Genoa vs Fiorentina Prediction
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris, Genova
AI call
Fiorentina or draw
29%
30%
41%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Genoa vs Fiorentina prediction: Sportiko gives Genoa a 29% chance of winning, Fiorentina 41% and the draw 30%. Last updated 10 Oct 2026, 14:59.
Premium picks
Premium- Away to Score 75%
- Under 3.5 Goals 76%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
See Premium picks
Timeline
Milutin Osmajić
assist: Mikael Ellertsson
7'
⚽
1–0
▮
15'
Luca Ranieri
Yellow Card
Junior Messias
assist: Milutin Osmajić
15'
⚽
2–0
▮
21'
Christ Inao Oulaï
Yellow Card
⇄
45'
Christ Inao Oulaï
⇄ Alieu Njie
⇄
45'
Luca Ranieri
⇄ Viery
HT 2–0
Junior Messias
⇄ Vitinha
57'
⇄
Stephan El Shaarawy
⇄ Samuel Wiafe
57'
⇄
▮
60'
Viery
Yellow Card
⇄
65'
Beto
⇄ Mateo Pellegrino
Sebastian Otoa
⇄ Alessandro Marcandalli
66'
⇄
⚽
2–1
73'
Johan Vásquez
Own Goal
Hamed Junior Traorè
Yellow Card
74'
▮
⇄
80'
Álex Jiménez
⇄ Dodô
⇄
81'
Wilfried Gnonto
⇄ Pedro Gonçalves
Kingsley Ehizibue
⇄ David Puczka
81'
⇄
Mikael Ellertsson
⇄ Stefano Sabelli
82'
⇄
Johan Vásquez
Yellow Card
84'
▮
Samuel Wiafe
Yellow Card
85'
▮
Vitinha
Yellow Card
90+1'
▮
Stefano Sabelli
Yellow Card
90+5'
▮
FT 2–1
Genoa
Match Stats
Fiorentina
37%
Ball Possession
63%
1.41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
3
5
Shots off Goal
5
1
Blocked Shots
4
7
Shots insidebox
9
3
Shots outsidebox
3
3
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
10
5
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
274
Total passes
477
209
Passes accurate
407
8
Free Kicks
10
Genoa
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Milutin Osmajić F | 8.6 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 (10%) | – |
| 10 Junior Messias M | 7.6 | 57' | 1 | – | 1 | 13 (6%) | 3 |
| 77 Mikael Ellertsson M | 7.4 | 82' | – | 1 | 1 | 16 (11%) | 2 |
| 5 Leo Østigård D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (29%) | 2 |
| 3 Kingsley Ehizibue M | 6.7 | 81' | – | – | 1 | 18 (14%) | 1 |
| 25 Hamed Junior Traorè M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 39 (37%) | 4 |
| 1 Justin Bijlow G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (23%) | – |
| 27 Alessandro Marcandalli D | 6.6 | 24' | – | – | 1 | 5 (3%) | 1 |
| 32 Morten Frendrup M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (20%) | 6 |
| 34 Sebastian Otoa D | 6.5 | 66' | – | – | – | 26 (20%) | – |
| 92 Stephan El Shaarawy M | 6.4 | 57' | – | – | 3 | 18 (11%) | – |
| 9 Vitinha F | 6.4 | 33' | – | – | – | 9 (4%) | 1 |
| 31 David Puczka D | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | 1 |
| 20 Stefano Sabelli D | 6.1 | 8' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 71 Samuel Wiafe M | 6.1 | 33' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 22 Johan Vásquez D | 5.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 18 (15%) | – |
Fiorentina
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 Mateo Pellegrino F | 6.7 | 25' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 25 Alieu Njie F | 6.7 | 44' | – | – | 1 | 19 (16%) | – |
| 43 David De Gea G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 23 (22%) | – |
| 3 Radu Drăguşin D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (40%) | 1 |
| 27 Cher Ndour M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 40 (35%) | 2 |
| 23 Beto F | 6.4 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 7 (4%) | 1 |
| 42 Christ Inao Oulaï M | 6.3 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 20 (17%) | 1 |
| 30 Franco Mastantuono M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 29 (26%) | 5 |
| 2 Dodô D | 6.2 | 10' | – | – | – | 8 (8%) | 2 |
| 6 Luca Ranieri D | 6.2 | 46' | – | – | 1 | 28 (27%) | – |
| 21 Víctor Valdepeñas D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (36%) | – |
| 33 Viery D | 6.0 | 44' | – | – | – | 39 (37%) | 1 |
| 28 Pedro Gonçalves M | 6.0 | 9' | – | – | 1 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 20 Álex Jiménez D | 5.9 | 80' | – | – | – | 44 (31%) | 1 |
| 29 Wilfried Gnonto M | 5.8 | 81' | – | – | – | 30 (26%) | 2 |
| 44 Nicolò Fagioli M | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 84 (71%) | 2 |
Premium
Unlock the AI's full read on Genoa vs Fiorentina
- All 70+ probability markets
- AI Deep-Dive match report
- Pick types you choose
Confidence
Low (41%)
At a glance
Our lean
Fiorentina or draw
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade Now
Genoa
WWWLW
Fiorentina
WDLLL
Last 3 meetings
Genoa · 0W 2D 1L
Match summary
Genoa faces Fiorentina in a Serie A matchup that promises to be competitive. Genoa has struggled to find consistent form, with a recent record showing mixed results across their last five matches. Conversely, Fiorentina has demonstrated stronger offensive capabilities, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season. Both teams will need to capitalize on set pieces, as they have shown vulnerabilities in defending against them. The outcome may hinge on individual performances, particularly in midfield, where possession will be crucial.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
29%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
41%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Genoa
M. Osmajić
4 gls
Fiorentina
Franco Mastantuono
4 gls
You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.
