Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart prediction: Sportiko gives Bayer Leverkusen a 55% chance of winning, VfB Stuttgart 23% and the draw 22%. Last updated 31 Oct 2026, 16:26.
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Match Report
Stuttgart pulled off a notable upset at the BayArena, winning 4–2 despite Bayer Leverkusen's dominance in possession and territory. The visitors struck early through Ermedin Demirović in the 14th minute, with Jamie Leweling doubling the lead shortly after. Leverkusen halved the deficit through Patrik Schick in the 28th minute, but Stuttgart held their 2–1 advantage into the break. A feisty end to the first half saw four yellow cards issued in the space of a minute around the 40th mark.
Leverkusen drew level early in the second half via Bilal El Khannouss on 51 minutes, but Stuttgart responded swiftly. Demirović, despite picking up a booking, grabbed his second goal of the evening on 65 minutes to restore the visitors' lead. Ibrahim Maza then sealed the result with a 79th-minute strike, completing a disciplined Stuttgart counter-attacking display.
The result defied the pre-match expectations of our AI model, which had rated a Leverkusen win as the most likely outcome at 55%. Leverkusen's xG of 2.07 against Stuttgart's 2.88 ultimately reflected the visitors' clinical efficiency on the night.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Bayer Leverkusen
Match Stats
Bayer Leverkusen
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Patrik Schick F | 8.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 6 | 25 (16%) | 1 |
| 24 Aleix García M | 7.5 | 83' | – | 1 | 1 | 69 (60%) | 3 |
| 30 Ibrahim Maza M | 7.4 | 90' | 1 | – | 4 | 33 (25%) | 1 |
| 2 Facundo Medina D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 60 (53%) | 2 |
| 12 Edmond Tapsoba D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 66 (58%) | – |
| 3 Miguel Gutiérrez D | 6.5 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 64 (53%) | – |
| 22 Victor Okoh Boniface F | 6.4 | 7' | – | – | 1 | 5 (4%) | – |
| 9 Afonso Moreira M | 6.3 | 75' | – | – | 6 | 25 (19%) | – |
| 7 Jonas Hofmann M | 6.3 | 28' | – | – | – | 13 (13%) | – |
| 4 Jarell Quansah D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 52 (44%) | 1 |
| 8 Robert Andrich M | 5.9 | 14' | – | – | 1 | 16 (13%) | 1 |
| 6 Ezequiel Fernández M | 5.8 | 76' | – | – | – | 33 (28%) | 1 |
| 10 Malik Tillman M | 5.7 | 15' | – | – | – | 11 (9%) | – |
| 1 M. Flekken G | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (14%) | – |
| 17 Lucas Vázquez M | 5.2 | 62' | – | – | 1 | 22 (13%) | – |
VfB Stuttgart
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Ermedin Demirović F | 8.8 | 90' | 2 | – | 3 | 13 (8%) | 2 |
| 11 Bilal El Khannouss M | 7.7 | 85' | 1 | – | 2 | 28 (25%) | 4 |
| 26 Deniz Undav F | 7.6 | 72' | – | 1 | 3 | 23 (19%) | – |
| 18 Jamie Leweling M | 7.2 | 85' | 1 | – | 3 | 17 (12%) | – |
| 10 Chris Führich M | 7.0 | 65' | – | 1 | – | 25 (18%) | 1 |
| 41 D. Seimen G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (12%) | – |
| 17 Dženan Pejčinović F | 6.6 | 5' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 21 Grischa Prömel M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 37 (25%) | 3 |
| 16 Atakan Karazor M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 23 (21%) | 1 |
| 29 Finn Jeltsch D | 6.2 | 25' | – | – | – | 7 (7%) | 1 |
| 7 Maximilian Mittelstädt D | 6.2 | 25' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | 1 |
| 3 Ramon Hendriks D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (20%) | 2 |
| 2 Ameen Al-Dakhil D | 6.1 | 5' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 28 Nikolas Nartey M | 6.1 | 18' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 14 Luca Jaquez D | 5.9 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 26 (20%) | – |
| 24 Jeff Chabot D | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 29 (21%) | 2 |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
P. Schick
7 gls
I. Maza
3 gls
E. Demirović
5 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May 2026 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 - 1 | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 - 4 | VfB Stuttgart |
| 16 Mar 2025 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 - 4 | Bayer Leverkusen |
Bayer Leverkusen — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | A 1. FC Köln | D | 0 - 0 |
| 05 Nov | H Marseille | L | 0 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H VfB Stuttgart | L | 2 - 4 |
| 28 Oct | H 1. FC Nürnberg | W | 5 - 2 |
| 25 Oct | A 1899 Hoffenheim | L | 3 - 0 |
VfB Stuttgart — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Werder Bremen | W | 1 - 0 |
| 03 Nov | A Galatasaray | L | 2 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | A Bayer Leverkusen | W | 2 - 4 |
| 28 Oct | A SC Paderborn 07 | W | 0 - 1 |
| 23 Oct | H Borussia Mönchengladbach | L | 2 - 3 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 18 |
| 4 |
SC Freiburg
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Werder Bremen
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 10 |
Hamburger SV
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
| 11 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |
FC Augsburg
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |
Union Berlin
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |
FC Schalke 04
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 4 |
Bayer Leverkusen
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Carles Martínez
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Flekken | G |
| 4 | J. Quansah | D |
| 12 | E. Tapsoba | D |
| 2 | F. Medina | D |
| 3 | Miguel Gutiérrez | D |
| 6 | E. Fernández | M |
| 24 | Aleix García | M |
| 17 | Lucas Vázquez | M |
| 30 | I. Maza | M |
| 9 | Afonso Moreira | M |
| 14 | P. Schick | F |
Substitutes
| 8 | R. Andrich | M |
| 28 | J. Blaswich | G |
| 22 | V. Boniface | F |
| 42 | M. Culbreath | M |
| 39 | K. Doganay | M |
| 7 | J. Hofmann | M |
| 15 | T. Oermann | D |
| 10 | M. Tillman | M |
| 37 | D. Buck | F |
VfB Stuttgart
Formation: 3-4-1-2
Coach: S. Hoeneb
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 41 | D. Seimen | G |
| 14 | L. Jaquez | D |
| 24 | J. Chabot | D |
| 3 | R. Hendriks | D |
| 18 | J. Leweling | M |
| 16 | A. Karazor | M |
| 21 | G. Prömel | M |
| 10 | C. Führich | M |
| 11 | B. El Khannouss | M |
| 26 | D. Undav | F |
| 9 | E. Demirović | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | F. Bredlow | G |
| 29 | Finn Jeltsch | D |
| 7 | M. Mittelstädt | D |
| 28 | N. Nartey | M |
| 17 | D. Pejčinović | F |
| 47 | Y. Spalt | D |
| 8 | Tiago Tomás | F |
| 22 | L. Assignon | D |
| 2 | A. Al Dakhil | D |