AS Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction
AS Roma vs Fiorentina prediction: Sportiko gives AS Roma a 54% chance of winning, Fiorentina 19% and the draw 26%. Last updated 24 Aug 2026, 20:39.
Premium picks
Premium- 1st Half Over 0.5 73%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
- Under 3.5 Goals 72%
Match Report
AS Roma opened the scoring through Donyell Malen in the 27th minute and went into half-time with a comfortable 1–0 lead, controlling 61% of possession and limiting Fiorentina to very little in the way of clear chances. The hosts' expected goals figure of 2.72 against just 0.25 for the visitors underlined how one-sided the contest was throughout.
Malen was the dominant force of the evening, adding two further goals in the 52nd and 60th minutes to complete a hat-trick and effectively end the match as a contest before the hour mark. A flurry of yellow cards — spread across both sides — and a series of substitutions punctuated the second half without disrupting Roma's rhythm. Our pre-match AI model had Roma as favourites at 54%, a call that proved well-founded.
Niccolò Pisilli rounded off the scoring in the 86th minute to seal an emphatic 4–0 victory. Roma's 16 total shots to Fiorentina's eight reflected their dominance across the pitch, and the result leaves the Giallorossi with a strong opening statement in the Serie A regular season.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
AS Roma
Match Stats
AS Roma
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 D. Malen F | 10.0 | 68' | 3 | – | 4 | 19 (16%) | – |
| 21 Paulo Dybala F | 9.3 | 79' | – | 3 | 3 | 41 (33%) | – |
| 4 Bryan Cristante M | 8.2 | 88' | – | – | – | 78 (68%) | 4 |
| 61 Niccolò Pisilli M | 7.6 | 9' | 1 | – | 1 | 4 (4%) | – |
| 5 Evan Ndicka D | 7.5 | 88' | – | – | 1 | 62 (60%) | 3 |
| 17 Manu Koné M | 7.2 | 79' | – | – | – | 55 (52%) | 3 |
| 23 Gianluca Mancini D | 7.2 | 88' | – | – | – | 42 (40%) | 2 |
| 43 Wesley M | 7.2 | 88' | – | – | – | 33 (26%) | 2 |
| 99 Mile Svilar G | 6.9 | 88' | – | – | – | 32 (24%) | – |
| 22 Mario Hermoso D | 6.9 | 68' | – | – | – | 51 (45%) | 2 |
| 77 Emanuele Lulli M | 6.9 | 88' | – | – | 1 | 33 (29%) | 4 |
| 8 Neil El Aynaoui M | 6.7 | 9' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 18 Matías Soulé F | 6.7 | 34' | – | – | 1 | 12 (11%) | – |
| 86 Rodrigo Mora F | 6.7 | 54' | – | – | 2 | 17 (15%) | 1 |
| 3 Konstantinos Koulierakis D | 6.6 | 20' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 1 |
| 9 Santiago Castro F | 6.3 | 20' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
Fiorentina
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 Christ Inao Oulaï M | 6.9 | 26' | – | – | 1 | 18 (18%) | 1 |
| 9 Moise Kean F | 6.5 | 25' | – | – | 2 | 9 (8%) | – |
| 30 Franco Mastantuono M | 6.3 | 63' | – | – | 1 | 14 (9%) | 1 |
| 17 João Mário D | 6.3 | 80' | – | – | – | 31 (24%) | 1 |
| 14 Arthur Atta M | 6.3 | 74' | – | – | – | 41 (37%) | – |
| 27 Cher Ndour M | 6.2 | 88' | – | – | 2 | 29 (26%) | 1 |
| 44 Nicolò Fagioli M | 6.2 | 62' | – | – | – | 24 (22%) | 2 |
| 4 Marco Brescianini M | 6.2 | 62' | – | – | 1 | 15 (14%) | – |
| 20 Álex Jiménez D | 6.2 | 26' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 3 Radu Drăguşin D | 6.2 | 88' | – | – | – | 25 (24%) | 2 |
| 21 Víctor Valdepeñas D | 6.2 | 8' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 8 Rolando Mandragora M | 5.9 | 14' | – | – | – | 10 (10%) | – |
| 32 Mateo Pellegrino F | 5.9 | 88' | – | – | – | 14 (11%) | – |
| 2 Dodô D | 5.6 | 88' | – | – | 1 | 25 (20%) | 1 |
| 43 David De Gea G | 5.6 | 88' | – | – | – | 32 (14%) | – |
| 6 Luca Ranieri D | 5.6 | 88' | – | – | – | 27 (23%) | 1 |
Unlock the AI's full read on AS Roma vs Fiorentina
- All 70+ probability markets
- AI Deep-Dive match report
- Value Edge — model vs market
- Pick types you choose
At a glance
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowMatch summary
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowPlayers in form
D. Malen
6 gls
M. Soulé
2 gls
Franco Mastantuono
3 gls
You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.
