30 Wladimiro Falcone G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 27 (20%) | 1 |
| 5 Jamil Siebert D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 34 (32%) | 2 |
| 29 Lassana Coulibaly M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 31 (25%) | 1 |
| 99 Joël Monteiro F | 6.4 | 11' | – | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | – |
| 50 Santiago Pierotti F | 6.2 | 62' | – | – | – | 20 (17%) | – |
| 16 Omri Gandelman M | 6.2 | 11' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | 1 |
| 69 Willem Geubbels F | 6.1 | 28' | – | – | 3 | 7 (6%) | 1 |
| 22 Paco Esteban F | 6.0 | 62' | – | – | 1 | 9 (7%) | – |
| 14 Youssef Maleh M | 5.8 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 24 (19%) | – |
| 20 Ivan Ilić M | 5.7 | 36' | – | – | – | 35 (27%) | – |
Bologna
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nicolò Cambiaghi M | 8.4 | 81' | – | 2 | 1 | 18 (16%) | 1 |
| 22 Jay Enem F | 7.5 | 28' | 1 | – | 1 | 5 (5%) | – |
| 7 Riccardo Orsolini M | 7.5 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 24 (18%) | 1 |
| 36 Matteo Darmian D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 24 (18%) | 1 |
| 17 Oussama El Azzouzi M | 6.9 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 13 (11%) | 2 |
| 16 Nicolò Casale D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (23%) | 2 |
| 5 Eivind Helland D | 6.8 | 35' | – | – | – | 14 (11%) | 1 |
| 20 Nadir Zortea M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 19 (16%) | 4 |
| 14 Torbjørn Heggem D | 6.6 | 55' | – | – | – | 29 (25%) | – |
| 10 Federico Bernardeschi F | 6.6 | 9' | – | – | – | – | 2 |
| 19 Lewis Ferguson M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (34%) | 3 |
| 23 Abdel Rahim D | 6.5 | 9' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 91 Roberto Piccoli F | 6.4 | 62' | – | – | – | 15 (10%) | – |
| 33 Juan Miranda M | 6.4 | 81' | – | – | 2 | 29 (23%) | 2 |
| 4 Tommaso Pobega M | 6.4 | 62' | – | – | 1 | 28 (22%) | 3 |
| 25 Massimo Pessina G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (14%) | – |
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Lecce vs Bologna
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | Bologna | 2 - 0 | Lecce |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Lecce | 2 - 2 | Bologna |
| 09 Feb 2025 | Lecce | 0 - 0 | Bologna |
Lecce — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Torino | D | 1 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | H Genoa | L | 1 - 2 |
| 29 Oct | A Frosinone | L | 5 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | H Juventus | L | 0 - 2 |
| 18 Oct | A Udinese | W | 0 - 3 |
Bologna — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A Parma | W | 1 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | H Monza | W | 2 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | A AC Milan | W | 2 - 4 |
| 24 Oct | A Cagliari | W | 0 - 2 |
| 17 Oct | H Inter | L | 1 - 3 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lazio
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 8 | +16 | 28 |
| 2 |
AS Roma
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 10 | +21 | 27 |
| 3 |
Inter
|
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 13 | +13 | 25 |
| 4 |
Como
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 21 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 |
Bologna
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |
Cagliari
|
11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |
Napoli
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 14 |
| 11 |
Torino
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |
Genoa
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 |
Atalanta
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |
Lecce
|
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |
Fiorentina
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |
Parma
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |
Sassuolo
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 |
Monza
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 |
Venezia
|
11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |
Udinese
|
11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
Bologna
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Salvatore Bocchetti
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | M. Pessina | G |
| 36 | M. Darmian | D |
| 16 | N. Casale | D |
| 14 | T. Heggem | D |
| 20 | N. Zortea | M |
| 19 | L. Ferguson | M |
| 4 | T. Pobega | M |
| 33 | Juan Miranda | M |
| 7 | R. Orsolini | M |
| 28 | N. Cambiaghi | M |
| 91 | R. Piccoli | F |
Substitutes
| 41 | M. Vitík | D |
| 23 | R. Alhassane | D |
| 8 | M. Amondarain | M |
| 10 | F. Bernardeschi | F |
| 1 | Ł. Skorupski | G |
| 6 | N. Moro | M |
| 18 | M. Libra | M |
| 72 | U. Happonen | G |
| 5 | E. Helland | D |
| 22 | J. Enem | F |
| 17 | O. El Azzouzi | M |
| 9 | A. Dovbyk | F |
| 29 | L. De Silvestri | D |
Lecce
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: E. Di Francesco
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | W. Falcone | G |
| 17 | Danilo Veiga | D |
| 5 | J. Siebert | D |
| 44 | Tiago Gabriel | D |
| 25 | A. Gallo | D |
| 29 | L. Coulibaly | M |
| 20 | I. Ilić | M |
| 14 | Y. Maleh | M |
| 50 | S. Pierotti | F |
| 22 | Paco Esteban | F |
| 7 | A. Ahmed Fatah | F |
Substitutes
| 2 | A. Dembélé | D |
| 79 | O. Ngom | M |
| 11 | K. N’Dri | F |
| 3 | C. Ndaba | D |
| 99 | Joël Monteiro | F |
| 77 | M. Kaba | M |
| 18 | G. Jean | D |
| 1 | M. Bleve | G |
| 32 | A. Borbei | G |
| 8 | S. Fofana | M |
| 16 | O. Gandelman | M |
| 4 | Kialonda Gaspar | D |
| 69 | W. Geubbels | F |
| 28 | Olaf Gorter | M |