Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 18

23 Jan 2027, 14:30

Post on X

Borussia Dortmund

Away

AI call Borussia Dortmund to win or draw

19%

78%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund prediction: Sportiko gives Hamburger SV a 4% chance of winning, Borussia Dortmund 78% and the draw 19%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:2 · 20.4%

Both teams to score

23%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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Hamburger SV

WLLLW

Borussia Dortmund

WWWWW

Last 3 meetings Hamburger SV · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Hamburger SV will face Borussia Dortmund. Historically, Dortmund has been a dominant force, currently sitting higher in the league standings, showcasing a strong attack averaging 2.3 goals per game this season. Hamburger SV, while competitive, has struggled defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per match. Key players to watch include Dortmund's prolific striker, who has been instrumental in their scoring, and HSV's midfield playmaker, who can dictate the tempo. This matchup will be crucial for both teams as they aim to secure valuable points in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Borussia Dortmund goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11	19	20	14	7	3
1	2	7	6	4	2	1
2		1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Hamburger SV goals · most likely 0–2 (20.4%)

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Players in form

Hamburger SV

No scorer data.

Borussia Dortmund

S. Guirassy 2 gls

F. Nmecha 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

78%

Draw

19%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

78%

Draw

19%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

95% Away (No Draw) 5% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

51% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

78% Away Scores More 19% Equal Goals 4% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

77% BTTS No 23% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

22%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.8%	19.4%	20.4%	13.7%	6.9%
1	2.2%	6.9%	6.1%	4.1%	2.1%
2	0.5%	0.9%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%
3	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

34%

23%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Hamburger SV	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
Hamburger SV	2.1%	1.6%	1.3%
Draw	1.9%	14.1%	24.8%
Borussia Dortmund	0.1%	1.5%	52.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

74%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

87%

41%

1.5

59%

68%

2.5

32%

87%

3.5

13%

Away Exact Goals

14%

27%

28%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Hamburger SV vs Borussia Dortmund

0 Hamburger SV Wins

1 Draws

2 Borussia Dortmund Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
29 Aug 2026	Borussia Dortmund	2 - 0	Hamburger SV
21 Mar 2026	Borussia Dortmund	3 - 2	Hamburger SV
08 Nov 2025	Hamburger SV	1 - 1	Borussia Dortmund

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Hamburger SV — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H 1. FC Köln	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A RB Leipzig	L	5 - 0
06 Sep	H FSV Mainz 05	L	0 - 5
29 Aug	A Borussia Dortmund	L	2 - 0
24 Aug	A Verl	W	0 - 3

Borussia Dortmund — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A VfB Stuttgart	W	0 - 1
12 Sep	H SC Paderborn 07	W	3 - 0
08 Sep	H Villarreal	W	3 - 2
05 Sep	A 1899 Hoffenheim	W	2 - 3
01 Sep	A HEBC	W	0 - 5

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.