Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 10

21 Nov 2026, 14:30

Post on X

RB Leipzig

Away

AI call RB Leipzig to win or draw

20%

73%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig prediction: Sportiko gives Union Berlin a 7% chance of winning, RB Leipzig 73% and the draw 20%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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74% 72%

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:2 · 17.1%

Both teams to score

34%

Over 2.5 goals

45%

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Union Berlin

LLLDW

RB Leipzig

LWLLW

Last 3 meetings Union Berlin · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Union Berlin will face RB Leipzig in a Bundesliga clash on November 21, 2026. Leipzig, known for their attacking prowess, boasts a strong offensive record, averaging 2.2 goals per match this season. Union Berlin, however, has been solid defensively, conceding only 1.1 goals per game. The matchup will likely hinge on Leipzig's ability to break through Union's organized defense while the hosts will aim to exploit any defensive lapses. Both teams' recent form and key player performances will be crucial in determining the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

RB Leipzig goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	16	17	12	6	2
1	3	9	8	6	3	1
2	1	2	2	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Union Berlin goals · most likely 0–2 (17.1%)

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Players in form

Union Berlin

T. Skarke 2 gls

RB Leipzig

A. Nusa 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

73%

Draw

20%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS No 34% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

73%

Draw

20%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

92% Away (No Draw) 8% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

48% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

73% Away Scores More 20% Equal Goals 7% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

28%

1.5

72%

55%

2.5

45%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

66% BTTS No 34% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.2%	15.6%	17.1%	11.7%	6.0%
1	2.9%	9.0%	8.2%	5.6%	2.9%
2	0.9%	1.9%	2.0%	1.3%	0.7%
3	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Union Berlin	Draw	RB Leipzig
Union Berlin	3.6%	2.3%	1.9%
Draw	3.1%	14.1%	23.4%
RB Leipzig	0.3%	2.2%	49.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

62%

30%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

80%

0.5

20%

98%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

40%

1.5

60%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

Away Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig

1 Union Berlin Wins

1 Draws

1 RB Leipzig Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 Apr 2026	RB Leipzig	3 - 1	Union Berlin
12 Dec 2025	Union Berlin	3 - 1	RB Leipzig
01 Feb 2025	Union Berlin	0 - 0	RB Leipzig

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Union Berlin — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Bayern München	L	7 - 0
11 Sep	H FC Schalke 04	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Bayer Leverkusen	L	4 - 0
29 Aug	H Eintracht Frankfurt	D	3 - 3
23 Aug	A Eintracht Braunschweig	W	2 - 4

RB Leipzig — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Bayer Leverkusen	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Hamburger SV	W	5 - 0
10 Sep	A Como	L	4 - 1
05 Sep	A Werder Bremen	L	3 - 1
29 Aug	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	3 - 0

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.