RB Leipzig vs Bayern München Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 23

27 Feb 2027, 14:30

Post on X

Bayern München

Away

AI call Bayern München or draw

26%

25%

49%

Home Win Draw Away Win

RB Leipzig vs Bayern München prediction: Sportiko gives RB Leipzig a 26% chance of winning, Bayern München 49% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11%

Both teams to score

66%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

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RB Leipzig

LWLLW

Bayern München

WWWDW

Last 3 meetings RB Leipzig · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

RB Leipzig faces Bayern München in a crucial Bundesliga clash. Leipzig has shown strong form this season, ranking among the top teams in goals scored, reflecting their potent attacking unit led by key forwards. In contrast, Bayern maintains a solid defensive record, coupled with their own high-scoring capabilities, making this a tactical battle between offense and defense. Historical data indicates a competitive rivalry, with both teams often exchanging wins. The outcome will likely hinge on Leipzig's ability to contain Bayern’s counter-attacks while maximizing their scoring opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bayern München goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	6	7	4	2	1
1	4	11	10	6	3	1
2	3	7	7	4	2	1
3	2	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1	1
5

↑ RB Leipzig goals · most likely 1–1 (11.0%)

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Players in form

RB Leipzig

A. Nusa 2 gls

Bayern München

M. Olise 4 gls

H. Kane 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Home Win

26%

Draw

25%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS Yes 34% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

35%

2.5

65%

58%

3.5

42%

77%

4.5

23%

89%

5.5

11%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Home Win

26%

Draw

25%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

65% Away (No Draw) 35% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Away Scores More 26% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

35%

2.5

65%

58%

3.5

42%

77%

4.5

23%

89%

5.5

11%

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS Yes 34% BTTS No

Exact Goals

21%

22%

19%

13%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.8%	5.7%	6.8%	4.4%	2.2%
1	3.7%	11.0%	9.5%	6.2%	3.1%
2	3.5%	6.8%	6.7%	4.4%	2.1%
3	1.6%	3.2%	3.1%	2.0%	1.0%
4	0.6%	1.1%	1.1%	0.7%	0.4%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

43%

1.5

57%

72%

2.5

28%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

17%

26%

29%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	RB Leipzig	Draw	Bayern München
RB Leipzig	15.3%	4.6%	3.2%
Draw	9.5%	13.9%	16.0%
Bayern München	2.1%	4.5%	31.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Away Exact Goals

14%

28%

27%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: RB Leipzig vs Bayern München

0 RB Leipzig Wins

0 Draws

3 Bayern München Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
15 Aug 2026	Bayern München	3 - 1	RB Leipzig
17 Jan 2026	RB Leipzig	1 - 5	Bayern München
22 Aug 2025	Bayern München	6 - 0	RB Leipzig

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RB Leipzig — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Bayer Leverkusen	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Hamburger SV	W	5 - 0
10 Sep	A Como	L	4 - 1
05 Sep	A Werder Bremen	L	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	3 - 0

Bayern München — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Union Berlin	W	7 - 0
13 Sep	A SV Elversberg	W	1 - 2
10 Sep	H Bodo/Glimt	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A FC Schalke 04	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	A VfL Osnabrück	W	1 - 4

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.