1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction
1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction: Sportiko gives 1. FC Köln a 48% chance of winning, Borussia Mönchengladbach 27% and the draw 26%. Last updated 11 Oct 2026, 15:32.
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Premium- Away to Score 74%
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Match Report
1. FC Köln claimed a hard-fought 2–1 victory over Borussia Mönchengladbach in Bundesliga Matchday 5, with the decisive moment arriving early in the second half. The opening exchanges were feisty, with yellow cards for Marius Bülter and Jan Leszczyński inside the first half hour before Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson put Köln ahead on 26 minutes. Mönchengladbach levelled through Joe Scally on 39 minutes, sending the sides into the break level at 1–1.
Said El Mala proved the match-winner, netting on 67 minutes to restore Köln's lead just after a double substitution from both sides had reshaped the game. Mönchengladbach pushed for an equaliser but could not find a way through, despite registering 20 total shots to Köln's 16 and posting a higher expected goals figure of 1.46 compared to the hosts' 1.12. Possession was relatively even throughout at 52–48 in Köln's favour.
The result was the outcome our pre-match AI model considered most likely, having rated a Köln win at 48%. Köln held firm in the closing stages despite late bookings for Z. Uno and S. Machino to secure all three points.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
1. FC Köln
Match Stats
1. FC Köln
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Said El Mala F | 8.2 | 78' | 1 | – | 8 | 6 (3%) | 2 |
| 8 Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson M | 7.8 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 43 (36%) | 3 |
| 1 Marvin Schwäbe G | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (29%) | – |
| 22 Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 50 (45%) | – |
| 3 Borna Sosa D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 46 (40%) | 3 |
| 37 Linton Maina M | 7.1 | 92' | – | 1 | 2 | 24 (16%) | 4 |
| 6 Ellyes Skhiri M | 7.0 | 46' | – | – | – | 27 (25%) | 1 |
| 24 Luka Lochoshvili D | 6.8 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 74 (66%) | 4 |
| 5 Tom Krauß M | 6.7 | 44' | – | – | – | 15 (13%) | 2 |
| 47 Mikey Moore M | 6.6 | 85' | – | – | 1 | 24 (21%) | – |
| 28 Sebastian Sebulonsen D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 18 (10%) | 1 |
| 15 I. Rondić F | 6.5 | 5' | – | – | – | 2 | – |
| 2 Joel Schmied D | 6.4 | 12' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 29 Jan Thielmann M | 6.3 | 12' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 30 Marius Bülter F | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 13 (5%) | – |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Joe Scally M | 7.5 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 16 (11%) | 1 |
| 1 Moritz Nicolas G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (25%) | – |
| 4 Kevin Diks D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 47 (45%) | 1 |
| 10 Florian Neuhaus M | 6.6 | 68' | – | – | 1 | 20 (15%) | – |
| 16 Philipp Sander M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 53 (45%) | – |
| 18 S. Machino F | 6.4 | 26' | – | – | 1 | 7 (5%) | – |
| 36 Wael Mohya M | 6.3 | 26' | – | – | 2 | 11 (9%) | – |
| 2 Fabio Chiarodia D | 6.3 | 10' | – | – | – | 20 (17%) | – |
| 3 Isac Lidberg F | 6.2 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 13 (9%) | 1 |
| 47 Z. Uno M | 6.2 | 22' | – | – | 1 | 21 (18%) | 1 |
| 5 Jan Leszczyński D | 6.1 | 80' | – | – | – | 48 (41%) | 2 |
| 26 Lukas Ullrich M | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 44 (34%) | – |
| 27 Fritz Fleck M | 6.0 | 10' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 38 Hugo Bolin M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 30 (24%) | 1 |
| 25 Robin Hack M | 5.8 | 64' | – | – | – | 24 (18%) | 1 |
| 14 Daiki Hashioka D | 5.6 | 80' | – | – | – | 25 (15%) | 2 |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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J. Scally
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | 1. FC Köln | 3 - 3 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3 - 1 | 1. FC Köln |
| 09 Mar 2024 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 3 - 3 | 1. FC Köln |
1. FC Köln — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | H Bayer Leverkusen | D | 0 - 0 |
| 01 Nov | A Union Berlin | D | 1 - 1 |
| 27 Oct | H Union Berlin | W | 5 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H FC Schalke 04 | D | 0 - 0 |
| 16 Oct | A Eintracht Frankfurt | L | 1 - 0 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | A Hamburger SV | L | 3 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H SC Paderborn 07 | D | 0 - 0 |
| 27 Oct | H Karlsruher SC | W | 2 - 0 |
| 23 Oct | A VfB Stuttgart | W | 2 - 3 |
| 18 Oct | H 1899 Hoffenheim | L | 1 - 2 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 18 |
| 4 |
SC Freiburg
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Werder Bremen
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 10 |
Hamburger SV
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
| 11 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |
FC Augsburg
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |
Union Berlin
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |
FC Schalke 04
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 4 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: A. Blessin
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Nicolas | G |
| 14 | D. Hashioka | D |
| 4 | K. Diks | D |
| 5 | J. Leszczyński | D |
| 29 | J. Scally | M |
| 16 | P. Sander | M |
| 10 | F. Neuhaus | M |
| 26 | L. Ullrich | M |
| 38 | H. Bolin | M |
| 25 | R. Hack | M |
| 3 | I. Lidberg | F |
Substitutes
| 34 | M. Nguefack | M |
| 36 | W. Mohya | M |
| 18 | S. Machino | F |
| 22 | Y. Konoplya | D |
| 20 | D. Herold | D |
| 27 | F. Fleck | M |
| 2 | F. Chiarodia | D |
| 33 | D. Batz | G |
| 47 | Z. Uno | M |
1. FC Köln
Formation: 4-1-2-1-2
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Schwäbe | G |
| 28 | S. Sebulonsen | D |
| 22 | Jahmai Simpson-Pusey | D |
| 24 | L. Lochoshvili | D |
| 3 | B. Sosa | D |
| 6 | E. Skhiri | M |
| 8 | Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson | M |
| 37 | L. Maina | M |
| 47 | M. Moore | M |
| 30 | M. Bülter | F |
| 10 | S. El Mala | F |
Substitutes
| 14 | G. Mensah | D |
| 5 | T. Krauß | M |
| 23 | Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler | M |
| 15 | I. Rondić | F |
| 2 | J. Schmied | D |
| 29 | J. Thielmann | M |
| 7 | L. Waldschmidt | F |
| 20 | R. Zieler | G |
| 11 | Reigan Heskey | F |