Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln Prediction
Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln prediction: Sportiko gives Union Berlin a 35% chance of winning, 1. FC Köln 37% and the draw 28%. Last updated 1 Nov 2026, 16:22.
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Match Report
Union Berlin and 1. FC Köln played out a 1–1 draw in Bundesliga Matchday 8, with the visitors dominating possession but ultimately unable to hold onto a hard-earned point. Janik Haberer gave Köln the lead in the 10th minute, and they carried that advantage into half-time despite Union enjoying little of the ball — the hosts managed just 37% possession across the match.
The second half turned feisty, with a flurry of yellow cards on both sides shortly after the restart. Union pressed for an equaliser and found it in the 79th minute through M. El Mala, cancelling out Haberer's opener and denying Köln what would have been a valuable away win. Köln's xG of 1.05 edged Union's 0.91, reflecting their greater threat across 12 total shots compared to the hosts' five.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a Köln victory as the most likely outcome at 37%, a call that looked well-founded for much of the contest before Union's late leveller changed the complexion of the result.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Union Berlin
Match Stats
Union Berlin
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Janik Haberer M | 7.5 | 74' | 1 | – | 2 | 29 (20%) | 2 |
| 8 Rani Khedira D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (26%) | 2 |
| 5 Marvin Friedrich D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (25%) | 5 |
| 6 Aljoscha Kemlein M | 6.8 | 29' | – | – | – | 15 (11%) | 2 |
| 21 Tim Skarke F | 6.7 | 61' | – | 1 | – | 10 (8%) | – |
| 28 Christopher Trimmel D | 6.6 | 16' | – | – | – | 7 (5%) | – |
| 29 Emmanuel Latte Lath F | 6.5 | 6' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 9 Livan Burcu F | 6.5 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 31 (23%) | – |
| 20 Michel Aebischer M | 6.4 | 84' | – | – | 1 | 36 (30%) | 2 |
| 7 Oliver Burke F | 6.4 | 29' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 1 Frederik Rønnow G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (26%) | – |
| 13 András Schäfer M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (39%) | 2 |
| 17 Derrick Köhn M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (33%) | 2 |
| 4 Zeno Van Den Bosch D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (21%) | 3 |
| 11 Woo-Yeong Jeong M | 6.1 | 16' | – | – | – | 6 (4%) | 1 |
| 30 Kastriot Imeri M | 6.0 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 26 (20%) | – |
1. FC Köln
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 M. El Mala F | 8.0 | 18' | 1 | – | 1 | – | – |
| 17 Alessio Castro-Montes M | 7.4 | 29' | – | 1 | 2 | 18 (16%) | 1 |
| 5 Tom Krauß M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 99 (94%) | 3 |
| 3 Borna Sosa D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 81 (69%) | – |
| 2 Joel Schmied D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 79 (76%) | 1 |
| 30 Marius Bülter F | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 24 (18%) | – |
| 47 Mikey Moore F | 6.7 | 29' | – | – | 2 | 14 (9%) | – |
| 1 Marvin Schwäbe G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (37%) | – |
| 22 Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 91 (89%) | – |
| 37 Linton Maina M | 6.5 | 72' | – | – | – | 32 (27%) | – |
| 23 Paul Okon-Engstler M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 77 (67%) | – |
| 28 Sebastian Sebulonsen D | 6.4 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 38 (32%) | – |
| 10 Said El Mala F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 17 (13%) | – |
| 8 Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson M | 6.1 | 61' | – | – | – | 27 (20%) | – |
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 1. FC Köln | 5 - 0 | Union Berlin |
| 02 May 2026 | Union Berlin | 2 - 2 | 1. FC Köln |
| 20 Dec 2025 | 1. FC Köln | 0 - 1 | Union Berlin |
Union Berlin — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | H 1. FC Köln | D | 1 - 1 |
| 27 Oct | A 1. FC Köln | L | 5 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | A FC Augsburg | D | 1 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | H Borussia Dortmund | D | 0 - 0 |
| 10 Oct | H SV Elversberg | W | 1 - 0 |
1. FC Köln — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | H Bayer Leverkusen | D | 0 - 0 |
| 01 Nov | A Union Berlin | D | 1 - 1 |
| 27 Oct | H Union Berlin | W | 5 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H FC Schalke 04 | D | 0 - 0 |
| 16 Oct | A Eintracht Frankfurt | L | 1 - 0 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 18 |
| 4 |
SC Freiburg
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Werder Bremen
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 10 |
Hamburger SV
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
| 11 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |
FC Augsburg
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |
Union Berlin
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |
FC Schalke 04
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 4 |
Union Berlin
Formation: 3-4-1-2
Coach: M. Lustrinelli
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Rønnow | G |
| 4 | Z. Van Den Bosch | D |
| 5 | M. Friedrich | D |
| 8 | R. Khedira | D |
| 19 | J. Haberer | M |
| 13 | A. Schäfer | M |
| 20 | M. Aebischer | M |
| 17 | D. Köhn | M |
| 30 | K. Imeri | M |
| 21 | T. Skarke | F |
| 9 | Livan Burcu | F |
Substitutes
| 7 | O. Burke | F |
| 11 | Jeong Woo-Yeong | M |
| 32 | M. Gray | F |
| 6 | A. Kemlein | M |
| 29 | E. Latte Lath | F |
| 14 | L. Querfeld | D |
| 31 | M. Raab | G |
| 15 | T. Rothe | D |
| 28 | C. Trimmel | D |
1. FC Köln
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Schwäbe | G |
| 28 | S. Sebulonsen | D |
| 2 | J. Schmied | D |
| 22 | Jahmai Simpson-Pusey | D |
| 3 | B. Sosa | D |
| 37 | L. Maina | M |
| 23 | Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler | M |
| 5 | T. Krauß | M |
| 8 | Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson | M |
| 30 | M. Bülter | F |
| 10 | S. El Mala | F |
Substitutes
| 20 | R. Zieler | G |
| 17 | A. Castro-Montes | M |
| 11 | Reigan Heskey | F |
| 24 | L. Lochoshvili | D |
| 14 | G. Mensah | D |
| 47 | M. Moore | F |
| 29 | J. Thielmann | M |
| 7 | L. Waldschmidt | F |
| 19 | M. El Mala | F |