Unlock all models
Premium
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowHead to Head: Genoa vs Fiorentina
0
Genoa Wins
2
Draws
1
Fiorentina Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Fiorentina | 0 - 0 | Genoa |
| 09 Nov 2025 | Genoa | 2 - 2 | Fiorentina |
| 02 Feb 2025 | Fiorentina | 2 - 1 | Genoa |
Genoa — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | A Lecce | W | 1 - 2 |
| 28 Oct | H Juventus | W | 2 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | H Venezia | W | 1 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | A AS Roma | L | 2 - 0 |
| 10 Oct | H Fiorentina | W | 2 - 1 |
Fiorentina — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | A Sassuolo | W | 2 - 4 |
| 29 Oct | H Atalanta | D | 2 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | A Inter | L | 2 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | H Como | L | 1 - 3 |
| 10 Oct | A Genoa | L | 2 - 1 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lazio
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 8 | +16 | 28 |
| 2 |
AS Roma
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 10 | +21 | 27 |
| 3 |
Inter
|
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 13 | +13 | 25 |
| 4 |
Como
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 21 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 |
Bologna
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |
Cagliari
|
11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |
Napoli
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 14 |
| 11 |
Torino
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |
Genoa
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 |
Atalanta
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |
Lecce
|
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |
Fiorentina
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |
Parma
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |
Sassuolo
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 |
Monza
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 |
Venezia
|
11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |
Udinese
|
11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
Genoa
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: D. De Rossi
1
Bijlow
22
Vásquez
5
Østigård
34
Otoa
77
Ellertsson
25
Traorè
32
Frendrup
3
Ehizibue
92
Shaarawy
10
Messias
18
Osmajić
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Bijlow | G |
| 34 | S. Otoa | D |
| 5 | L. Østigård | D |
| 22 | J. Vásquez | D |
| 3 | K. Ehizibue | M |
| 32 | M. Frendrup | M |
| 25 | H. Traorè | M |
| 77 | M. Ellertsson | M |
| 10 | Junior Messias | M |
| 92 | S. El Shaarawy | M |
| 18 | M. Osmajić | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | C. Drameh | D |
| 8 | T. Baldanzi | M |
| 75 | Gaël Lafont | M |
| 27 | A. Marcandalli | D |
| 2 | M. Mitaj | D |
| 31 | D. Puczka | D |
| 21 | Nikita Solodchenko | F |
| 20 | S. Sabelli | D |
| 39 | D. Sommariva | G |
| 99 | F. Stolz | G |
| 9 | Vítinha | F |
| 71 | S. Wiafe | M |
| 14 | Lukas Klišys | D |
Fiorentina
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: P. Vanoli
43
Gea
21
Valde
6
Ranieri
3
Drăgușin
20
Jiménez
44
Fagioli
27
Ndour
29
Gnonto
42
Oulaï
30
Mastantuono
23
Beto
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 43 | David de Gea | G |
| 20 | Álex Jiménez | D |
| 3 | R. Drăgușin | D |
| 6 | L. Ranieri | D |
| 21 | Valde | D |
| 27 | C. Ndour | M |
| 44 | N. Fagioli | M |
| 30 | Franco Mastantuono | M |
| 42 | C. Inao Oulaï | M |
| 29 | W. Gnonto | M |
| 23 | Beto | F |
Substitutes
| 33 | Viery | D |
| 28 | Pote | M |
| 5 | M. Pongračić | D |
| 32 | Mateo Pellegrino | F |
| 25 | A. Njie | F |
| 19 | L. Lezzerini | G |
| 17 | João Mário | D |
| 2 | Dodô | D |
| 53 | O. Christensen | G |
| 4 | M. Brescianini | M |
| 72 | B. Mazzeo | F |