Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 10

21 Nov 2026, 14:30

Post on X

Hamburger SV

Away

AI call Werder Bremen or draw

36%

33%

31%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV prediction: Sportiko gives Werder Bremen a 36% chance of winning, Hamburger SV 31% and the draw 33%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.1%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

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Werder Bremen

WDWLW

Hamburger SV

WLLLW

Last 3 meetings Werder Bremen · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Hamburger SV, both teams will look to capitalize on their recent form. Werder Bremen currently boasts a solid home record, winning 60% of their matches this season, while Hamburger SV has struggled on the road, securing only 30% of points away from home. Key players to watch include Bremen's leading scorer, who has netted 8 goals this season, and Hamburger's playmaker, averaging 2 key passes per game. This match could be pivotal for both teams as they aim to improve their standings in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

36%

45%

Draw

33%

45%

Away

31%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Hamburger SV goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13	10	6	2	1
1	11	15	7	2	1
2	7	8	4	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Werder Bremen goals · most likely 1–1 (15.1%)

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Players in form

Werder Bremen

N. Füllkrug 3 gls

M. Grüll 2 gls

Hamburger SV

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

36%

Draw

33%

Away Win

31%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

36%

Draw

33%

Away Win

31%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

54% Home (No Draw) 46% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

16% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

36% Home Scores More 33% Equal Goals 31% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.7%	9.8%	6.1%	2.1%	0.6%
1	11.0%	15.1%	7.0%	2.5%	0.7%
2	7.4%	7.8%	4.1%	1.4%	0.4%
3	2.9%	3.0%	1.6%	0.6%	0.1%
4	0.8%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

34%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Werder Bremen	Draw	Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen	21.4%	4.3%	1.5%
Draw	14.6%	21.8%	12.7%
Hamburger SV	1.7%	4.2%	17.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV

2 Werder Bremen Wins

0 Draws

1 Hamburger SV Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Apr 2026	Werder Bremen	3 - 1	Hamburger SV
07 Dec 2025	Hamburger SV	3 - 2	Werder Bremen
24 Feb 2018	Werder Bremen	1 - 0	Hamburger SV

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Werder Bremen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H FC Augsburg	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	A 1. FC Köln	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H RB Leipzig	W	3 - 1
30 Aug	A SC Freiburg	L	4 - 1
22 Aug	A Lüneburger SK Hansa	W	0 - 3

Hamburger SV — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H 1. FC Köln	W	2 - 1
13 Sep	A RB Leipzig	L	5 - 0
06 Sep	H FSV Mainz 05	L	0 - 5
29 Aug	A Borussia Dortmund	L	2 - 0
24 Aug	A Verl	W	0 - 3

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.