Fiorentina vs Frosinone Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 2

29 Aug 2026, 16:30

Post on X

Frosinone

Away

AI call Fiorentina or draw

39%

31%

30%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Fiorentina vs Frosinone prediction: Sportiko gives Fiorentina a 39% chance of winning, Frosinone 30% and the draw 31%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:45.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

50%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Fiorentina

DDWLD

Frosinone

WWWDW

Last 3 meetings Fiorentina · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Fiorentina enters this match with a strong attacking record, having scored an average of 1.8 goals per game last season, while Frosinone struggled defensively, conceding 1.6 goals per match. Fiorentina's midfield is bolstered by key playmakers who can exploit Frosinone's defensive vulnerabilities. Conversely, Frosinone will need to improve their away form, as they have historically struggled against teams in the top half of the table. This matchup could hinge on Fiorentina's ability to control possession and create scoring opportunities, while Frosinone will rely on counter-attacks to find the net.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

39%

45%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

30%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Frosinone goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	8	6	2	1
1	10	15	7	3	1
2	8	8	5	2
3	3	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Fiorentina goals · most likely 1–1 (14.7%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

31%

Away Win

30%

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

39%

Draw

31%

Away Win

30%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

57% Home (No Draw) 43% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Home Win by 2+ 12% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 30% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

50% BTTS Yes 50% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.8%	8.3%	5.5%	2.0%	0.6%
1	10.1%	14.7%	7.2%	2.6%	0.7%
2	7.7%	8.5%	4.7%	1.7%	0.5%
3	3.3%	3.7%	2.0%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.1%	1.2%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Fiorentina	Draw	Frosinone
Fiorentina	23.4%	4.4%	1.6%
Draw	15.2%	20.1%	12.0%
Frosinone	1.9%	4.4%	17.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

36%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Fiorentina vs Frosinone

1 Fiorentina Wins

1 Draws

1 Frosinone Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 Feb 2024	Fiorentina	5 - 1	Frosinone
28 Sep 2023	Frosinone	1 - 1	Fiorentina
07 Apr 2019	Fiorentina	0 - 1	Frosinone

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Fiorentina — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	H Deportivo La Coruna	D	1 - 1
01 Aug	A Real Madrid	D	2 - 2
29 Jul	A Watford	W	0 - 1
25 Jul	A QPR	L	3 - 2
22 May	H Atalanta	D	1 - 1

Frosinone — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
26 Jul	H Ascoli	W	1 - 0
22 Mar	A Sudtirol	W	1 - 3
18 Mar	H Bari	W	2 - 1
14 Mar	A Cesena	D	2 - 2
08 Mar	H Sampdoria	W	3 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Como	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Frosinone	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Monza	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Parma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Torino	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Venezia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.