Borussia Dortmund vs 1899 Hoffenheim Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 19

30 Jan 2027, 14:30

Post on X

1899 Hoffenheim

Away

AI call Difficult Borussia Dortmund win or draw

58%

25%

17%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Borussia Dortmund vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction: Sportiko gives Borussia Dortmund a 58% chance of winning, 1899 Hoffenheim 17% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.2%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Borussia Dortmund

WWWWW

1899 Hoffenheim

LLWLL

Last 3 meetings Borussia Dortmund · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Borussia Dortmund will face 1899 Hoffenheim. Dortmund has shown a strong attacking form, averaging 2.5 goals per match this season, with key players contributing significantly to their offensive output. Hoffenheim, on the other hand, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. The matchup will heavily depend on Dortmund's ability to exploit Hoffenheim's defensive vulnerabilities, while Hoffenheim will need to capitalize on any set-piece opportunities to disrupt Dortmund's rhythm. Overall, Dortmund is favored based on current form and goal-scoring capabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

58%

45%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

17%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

1899 Hoffenheim goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	4	3	1
1	10	12	5	1
2	11	10	5	1
3	7	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Borussia Dortmund goals · most likely 1–1 (12.2%)

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Players in form

Borussia Dortmund

S. Guirassy 2 gls

F. Nmecha 2 gls

1899 Hoffenheim

A. Daghim 2 gls

AI match tools

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

25%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

25%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

77% Home (No Draw) 23% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

58% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

48%

2.5

52%

71%

3.5

29%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.8%	4.4%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
1	10.5%	12.2%	4.9%	1.5%	0.3%
2	11.0%	10.0%	4.5%	1.4%	0.3%
3	6.8%	6.2%	2.8%	0.9%	0.2%
4	3.1%	2.9%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Borussia Dortmund	Draw	1899 Hoffenheim
Borussia Dortmund	37.1%	3.8%	1.1%
Draw	19.5%	15.8%	6.9%
1899 Hoffenheim	2.6%	3.8%	9.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

73%

2.5

27%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Borussia Dortmund vs 1899 Hoffenheim

2 Borussia Dortmund Wins

0 Draws

1 1899 Hoffenheim Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Sep 2026	1899 Hoffenheim	2 - 3	Borussia Dortmund
18 Apr 2026	1899 Hoffenheim	2 - 1	Borussia Dortmund
07 Dec 2025	Borussia Dortmund	2 - 0	1899 Hoffenheim

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Borussia Dortmund — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A VfB Stuttgart	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H SC Paderborn 07	W	3 - 0
08 Sep	H Villarreal	W	3 - 2
05 Sep	A 1899 Hoffenheim	W	2 - 3
01 Sep	A HEBC	W	0 - 5

1899 Hoffenheim — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A SC Paderborn 07	L	3 - 1
17 Sep	A OFI	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	H VfB Stuttgart	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Borussia Dortmund	L	2 - 3
29 Aug	A 1. FC Köln	L	3 - 2

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.