Lazio vs Genoa Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 2

30 Aug 2026, 18:45

Post on X

Genoa

Away

AI call Lazio or draw

45%

30%

25%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Lazio vs Genoa prediction: Sportiko gives Lazio a 45% chance of winning, Genoa 25% and the draw 30%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:45.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Lazio

WWWWL

Genoa

WDLLD

Last 3 meetings Lazio · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

Lazio will face Genoa in a Serie A clash on August 30, 2026. Lazio has shown strong form at home, consistently dominating possession and creating numerous scoring opportunities, averaging 2.1 goals per match in their last five home games. Genoa, on the other hand, struggles defensively, with a tendency to concede goals, averaging 1.8 goals against per match in recent away games. This matchup will likely hinge on Lazio's ability to exploit Genoa's defensive weaknesses while maintaining solid control in midfield. Expect Lazio to push for an early lead, capitalizing on their offensive strengths.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Genoa goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	7	5	2
1	11	14	6	2	1
2	9	9	5	2
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	2	1
5

↑ Lazio goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

30%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

30%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

64% Home (No Draw) 36% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS No 50% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.5%	7.3%	4.5%	1.5%	0.4%
1	10.9%	14.3%	6.4%	2.2%	0.5%
2	8.9%	9.0%	4.6%	1.5%	0.4%
3	4.2%	4.3%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.5%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lazio	Draw	Genoa
Lazio	27.2%	4.3%	1.4%
Draw	16.6%	19.5%	10.4%
Genoa	2.1%	4.2%	14.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

24%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lazio vs Genoa

3 Lazio Wins

0 Draws

0 Genoa Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Jan 2026	Lazio	3 - 2	Genoa
29 Sep 2025	Genoa	0 - 3	Lazio
23 Apr 2025	Genoa	0 - 2	Lazio

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Lazio — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Aug	H Ostia Mare	W	4 - 0
02 Aug	A Ascoli	W	1 - 2
01 Aug	H Avellino	W	6 - 3
23 May	H Pisa	W	2 - 1
17 May	A AS Roma	L	2 - 0

Genoa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A Leicester	W	0 - 1
25 Jul	H Vicenza Virtus	D	2 - 2
24 May	A Lecce	L	1 - 0
17 May	H AC Milan	L	1 - 2
10 May	A Fiorentina	D	0 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Como	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Frosinone	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Monza	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Parma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Torino	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Venezia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.