Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 18

23 Jan 2027, 14:30

Post on X

SC Freiburg

Away

AI call SC Freiburg to win or draw

10%

24%

66%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg prediction: Sportiko gives Werder Bremen a 10% chance of winning, SC Freiburg 66% and the draw 24%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 16.2%

Both teams to score

36%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Werder Bremen

WDWLW

SC Freiburg

DWWWW

Last 3 meetings Werder Bremen · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and SC Freiburg, both teams are looking to solidify their mid-table positions. Werder Bremen has shown strength in attack, averaging 1.5 goals per match this season, while Freiburg's defense has been relatively solid, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game. Key players to watch include Bremen's top scorer, who has netted crucial goals recently, and Freiburg's goalkeeper, who has made significant saves to keep the scoreline competitive. The outcome may hinge on Bremen's ability to convert scoring opportunities against Freiburg's organized backline.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

SC Freiburg goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11	16	16	9	4	1
1	4	11	9	5	2	1
2	1	3	2	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Werder Bremen goals · most likely 0–1 (16.2%)

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Players in form

Werder Bremen

N. Füllkrug 3 gls

M. Grüll 2 gls

SC Freiburg

Y. Suzuki 4 gls

I. Matanović 3 gls

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Match Result

Away Win

66%

Draw

24%

Home Win

10%

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

66%

Draw

24%

Home Win

10%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

87% Away (No Draw) 13% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

40% Away Win by 2+ 2% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

66% Away Scores More 24% Equal Goals 10% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

64% BTTS No 36% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

20%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.0%	16.2%	15.6%	9.3%	4.2%
1	4.1%	10.8%	8.6%	5.1%	2.3%
2	1.5%	2.6%	2.4%	1.4%	0.6%
3	0.3%	0.5%	0.4%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Werder Bremen	Draw	SC Freiburg
Werder Bremen	5.2%	2.8%	1.9%
Draw	4.4%	17.0%	22.4%
SC Freiburg	0.5%	2.8%	43.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

58%

32%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

78%

0.5

22%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Werder Bremen vs SC Freiburg

0 Werder Bremen Wins

0 Draws

3 SC Freiburg Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Aug 2026	SC Freiburg	4 - 1	Werder Bremen
07 Feb 2026	SC Freiburg	1 - 0	Werder Bremen
20 Sep 2025	Werder Bremen	0 - 3	SC Freiburg

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Werder Bremen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H FC Augsburg	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	A 1. FC Köln	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H RB Leipzig	W	3 - 1
30 Aug	A SC Freiburg	L	4 - 1
22 Aug	A Lüneburger SK Hansa	W	0 - 3

SC Freiburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Eintracht Frankfurt	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A SC Paderborn 07	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Werder Bremen	W	4 - 1
27 Aug	H Motherwell	W	4 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.