Torino vs AC Milan Prediction

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 1
FT
Post on X
AI call AC Milan or draw
27%
28%
45%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Torino vs AC Milan prediction: Sportiko gives Torino a 27% chance of winning, AC Milan 45% and the draw 28%. Last updated 23 Aug 2026, 20:39.

Premium picks

Premium
  • Under 3.5 Goals 76%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
  • 1st Half Home or Draw 75%
  • Home to Score 72%
  • Away to Score 71%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off. See Premium picks

Match Report

AC Milan claimed a hard-fought 1–2 victory at Torino in the opening round of Serie A, with all the action concentrated in the second half after a goalless first 45 minutes. The home side dominated possession with 60% of the ball and registered 19 total shots to Milan's seven, yet it was the visitors who proved more clinical when it mattered.

The decisive spell came in a frantic two-minute window midway through the second half. Alphadjo Cissè broke the deadlock for Torino in the 64th minute, only for Adrien Rabiot to level immediately at 66' before Cissè was substituted off moments later. Milan then edged ahead through Che Adams, who sealed the win deep into stoppage time at 90+3' to complete a dramatic turnaround. Our pre-match AI model had rated an AC Milan win as the most likely outcome at 45%, a call that ultimately proved correct.

Despite Torino's territorial advantage — reflected in a superior expected goals figure of 1.59 to 0.93 — Milan's composure in front of goal proved the difference, with Ruben Loftus-Cheek's early yellow card and subsequent substitution also disrupting the visitors' midfield shape early in the second period.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0
▮ 52'
Ruben Loftus-Cheek Yellow Card
⇄ 56'
Ruben Loftus-Cheek ⇄ Luka Modrić
⇄ 56'
Ardon Jashari ⇄ Adrien Rabiot
⚽ 0–1 64'
Alphadjo Cissè assist: Adrien Rabiot
⚽ 0–2 66'
Adrien Rabiot assist: Samuel Chukwueze
⇄ 66'
Alphadjo Cissè ⇄ Alexis Saelemaekers
⇄ 66'
Pervis Estupiñán ⇄ Davide Bartesaghi
Cesare Casadei ⇄ Che Adams
70' ⇄
Marcus Pedersen ⇄ Niccolò Fortini
70' ⇄
Giovanni Simeone ⇄ Alieu Njie
70' ⇄
⇄ 76'
Mario Gila Fuentes ⇄ Matteo Gabbia
Alessio Cacciamani ⇄ Zakaria Aboukhlal
81' ⇄
Pietro Comuzzo ⇄ Sandro Kulenović
85' ⇄
Che Adams assist: Gvidas Gineitis
90+3' ⚽ 1–2
FT 1–2
Torino

Match Stats

AC Milan
40% Ball Possession 60%
0.93 Expected Goals (xG) 1.59
7 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 9
2 Blocked Shots 6
6 Shots insidebox 19
1 Shots outsidebox 0
1 Corner Kicks 4
2 Offsides 0
10 Fouls 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
Red Cards
2 Goalkeeper Saves 0
367 Total passes 543
299 Passes accurate 478
81% Passes % 88%
0.00 goals_prevented 0.00
Torino
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
16 Marcus Pedersen M 7.0 70' – – – 16 (12%) 1
92 Alieu Njie F 6.9 20' – – 1 8 (4%) 1
28 Kian Fitz-Jim M 6.9 90' – – 1 47 (41%) 1
66 Gvidas Gineitis M 6.7 90' – – – 30 (26%) 1
29 Niccolò Fortini D 6.6 20' – – – 14 (12%) 1
23 Saúl Coco D 6.6 90' – – 1 40 (36%) 2
22 Cesare Casadei F 6.6 70' – – – 17 (11%) 2
44 Ardian Ismajli D 6.5 90' – – – 58 (53%) 1
7 Zakaria Aboukhlal F 6.5 9' – – 1 3 (3%) –
15 Pietro Comuzzo D 6.3 85' – – 1 39 (34%) 1
77 Alessio Cacciamani M 6.3 81' – – – 15 (12%) 1
19 Che Adams F 6.2 20' – – – 10 (7%) –
10 Nikola Vlašić F 6.2 90' – – – 20 (17%) 1
18 Giovanni Simeone F 6.2 70' – – – 13 (10%) –
26 Diego Mascardi G 6.2 90' – – – 37 (21%) –
17 Sandro Kulenović F — 5' – – – – –
AC Milan
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
70 Alphadjo Cissè F 7.9 66' 1 – 3 25 (21%) 2
5 Koni De Winter D 7.7 90' – – – 64 (62%) 5
21 Samuel Chukwueze M 7.7 90' – 1 2 44 (34%) 1
34 Mario Gila Fuentes D 7.7 76' – – – 76 (70%) 1
12 Adrien Rabiot M 7.5 34' 1 1 1 11 (7%) –
2 Pervis Estupiñán M 7.2 66' – – – 41 (38%) 1
31 Strahinja Pavlović D 7.0 90' – – – 83 (74%) 1
33 Davide Bartesaghi D 7.0 24' – – – 6 (5%) –
30 Ardon Jashari M 6.9 56' – – – 50 (47%) –
14 Luka Modrić M 6.9 34' – – – 17 (16%) –
16 Mike Maignan G 6.7 90' – – – 33 (24%) –
46 Matteo Gabbia D 6.7 14' – – – 1 (1%) 1
56 Alexis Saelemaekers F 6.6 24' – – 1 10 (10%) 2
80 Yunus Musah M 6.5 90' – – – 38 (33%) –
9 Gonçalo Ramos F 6.2 90' – – 3 24 (16%) –
8 Ruben Loftus-Cheek F 6.2 56' – – 3 20 (20%) –
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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Our lean
AC Milan or draw
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Torino
DLWLL
AC Milan
WLDDW
Last 3 meetings Torino · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Torino faces AC Milan in an intriguing Serie A clash. Torino has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match last season, while AC Milan boasts a potent attack, averaging 2.1 goals per game. Key players to watch include Torino's defensive stalwart Gleison Bremer and AC Milan's prolific striker Olivier Giroud. The matchup will likely hinge on Torino's ability to contain Milan's attacking threats while capitalizing on set pieces. Both teams will aim to secure early points in the season, making for a highly competitive encounter.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Torino

