Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln Prediction
Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln prediction: Sportiko gives Eintracht Frankfurt a 50% chance of winning, 1. FC Köln 26% and the draw 23%. Last updated 16 Oct 2026, 20:27.
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Match Report
Eintracht Frankfurt secured a narrow 1–0 victory over 1. FC Köln in Bundesliga matchday six, with the decisive moment arriving in the 77th minute through Younes Ebnoutalib's goal. The first half was goalless and disrupted by three yellow cards, with Mario Götze, Lilian Brassier, and Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson all booked before the interval.
Frankfurt dominated proceedings throughout, controlling 56% of possession and generating 14 total shots compared to Köln's nine. The hosts also held a clear edge in expected goals at 1.31 to 0.67, reflecting their sustained pressure. A wave of substitutions around the hour mark reshaped both sides, with Götze — already on a booking — withdrawn in the 71st minute alongside N. Collins, while Frankfurt introduced Linton Maina and Joel Schmied shortly before the winning goal arrived.
Köln struggled to create meaningful chances, managing just three shots on target, and a late yellow card for Borna Sosa in stoppage time summed up a frustrating evening for the visitors. The result was in line with pre-match expectations, as our AI model had identified an Eintracht Frankfurt win as the most probable outcome at 50%.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Eintracht Frankfurt
Match Stats
Eintracht Frankfurt
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Robin Koch D | 8.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 63 (55%) | 3 |
| 3 Lilian Brassier D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 62 (56%) | 2 |
| 11 Younes Ebnoutalib F | 7.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 5 | 16 (10%) | – |
| 1 Noah Atubolu G | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (18%) | – |
| 20 Ritsu Doan M | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (25%) | 3 |
| 2 Elias Baum D | 7.0 | 8' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | 1 |
| 26 K. Kosugi D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (22%) | 4 |
| 15 N. Aséko Nkili M | 6.9 | 19' | – | 1 | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 8 Farès Chaïbi M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 6 | 36 (28%) | – |
| 34 N. Collins D | 6.8 | 71' | – | – | – | 51 (38%) | 2 |
| 7 Ansgar Knauff F | 6.7 | 19' | – | – | – | 12 (8%) | 1 |
| 27 Mario Götze M | 6.7 | 71' | – | – | – | 54 (46%) | 1 |
| 25 R. Onyedika M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 45 (35%) | 3 |
| 9 Jonathan Burkardt F | 6.4 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 9 (7%) | – |
1. FC Köln
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Marvin Schwäbe G | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (14%) | – |
| 3 Borna Sosa D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 55 (39%) | 7 |
| 22 Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (39%) | – |
| 24 Luka Lochoshvili D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (35%) | 2 |
| 2 Joel Schmied D | 7.0 | 68' | – | – | – | 21 (18%) | 1 |
| 17 Alessio Castro-Montes M | 6.6 | 22' | – | – | – | 15 (12%) | – |
| 23 Paul Okon-Engstler M | 6.5 | 22' | – | – | – | 14 (13%) | – |
| 5 Tom Krauß M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (30%) | 10 |
| 28 Sebastian Sebulonsen D | 6.4 | 84' | – | – | 1 | 24 (17%) | 4 |
| 47 Mikey Moore F | 6.3 | 22' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | 1 |
| 11 Reigan Heskey F | 6.3 | 6' | – | – | 1 | 7 (5%) | – |
| 37 Linton Maina M | 6.2 | 68' | – | – | – | 15 (12%) | 2 |
| 7 Luca Waldschmidt F | 6.2 | 6' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 10 Said El Mala F | 6.0 | 84' | – | – | 3 | 10 (7%) | 1 |
| 30 Marius Bülter F | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 10 (4%) | – |
| 8 Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson M | 5.5 | 68' | – | – | 1 | 27 (14%) | – |
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Y. Ebnoutalib
6 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 - 2 | 1. FC Köln |
| 22 Nov 2025 | 1. FC Köln | 3 - 4 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 03 Feb 2024 | 1. FC Köln | 2 - 0 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
Eintracht Frankfurt — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A SC Paderborn 07 | D | 2 - 2 |
| 01 Nov | H Hamburger SV | W | 3 - 1 |
| 27 Oct | A Hamburger SV | W | 1 - 3 |
| 24 Oct | A Borussia Dortmund | L | 1 - 0 |
| 16 Oct | H 1. FC Köln | W | 1 - 0 |
1. FC Köln — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | H Bayer Leverkusen | D | 0 - 0 |
| 01 Nov | A Union Berlin | D | 1 - 1 |
| 27 Oct | H Union Berlin | W | 5 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H FC Schalke 04 | D | 0 - 0 |
| 16 Oct | A Eintracht Frankfurt | L | 1 - 0 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 18 |
| 4 |
SC Freiburg
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Werder Bremen
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 10 |
Hamburger SV
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
| 11 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |
FC Augsburg
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |
Union Berlin
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |
FC Schalke 04
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 4 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: A. Hütter
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Atubolu | G |
| 34 | N. Collins | D |
| 4 | R. Koch | D |
| 3 | L. Brassier | D |
| 26 | K. Kosugi | D |
| 20 | R. Dōan | M |
| 25 | R. Onyedika | M |
| 27 | M. Götze | M |
| 8 | F. Chaïbi | M |
| 9 | J. Burkardt | F |
| 11 | Y. Ebnoutalib | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | L. Arrhov | M |
| 15 | N. Aséko Nkili | M |
| 2 | Elias Baum | D |
| 29 | A. Amaimouni | F |
| 22 | T. Chandler | D |
| 40 | Kauã Santos | G |
| 7 | A. Knauff | F |
| 37 | J. Maluze | D |
| 42 | C. Uzun | M |
1. FC Köln
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Schwäbe | G |
| 28 | S. Sebulonsen | D |
| 2 | J. Schmied | D |
| 22 | Jahmai Simpson-Pusey | D |
| 24 | L. Lochoshvili | D |
| 3 | B. Sosa | D |
| 8 | Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson | M |
| 5 | T. Krauß | M |
| 37 | L. Maina | M |
| 30 | M. Bülter | F |
| 10 | S. El Mala | F |
Substitutes
| 17 | A. Castro-Montes | M |
| 11 | Reigan Heskey | F |
| 14 | G. Mensah | D |
| 47 | M. Moore | F |
| 23 | Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler | M |
| 29 | J. Thielmann | M |
| 7 | L. Waldschmidt | F |
| 20 | R. Zieler | G |
| 46 | A. Kotya-Fofana | D |