SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 23

27 Feb 2027, 14:30

Post on X

Bayer Leverkusen

Away

AI call Bayer Leverkusen or draw

27%

46%

Home Win Draw Away Win

SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction: Sportiko gives SC Freiburg a 27% chance of winning, Bayer Leverkusen 46% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.8%

Both teams to score

59%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

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SC Freiburg

DWWWW

Bayer Leverkusen

WWDWL

Last 3 meetings SC Freiburg · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

SC Freiburg faces Bayer Leverkusen in a Bundesliga clash on February 27, 2027. Freiburg has shown resilience in their recent matches, sitting comfortably in the mid-table, while Leverkusen has been one of the top contenders this season, boasting a strong attack with an average of 2.5 goals per game. The key matchup will be Freiburg's defense, which has conceded 1.2 goals per game, against Leverkusen's prolific forwards. Expect Leverkusen to dominate possession, aiming to exploit any gaps in Freiburg's backline. However, Freiburg's counter-attacking play could prove crucial if they can capitalize on Leverkusen's high defensive line.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bayer Leverkusen goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	8	8	4	2	1
1	5	13	10	5	2	1
2	4	7	6	3	1
3	2	3	2	1	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ SC Freiburg goals · most likely 1–1 (12.8%)

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Players in form

SC Freiburg

Y. Suzuki 4 gls

I. Matanović 3 gls

Bayer Leverkusen

P. Schick 4 gls

Christian Kofane 2 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

46%

Draw

27%

Home Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

46%

Draw

27%

Home Win

27%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

63% Away (No Draw) 37% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

46% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 27% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS Yes 41% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.9%	7.6%	7.7%	4.3%	1.8%
1	5.2%	12.8%	9.6%	5.4%	2.3%
2	4.1%	7.0%	5.9%	3.3%	1.4%
3	1.7%	2.9%	2.5%	1.4%	0.6%
4	0.5%	0.9%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	SC Freiburg	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
SC Freiburg	15.6%	4.5%	2.7%
Draw	10.1%	16.1%	16.1%
Bayer Leverkusen	1.8%	4.5%	28.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

29%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

19%

31%

27%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: SC Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen

0 SC Freiburg Wins

2 Draws

1 Bayer Leverkusen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Mar 2026	SC Freiburg	3 - 3	Bayer Leverkusen
26 Oct 2025	Bayer Leverkusen	2 - 0	SC Freiburg
04 May 2025	SC Freiburg	2 - 2	Bayer Leverkusen

See all 10 meetings — Premium

SC Freiburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Eintracht Frankfurt	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A SC Paderborn 07	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Werder Bremen	W	4 - 1
27 Aug	H Motherwell	W	4 - 1

Bayer Leverkusen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H RB Leipzig	W	2 - 0
16 Sep	H Celje	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	A FC Augsburg	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Union Berlin	W	4 - 0
29 Aug	A SV Elversberg	L	3 - 2

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.