Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 23

27 Feb 2027, 14:30

Post on X

Union Berlin

Away

AI call Borussia Dortmund to win

81%

16%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin prediction: Sportiko gives Borussia Dortmund a 81% chance of winning, Union Berlin 3% and the draw 16%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

Premium picks

Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — the AI's sharpest picks across all 70+ markets are Premium.

74% 71% 72%

See Premium picks

Free account

Unlock all of today's AI predictions — free

You've seen today's free previews. Create a free account for the AI call, win probabilities and confidence on every match — plus follow your teams and get the daily digest.

Already have an account? Log in

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Pick types you choose

Go Premium

At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 20.3%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Borussia Dortmund

WWWWW

Union Berlin

LLLDW

Last 3 meetings Borussia Dortmund · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Borussia Dortmund will face Union Berlin. Dortmund has demonstrated strong attacking prowess, averaging 2.2 goals per match this season, while their defense has been solid, conceding only 1.1 goals per game. Union Berlin, though resilient, has struggled against top-tier teams, with a record of 1 win in their last 5 encounters against the league's top 6. Key players like Erling Haaland for Dortmund could exploit Union's backline, making this a challenging match for the visitors. Expect Dortmund to leverage their offensive strength to secure a crucial three points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Union Berlin goals →

	0	1	2
0	9	2
1	17	6	1
2	20	6	1
3	15	5	1
4	9	3
5	4	1

↑ Borussia Dortmund goals · most likely 2–0 (20.3%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Borussia Dortmund

S. Guirassy 2 gls

F. Nmecha 2 gls

Union Berlin

T. Skarke 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

81%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

81%

Draw

16%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

96% Home (No Draw) 4% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

57% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

81% Home Scores More 16% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

19%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	1.7%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
1	17.5%	6.2%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.3%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	15.2%	4.6%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	8.5%	2.6%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

32%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

26%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund	56.5%	1.3%	0.1%
Draw	24.2%	11.8%	1.5%
Union Berlin	1.3%	1.5%	1.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

Home Exact Goals

11%

25%

27%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin

3 Borussia Dortmund Wins

0 Draws

0 Union Berlin Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 Jan 2026	Union Berlin	0 - 3	Borussia Dortmund
31 Aug 2025	Borussia Dortmund	3 - 0	Union Berlin
22 Feb 2025	Borussia Dortmund	6 - 0	Union Berlin

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Borussia Dortmund — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A VfB Stuttgart	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H SC Paderborn 07	W	3 - 0
08 Sep	H Villarreal	W	3 - 2
05 Sep	A 1899 Hoffenheim	W	2 - 3
01 Sep	A HEBC	W	0 - 5

Union Berlin — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Bayern München	L	7 - 0
11 Sep	H FC Schalke 04	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Bayer Leverkusen	L	4 - 0
29 Aug	H Eintracht Frankfurt	D	3 - 3
23 Aug	A Eintracht Braunschweig	W	2 - 4

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.