Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 6

17 Oct 2026, 13:30

Post on X

SC Freiburg

Away

AI call Difficult Bayer Leverkusen win or draw

58%

25%

17%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg prediction: Sportiko gives Bayer Leverkusen a 58% chance of winning, SC Freiburg 17% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.1%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Bayer Leverkusen

WWDWL

SC Freiburg

DWWWW

Last 3 meetings Bayer Leverkusen · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Bayer Leverkusen enters the match against SC Freiburg with a strong attacking record, averaging 2.5 goals per game this season, bolstered by their high possession style (around 60%). Freiburg, while resilient defensively, has struggled against top-tier teams, conceding an average of 1.8 goals in their last five matches. Leverkusen's ability to create chances through their dynamic midfield could prove decisive, especially if Freiburg's defense falters under pressure. Given Leverkusen's current form, they are favored to secure a victory, but Freiburg's counter-attacking capabilities could pose a threat if they exploit any defensive lapses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

SC Freiburg goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	4	3	1
1	10	12	5	2
2	11	10	5	1
3	7	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Bayer Leverkusen goals · most likely 1–1 (12.1%)

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Players in form

Bayer Leverkusen

P. Schick 4 gls

Christian Kofane 2 gls

SC Freiburg

Y. Suzuki 4 gls

I. Matanović 3 gls

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

25%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

58%

Draw

25%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

77% Home (No Draw) 23% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

58% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.6%	4.3%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
1	10.1%	12.1%	5.0%	1.5%	0.4%
2	10.8%	10.0%	4.7%	1.4%	0.3%
3	6.7%	6.2%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%
4	3.1%	2.9%	1.4%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	SC Freiburg
Bayer Leverkusen	37.1%	3.8%	1.1%
Draw	19.4%	15.6%	6.9%
SC Freiburg	2.6%	3.9%	9.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg

1 Bayer Leverkusen Wins

2 Draws

0 SC Freiburg Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
07 Mar 2026	SC Freiburg	3 - 3	Bayer Leverkusen
26 Oct 2025	Bayer Leverkusen	2 - 0	SC Freiburg
04 May 2025	SC Freiburg	2 - 2	Bayer Leverkusen

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Bayer Leverkusen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H RB Leipzig	W	2 - 0
16 Sep	H Celje	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	A FC Augsburg	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Union Berlin	W	4 - 0
29 Aug	A SV Elversberg	L	3 - 2

SC Freiburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Eintracht Frankfurt	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A SC Paderborn 07	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Werder Bremen	W	4 - 1
27 Aug	H Motherwell	W	4 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.