Atalanta vs Venezia Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 6

11 Oct 2026, 16:30

Post on X

Venezia

Away

AI call Atalanta to win or draw

71%

21%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Atalanta vs Venezia prediction: Sportiko gives Atalanta a 71% chance of winning, Venezia 9% and the draw 21%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 15%

Both teams to score

41%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Atalanta

LLLWW

Venezia

LLLLL

Last 3 meetings Atalanta · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Atalanta will face Venezia in a Serie A clash on October 11, 2026. Atalanta has shown strong offensive capabilities, averaging 2.1 goals per match this season, while Venezia has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. With Atalanta's high possession rate of 60% and effective pressing, they will likely dominate the midfield battle. Venezia will need to focus on quick counter-attacks to exploit any gaps in Atalanta's defense. The match could hinge on Atalanta’s ability to break down a potentially compact Venezia formation.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Venezia goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	3	1
1	13	10	3	1
2	15	9	3	1
3	11	6	2
4	6	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Atalanta goals · most likely 2–0 (15.0%)

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Match Result

Home Win

71%

Draw

21%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

71%

Draw

21%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

89% Home (No Draw) 11% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

46% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

71% Home Scores More 21% Equal Goals 9% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

23%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.9%	3.0%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%
1	13.1%	9.8%	2.6%	0.5%	0.1%
2	15.0%	9.1%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%
3	10.5%	6.4%	2.0%	0.4%	0.1%
4	5.6%	3.4%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

31%

26%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atalanta	Draw	Venezia
Atalanta	46.0%	2.4%	0.5%
Draw	23.6%	13.6%	3.6%
Venezia	2.6%	3.0%	4.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

39%

1.5

61%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

Home Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

54%

33%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Atalanta vs Venezia

2 Atalanta Wins

1 Draws

0 Venezia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Mar 2025	Atalanta	0 - 0	Venezia
20 Oct 2024	Venezia	0 - 2	Atalanta
23 Apr 2022	Venezia	1 - 3	Atalanta

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Atalanta — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Juventus	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Cagliari	L	1 - 2
05 Sep	A AS Roma	L	2 - 1
31 Aug	H Bologna	W	1 - 0
27 Aug	A Hapoel Tel Aviv	W	0 - 1

Venezia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Lazio	L	0 - 2
11 Sep	H Fiorentina	L	2 - 4
06 Sep	A Frosinone	L	3 - 2
02 Sep	A Udinese	L	2 - 1
28 Aug	A AC Milan	L	2 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.