Unlock all modelsUnlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowHead to Head: AS Roma vs Fiorentina
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May 2026 | AS Roma | 4 - 0 | Fiorentina |
| 05 Oct 2025 | Fiorentina | 1 - 2 | AS Roma |
| 04 May 2025 | AS Roma | 1 - 0 | Fiorentina |
AS Roma — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Inter | D | 2 - 2 |
| 14 Sep | A Torino | W | 0 - 2 |
| 10 Sep | A Fenerbahçe | D | 1 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | H Atalanta | W | 2 - 1 |
| 31 Aug | A Lecce | W | 0 - 4 |
Fiorentina — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Napoli | D | 1 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | H Pisa | W | 3 - 0 |
| 11 Sep | A Venezia | W | 2 - 4 |
| 05 Sep | H Torino | L | 1 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | H Frosinone | L | 0 - 3 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AS Roma
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Como
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
AS Roma
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Piero Gasperini Gian
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 99 | Mile Svilar | G |
| 23 | Gianluca Mancini | D |
| 5 | Evan Ndicka | D |
| 22 | Mario Hermoso | D |
| 77 | Emanuele Lulli | M |
| 4 | Bryan Cristante | M |
| 17 | Manu Koné | M |
| 43 | Wesley | M |
| 21 | Paulo Dybala | F |
| 86 | Rodrigo Mora | F |
| 14 | Donyell Malen | F |
Substitutes
| 18 | Matías Soulé | F |
| 3 | Konstantinos Koulierakis | D |
| 9 | Santiago Castro | F |
| 8 | Neil El Aynaoui | M |
| 61 | Niccolò Pisilli | M |
| 70 | Giorgio De Marzi | G |
| 95 | Pierluigi Gollini | G |
| 20 | Nahuel Molina | D |
| 87 | Daniele Ghilardi | D |
| 24 | Jan Ziółkowski | D |
| 78 | Robinio Vaz | F |
Fiorentina
Formation: 4-3-2-1
Coach: F. Grosso
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 43 | David De Gea | G |
| 2 | Dodô | D |
| 3 | Radu Drăguşin | D |
| 6 | Luca Ranieri | D |
| 17 | João Mário | D |
| 27 | Cher Ndour | M |
| 44 | Nicolò Fagioli | M |
| 4 | Marco Brescianini | M |
| 30 | Franco Mastantuono | M |
| 14 | Arthur Atta | M |
| 32 | Mateo Pellegrino | F |
Substitutes
| 20 | Álex Jiménez | D |
| 42 | Christ Inao Oulaï | M |
| 9 | Moise Kean | F |
| 8 | Rolando Mandragora | M |
| 53 | Oliver Christensen | G |
| 19 | Luca Lezzerini | G |
| 33 | Viery | D |
| 71 | Eman Košpo | D |
| 5 | Marin Pongračić | D |
| 21 | Víctor Valdepeñas | D |
| 72 | Brando Mazzeo | M |
| 80 | Giovanni Fabbian | M |
| 70 | Federico Croci | F |
| 11 | Albert Guðmundsson | F |