AS Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 1

24 Aug 2026, 18:45

Post on X

Fiorentina

Away

AI call Difficult Fiorentina win or draw

21%

27%

52%

Home Win Draw Away Win

AS Roma vs Fiorentina prediction: Sportiko gives AS Roma a 21% chance of winning, Fiorentina 52% and the draw 27%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:46.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.8%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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AS Roma

WLDWW

Fiorentina

DDWLD

Last 3 meetings AS Roma · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

AS Roma faces Fiorentina in a Serie A clash on August 24, 2026. Both teams have shown varying forms in recent outings, but Roma's defensive solidity will be crucial against Fiorentina's attacking prowess, led by their key forwards. Roma's recent home performances suggest they can capitalize on any defensive lapses from Fiorentina, who have struggled with consistency. This match could hinge on set-pieces and individual brilliance from either side, making it a closely contested affair.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

21%

45%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

52%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Fiorentina goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	10	10	6	2	1
1	5	13	10	6	2	1
2	3	6	5	3	1
3	1	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ AS Roma goals · most likely 1–1 (12.8%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

52%

Draw

27%

Home Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

52%

Draw

27%

Home Win

21%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

71% Away (No Draw) 29% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

29% Away Win by 2+ 8% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 21% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	9.5%	9.6%	5.6%	2.4%
1	5.0%	12.8%	9.9%	5.7%	2.5%
2	3.4%	5.8%	5.1%	3.0%	1.3%
3	1.2%	2.0%	1.7%	1.0%	0.4%
4	0.3%	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AS Roma	Draw	Fiorentina
AS Roma	11.8%	4.1%	2.6%
Draw	8.4%	16.5%	18.1%
Fiorentina	1.4%	4.1%	33.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

36%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

75%

2.5

25%

91%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: AS Roma vs Fiorentina

3 AS Roma Wins

0 Draws

0 Fiorentina Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 May 2026	AS Roma	4 - 0	Fiorentina
05 Oct 2025	Fiorentina	1 - 2	AS Roma
04 May 2025	AS Roma	1 - 0	Fiorentina

See all 10 meetings — Premium

AS Roma — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Aug	A Newport County	W	1 - 4
01 Aug	A Cardiff	L	4 - 1
26 Jul	A Cannes	D	3 - 3
24 May	A Hellas Verona	W	0 - 2
17 May	H Lazio	W	2 - 0

Fiorentina — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
06 Aug	H Deportivo La Coruna	D	1 - 1
01 Aug	A Real Madrid	D	2 - 2
29 Jul	A Watford	W	0 - 1
25 Jul	A QPR	L	3 - 2
22 May	H Atalanta	D	1 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Bologna	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Cagliari	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Como	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Fiorentina	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Frosinone	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Genoa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Juventus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Lazio	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Lecce	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Monza	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Parma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	AS Roma	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Sassuolo	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Torino	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Udinese	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Venezia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.