Atalanta vs Bologna Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 2

31 Aug 2026, 18:45

Post on X

Bologna

Away

AI call Atalanta or draw

41%

30%

29%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Atalanta vs Bologna prediction: Sportiko gives Atalanta a 41% chance of winning, Bologna 29% and the draw 30%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:45.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Atalanta

LDLWD

Bologna

WDLDW

Last 3 meetings Atalanta · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Atalanta will face Bologna in Serie A as both teams look to secure valuable points early in the season. Atalanta's offensive prowess, highlighted by their high xG and aggressive pressing, will challenge Bologna's defense, which has shown vulnerability in transitional phases. Bologna's counter-attacking ability could exploit any gaps left by Atalanta's attacking intent. The match promises to be a tactical battle, with both teams aiming to dictate the tempo and capitalize on set pieces. Expect an engaging contest with potential for goals.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

41%

45%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

29%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bologna goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	7	5	2	1
1	9	14	7	3	1
2	8	9	5	2	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Atalanta goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Draw

30%

Away Win

29%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Draw

30%

Away Win

29%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

58% Home (No Draw) 42% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 29% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.5%	7.4%	5.2%	2.0%	0.6%
1	9.3%	14.3%	7.3%	2.8%	0.8%
2	7.7%	8.8%	5.1%	2.0%	0.6%
3	3.6%	4.1%	2.4%	0.9%	0.3%
4	1.3%	1.4%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atalanta	Draw	Bologna
Atalanta	24.7%	4.4%	1.7%
Draw	15.3%	18.8%	11.5%
Bologna	2.1%	4.5%	17.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Atalanta vs Bologna

2 Atalanta Wins

0 Draws

1 Bologna Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
17 May 2026	Atalanta	0 - 1	Bologna
07 Jan 2026	Bologna	0 - 2	Atalanta
13 Apr 2025	Atalanta	2 - 0	Bologna

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Atalanta — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	A Feyenoord	L	2 - 1
22 May	A Fiorentina	D	1 - 1
17 May	H Bologna	L	0 - 1
10 May	A AC Milan	W	2 - 3
02 May	H Genoa	D	0 - 0

Bologna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
25 Jul	H Iraklis 1908	W	2 - 0
22 Jul	H 1. FC Heidenheim	D	1 - 1
18 Jul	H Arminia Bielefeld	L	0 - 2
23 May	H Inter	D	3 - 3
17 May	A Atalanta	W	0 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Como	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Frosinone	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Monza	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Parma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Torino	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Venezia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.