No scorer data.

AC Milan
Diego Moreira 3 gls
A. Rabiot 2 gls

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Head to Head: Torino vs AC Milan

1 Torino Wins
0 Draws
2 AC Milan Wins
Date Home Score Away
21 Mar 2026 AC Milan 3 - 2 Torino
08 Dec 2025 Torino 2 - 3 AC Milan
22 Feb 2025 Torino 2 - 1 AC Milan
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Torino — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Bologna D 1 - 1
14 Sep H AS Roma L 0 - 2
05 Sep A Fiorentina W 1 - 2
01 Sep H Monza L 0 - 1
29 Aug A Sassuolo L 2 - 1

AC Milan — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Lecce W 3 - 0
16 Sep H Benfica L 0 - 2
12 Sep A Lazio D 2 - 2
06 Sep A Juventus D 1 - 1
28 Aug H Venezia W 2 - 0

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AS Roma
5 4 1 0 +11 13
2
Inter
5 4 1 0 +7 13
3
Lazio
5 4 1 0 +5 13
4
Cagliari
5 4 0 1 +3 12
5
AC Milan
5 3 2 0 +6 11
6
Frosinone
5 3 1 1 +5 10
7
Juventus
5 3 1 1 +4 10
8
Como
5 3 1 1 +3 10
9
Napoli
5 2 1 2 +1 7
10
Sassuolo
5 2 1 2 0 7
11
Atalanta
5 2 0 3 -2 6
12
Lecce
5 2 0 3 -5 6
13
Udinese
5 1 1 3 -3 4
14
Torino
5 1 1 3 -3 4
15
Parma
5 1 1 3 -3 4
16
Monza
5 1 1 3 -4 4
17
Fiorentina
5 1 1 3 -6 4
18
Bologna
5 0 2 3 -3 2
19
Genoa
5 0 1 4 -7 1
20
Venezia
5 0 0 5 -9 0

AC Milan

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Ruben Amorim
16 Maignan
31 Pavlović
5 Winter
34 Gila
2 Estupiñán
30 Jashari
80 Musah
21 Chukwueze
70 Cissè
8 Loftus-Cheek
9 Ramos

Starting XI

# Player Pos
16 Mike Maignan G
34 Mario Gila D
5 Koni De Winter D
31 Strahinja Pavlović D
21 Samuel Chukwueze M
80 Yunus Musah M
30 Ardon Jashari M
2 Pervis Estupiñán M
8 Ruben Loftus-Cheek F
70 Alphadjo Cissè F
9 Gonçalo Ramos F

Substitutes

14 Luka Modrić M
12 Adrien Rabiot M
33 Davide Bartesaghi D
56 Alexis Saelemaekers F
41 Leo Paul Bouyer G
96 Lorenzo Torriani G
13 Sankhoun Diawara D
42 Filippo Terracciano D
46 Matteo Gabbia D
28 Christian Comotto M
4 Samuele Ricci M
22 Diego Moreira F
73 Francesco Camarda F
11 Christian Pulišić M

Torino

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Ignazio Abate
26 Mascardi
15 Comuzzo
44 Ismajli
23 Coco
77 Cacciamani
28 Fitz-Jim
66 Gineitis
16 Pedersen
22 Casadei
10 Vlašić
18 Simeone

Starting XI

# Player Pos
26 Diego Mascardi G
23 Saúl Coco D
44 Ardian Ismajli D
15 Pietro Comuzzo D
16 Marcus Pedersen M
66 Gvidas Gineitis M
28 Kian Fitz-Jim M
77 Alessio Cacciamani M
10 Nikola Vlašić F
22 Cesare Casadei F
18 Giovanni Simeone F

Substitutes

29 Niccolò Fortini D
92 Alieu Njie F
19 Che Adams F
76 Lapo Siviero G
1 Alberto Paleari G
21 Ali Dembélé D
25 Mattia Pellini D
3 Cristiano Biraghi D
79 Andrea Luongo F
6 Emirhan İlkhan M
11 Gaetano Oristanio M
17 Sandro Kulenović F
7 Zakaria Aboukhlal F
91 Duván Zapata F

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