Bayern München vs SC Freiburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 24

03 Mar 2027, 19:30

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SC Freiburg

Away

AI call Bayern München to win

81%

14%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Bayern München vs SC Freiburg prediction: Sportiko gives Bayern München a 81% chance of winning, SC Freiburg 4% and the draw 14%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 15.7%

Both teams to score

38%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

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Bayern München

WWWDW

SC Freiburg

DWWWW

Last 3 meetings Bayern München · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

Bayern München enters this match against SC Freiburg with a strong offensive record, averaging 2.5 goals per game in the Bundesliga this season. Freiburg, while defensively organized, tends to struggle against high-pressing teams, as evidenced by their average of 1.7 goals conceded per match against top-six opponents. Bayern's possession-based approach could exploit Freiburg's vulnerabilities, particularly on the flanks. Additionally, recent head-to-head meetings favor Bayern, with Freiburg failing to secure a win in their last five encounters. Expect Bayern to leverage their attacking prowess to secure a decisive victory.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

SC Freiburg goals →

	0	1	2
0	5	1	1
1	11	7	2
2	16	8	2
3	14	7	2
4	9	5	1
5	5	3	1

↑ Bayern München goals · most likely 2–0 (15.7%)

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Players in form

Bayern München

M. Olise 4 gls

H. Kane 3 gls

SC Freiburg

Y. Suzuki 4 gls

I. Matanović 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

81%

Draw

14%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

18%

1.5

82%

41%

2.5

59%

64%

3.5

36%

83%

4.5

17%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

81%

Draw

14%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

95% Home (No Draw) 5% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

60% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

81% Home Scores More 14% Equal Goals 4% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

18%

1.5

82%

41%

2.5

59%

64%

3.5

36%

83%

4.5

17%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

23%

24%

19%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.2%	1.5%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
1	11.0%	6.8%	1.5%	0.3%	0.0%
2	15.7%	8.0%	2.0%	0.4%	0.0%
3	13.9%	7.1%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%
4	9.3%	4.7%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

33%

25%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

47%

1.5

53%

75%

2.5

25%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

29%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Bayern München	Draw	SC Freiburg
Bayern München	59.0%	1.8%	0.3%
Draw	21.8%	9.0%	2.0%
SC Freiburg	2.1%	1.8%	2.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

27%

1.5

73%

53%

2.5

47%

76%

3.5

24%

Home Exact Goals

20%

26%

23%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

60%

31%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Bayern München vs SC Freiburg

3 Bayern München Wins

0 Draws

0 SC Freiburg Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Apr 2026	SC Freiburg	2 - 3	Bayern München
22 Nov 2025	Bayern München	6 - 2	SC Freiburg
25 Jan 2025	SC Freiburg	1 - 2	Bayern München

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Bayern München — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Union Berlin	W	7 - 0
13 Sep	A SV Elversberg	W	1 - 2
10 Sep	H Bodo/Glimt	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A FC Schalke 04	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	A VfL Osnabrück	W	1 - 4

SC Freiburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Eintracht Frankfurt	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A SC Paderborn 07	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Werder Bremen	W	4 - 1
27 Aug	H Motherwell	W	4 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.