Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 17

16 Jan 2027, 14:30

Post on X

FC Schalke 04

Away

AI call Bayer Leverkusen to win

81%

15%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Schalke 04 prediction: Sportiko gives Bayer Leverkusen a 81% chance of winning, FC Schalke 04 4% and the draw 15%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

Premium picks

Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — the AI's sharpest picks across all 70+ markets are Premium.

76% 74% 72%

See Premium picks

Free account

Unlock all of today's AI predictions — free

You've seen today's free previews. Create a free account for the AI call, win probabilities and confidence on every match — plus follow your teams and get the daily digest.

Already have an account? Log in

Premium

Unlock the AI's full read on Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Schalke 04

All 70+ probability markets
AI Deep-Dive match report
Value Edge — model vs market
Pick types you choose

Go Premium

At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 16.7%

Both teams to score

35%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Bayer Leverkusen

WWDWL

FC Schalke 04

DWDLW

Last 3 meetings Bayer Leverkusen · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

Bayer Leverkusen enters this Bundesliga match with a strong offensive record, averaging 2.3 goals per game this season, largely driven by their dynamic midfield and prolific attackers. In contrast, FC Schalke 04 has struggled defensively, conceding 2.1 goals per match, which could be exploited by Leverkusen's attacking prowess. Historical data shows Leverkusen has performed well against Schalke in recent encounters, winning 4 of their last 5 meetings. Given these factors, Leverkusen is favored to secure a victory in this matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Schalke 04 goals →

	0	1	2
0	6	2	1
1	12	7	1
2	17	8	2
3	14	7	2
4	9	4	1
5	5	2	1

↑ Bayer Leverkusen goals · most likely 2–0 (16.7%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Bayer Leverkusen

P. Schick 4 gls

Christian Kofane 2 gls

FC Schalke 04

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Why this pick? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Home Win

81%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

57%

67%

3.5

33%

85%

4.5

15%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

81%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

95% Home (No Draw) 5% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

60% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

81% Home Scores More 15% Equal Goals 4% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

57%

67%

3.5

33%

85%

4.5

15%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

24%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

Premium

1-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.8%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
1	12.2%	6.7%	1.4%	0.2%	0.0%
2	16.7%	7.7%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%
3	14.4%	6.6%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%
4	9.3%	4.3%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

26%

33%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

20%

30%

27%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	FC Schalke 04
Bayer Leverkusen	58.6%	1.7%	0.2%
Draw	22.4%	9.4%	1.8%
FC Schalke 04	1.9%	1.8%	2.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

78%

3.5

22%

Home Exact Goals

21%

26%

23%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

63%

29%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

81%

0.5

19%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

78%

0.5

22%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Schalke 04

3 Bayer Leverkusen Wins

0 Draws

0 FC Schalke 04 Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Apr 2023	FC Schalke 04	0 - 3	Bayer Leverkusen
08 Oct 2022	Bayer Leverkusen	4 - 0	FC Schalke 04
03 Apr 2021	Bayer Leverkusen	2 - 1	FC Schalke 04

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Bayer Leverkusen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H RB Leipzig	W	2 - 0
16 Sep	H Celje	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	A FC Augsburg	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Union Berlin	W	4 - 0
29 Aug	A SV Elversberg	L	3 - 2

FC Schalke 04 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H SV Elversberg	D	0 - 0
11 Sep	A Union Berlin	W	1 - 3
05 Sep	H Bayern München	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A FC Augsburg	L	3 - 0
24 Aug	A Hallescher FC	W	2 - 5

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.