Lecce vs AS Roma Prediction
Lecce vs AS Roma prediction: Sportiko gives Lecce a 14% chance of winning, AS Roma 61% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 18:34.
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Premium- Over 1.5 Goals 75%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
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Match Report
Roma dismantled Lecce with a devastating first-half display, racing to a 3-0 lead inside 25 minutes. Donyell Malen was the architect of the early damage, opening the scoring in the fourth minute before doubling Roma's advantage on 23 minutes, despite picking up a yellow card in between. Matías Soulé added a third just two minutes later to put the contest beyond doubt before the break.
The second half was largely a matter of game management, with both sides making multiple substitutions. Rodrigo Mora added a fourth goal on 65 minutes to complete the scoring, rounding off a thoroughly comfortable evening for the visitors. Lecce's 65% share of possession offered little consolation, as Roma's clinical edge was reflected in an expected goals figure of just 0.74 for the hosts against Roma's 3.25.
The result was Roma's second consecutive Serie A victory, and a convincing one at that. Our pre-match AI model had rated an AS Roma win as the most likely outcome at 61%, a call that proved well-founded given how emphatically the match unfolded.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Lecce
Match Stats
Lecce
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Lassana Coulibaly M | 7.3 | 93' | – | – | – | 40 (34%) | – |
| 7 Amar Fatah F | 6.6 | 21' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 50 Santiago Pierotti F | 6.5 | 72' | – | – | 1 | 26 (21%) | 3 |
| 9 Nikola Štulić F | 6.5 | 39' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 14 Youssef Maleh M | 6.3 | 48' | – | – | 1 | 22 (18%) | – |
| 30 Wladimiro Falcone G | 6.3 | 93' | – | – | – | 30 (10%) | – |
| 44 Tiago Gabriel D | 6.3 | 45' | – | – | – | 12 (11%) | 2 |
| 3 Corrie Ndaba M | 6.3 | 93' | – | – | – | 29 (25%) | 1 |
| 79 Oumar Ngom M | 6.3 | 72' | – | – | – | 36 (31%) | 1 |
| 20 Ivan Ilić M | 6.3 | 21' | – | – | – | 16 (16%) | – |
| 69 Willem Geubbels F | 6.3 | 54' | – | – | 2 | 9 (7%) | – |
| 11 Konan N'Dri F | 6.2 | 48' | – | – | 2 | 11 (4%) | 1 |
| 28 Olaf Gorter M | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | – | 12 (8%) | – |
| 5 Jamil Siebert D | 6.0 | 93' | – | – | – | 28 (20%) | 3 |
| 4 Kialonda Gaspar D | 5.9 | 93' | – | – | 1 | 43 (36%) | 4 |
| 17 Danilo Veiga M | 5.6 | 93' | – | – | – | 31 (24%) | 1 |
AS Roma
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mario Hermoso D | 8.2 | 93' | – | – | – | 91 (83%) | 6 |
| 21 Paulo Dybala F | 8.2 | 84' | – | – | 3 | 73 (63%) | 1 |
| 23 Gianluca Mancini D | 7.9 | 93' | – | 1 | – | 67 (64%) | 2 |
| 14 D. Malen F | 7.5 | 67' | 2 | – | 5 | 17 (13%) | 1 |
| 87 Daniele Ghilardi D | 7.3 | 93' | – | – | – | 59 (52%) | 5 |
| 86 Rodrigo Mora M | 7.3 | 33' | 1 | – | 1 | 20 (16%) | 1 |
| 43 Wesley M | 7.3 | 60' | – | 1 | 1 | 38 (30%) | 4 |
| 17 Manu Koné M | 7.0 | 67' | – | – | – | 55 (50%) | 1 |
| 20 Nahuel Molina D | 6.9 | 33' | – | – | – | 22 (20%) | 2 |
| 99 Mile Svilar G | 6.9 | 93' | – | – | – | 34 (28%) | – |
| 4 Bryan Cristante M | 6.9 | 93' | – | – | – | 67 (59%) | 2 |
| 18 Matías Soulé F | 6.9 | 60' | 1 | – | 4 | 41 (34%) | – |
| 77 Emanuele Lulli M | 6.9 | 93' | – | – | – | 50 (44%) | 2 |
| 61 Niccolò Pisilli M | 6.6 | 26' | – | – | – | 24 (23%) | 1 |
| 15 M. de Roon M | 6.3 | 9' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | 1 |
| 9 Santiago Castro F | 6.2 | 26' | – | – | 1 | 3 (3%) | 1 |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
L. Coulibaly
2 gls
D. Malen
6 gls
M. Soulé
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Lecce vs AS Roma
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2026 | AS Roma | 1 - 0 | Lecce |
| 06 Jan 2026 | Lecce | 0 - 2 | AS Roma |
| 29 Mar 2025 | Lecce | 0 - 1 | AS Roma |
Lecce — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A AC Milan | L | 3 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | H Monza | W | 3 - 2 |
| 07 Sep | A Cagliari | L | 1 - 0 |
| 31 Aug | H AS Roma | L | 0 - 4 |
| 23 Aug | A Venezia | W | 0 - 2 |
AS Roma — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Inter | D | 2 - 2 |
| 14 Sep | A Torino | W | 0 - 2 |
| 10 Sep | A Fenerbahçe | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Atalanta | W | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Aug | A Lecce | W | 0 - 4 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AS Roma
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Como
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
AS Roma
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Piero Gasperini Gian
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 99 | Mile Svilar | G |
| 87 | Daniele Ghilardi | D |
| 23 | Gianluca Mancini | D |
| 22 | Mario Hermoso | D |
| 77 | Emanuele Lulli | M |
| 17 | Manu Koné | M |
| 4 | Bryan Cristante | M |
| 43 | Wesley | M |
| 21 | Paulo Dybala | F |
| 18 | Matías Soulé | F |
| 14 | Donyell Malen | F |
Substitutes
| 95 | Pierluigi Gollini | G |
| 70 | Giorgio De Marzi | G |
| 26 | Leonardo Balerdi | D |
| 3 | Konstantinos Koulierakis | D |
| 5 | Evan Ndicka | D |
| 20 | Nahuel Molina | D |
| 61 | Niccolò Pisilli | M |
| 15 | Marten de Roon | M |
| 86 | Rodrigo Mora | M |
| 9 | Santiago Castro | F |
Lecce
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: Eusebio Di Francesco
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wladimiro Falcone | G |
| 5 | Jamil Siebert | D |
| 4 | Kialonda Gaspar | D |
| 44 | Tiago Gabriel | D |
| 17 | Danilo Veiga | M |
| 29 | Lassana Coulibaly | M |
| 79 | Oumar Ngom | M |
| 28 | Olaf Gorter | M |
| 3 | Corrie Ndaba | M |
| 50 | Santiago Pierotti | F |
| 69 | Willem Geubbels | F |
Substitutes
| 33 | Plamen Penev | G |
| 1 | Marco Bleve | G |
| 31 | Elijah Scott | D |
| 2 | Ali Dembélé | D |
| 25 | Antonino Gallo | D |
| 34 | Hjalte Lærke | F |
| 10 | Medon Berisha | M |
| 8 | Sadik Fofana | M |
| 20 | Ivan Ilić | M |
| 14 | Youssef Maleh | M |
| 16 | Omri Gandelman | M |
| 22 | Paco Esteban | F |
| 7 | Amar Fatah | F |
| 9 | Nikola Štulić | F |
| 11 | N'Dri Konan | F |