FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 8

31 Oct 2026, 14:30

Post on X

SC Freiburg

Away

AI call SC Freiburg or draw

34%

30%

36%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg prediction: Sportiko gives FC Augsburg a 34% chance of winning, SC Freiburg 36% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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FC Augsburg

LDWWW

SC Freiburg

DWWWW

Last 3 meetings FC Augsburg · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

FC Augsburg faces SC Freiburg in a Bundesliga clash that promises to be competitive. Augsburg's recent form has been inconsistent, with an average possession of 43% and a goal conversion rate of 8% in their last five matches. In contrast, Freiburg has shown stronger offensive capabilities, boasting a 12% conversion rate and maintaining around 48% possession. The matchup will likely hinge on Augsburg's ability to capitalize on set pieces, as they have scored 40% of their goals from such situations, while Freiburg's defense has been solid, conceding only 1.2 goals per match. This tactical battle could define the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

34%

45%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

36%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

SC Freiburg goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	8	7	3	1
1	8	14	8	4	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ FC Augsburg goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Players in form

FC Augsburg

M. Gregoritsch 3 gls

SC Freiburg

Y. Suzuki 4 gls

I. Matanović 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

36%

Home Win

34%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

36%

Home Win

34%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

52% Away (No Draw) 48% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Away Win by 2+ 15% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

36% Away Scores More 34% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	8.4%	6.6%	2.9%	0.9%
1	8.0%	14.3%	8.3%	3.6%	1.2%
2	6.1%	8.0%	5.2%	2.3%	0.8%
3	2.6%	3.4%	2.2%	1.0%	0.3%
4	0.8%	1.1%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FC Augsburg	Draw	SC Freiburg
FC Augsburg	20.1%	4.5%	2.0%
Draw	13.0%	18.8%	13.8%
SC Freiburg	1.9%	4.5%	21.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: FC Augsburg vs SC Freiburg

1 FC Augsburg Wins

2 Draws

0 SC Freiburg Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Jan 2026	FC Augsburg	2 - 2	SC Freiburg
23 Aug 2025	SC Freiburg	1 - 3	FC Augsburg
02 Mar 2025	FC Augsburg	0 - 0	SC Freiburg

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FC Augsburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Werder Bremen	L	3 - 2
12 Sep	H Bayer Leverkusen	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Eintracht Frankfurt	W	1 - 4
30 Aug	H FC Schalke 04	W	3 - 0
22 Aug	A Energie Cottbus	W	0 - 2

SC Freiburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Eintracht Frankfurt	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A SC Paderborn 07	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Werder Bremen	W	4 - 1
27 Aug	H Motherwell	W	4 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.