FC Augsburg vs Bayern München Prediction
FT
WWK Arena, Augsburg
AI call
Bayern München to win or draw
11%
14%
75%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
FC Augsburg vs Bayern München prediction: Sportiko gives FC Augsburg a 11% chance of winning, Bayern München 75% and the draw 14%. Last updated 10 Oct 2026, 15:37.
Premium picks
Premium- 1st Half Draw or Away 76%
- Away 2H Over 0.5 71%
- Under 4.5 70%
Premium members had these picks before kick-off.
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Timeline
Robin Fellhauer
1'
⚽
1–0
Chrislain Matsima
Yellow Card
42'
▮
Rodrigo Ribeiro
Yellow Card
43'
▮
HT 1–0
🖵
51'
Luis Díaz
Goal cancelled
⚽
1–1
55'
Ismael Saibari
assist: Harry Kane
Hennes Behrens
Yellow Card
62'
▮
Young-woo Seol
⇄ Anton Kade
62'
⇄
Rodrigo Ribeiro
64'
⚽
2–1
⇄
67'
Josip Stanišić
⇄ Nathaniel Brown
⇄
67'
Ismael Saibari
⇄ S. Gnabry
Rodrigo Ribeiro
⇄ Mert Kömür
75'
⇄
⚽
2–2
80'
Nathaniel Brown
assist: Harry Kane
Arijon Ibrahimović
⇄ Michael Gregoritsch
82'
⇄
Abdulay Juma Bah
⇄ Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
82'
⇄
⇄
87'
Aleksandar Pavlović
⇄ Tom Bischof
⇄
87'
Luis Díaz
⇄ Lennart Karl
FT 2–2
FC Augsburg
Match Stats
Bayern München
30%
Ball Possession
70%
2.45
Expected Goals (xG)
5.08
12
Total Shots
29
5
Shots on Goal
10
4
Shots off Goal
11
3
Blocked Shots
8
10
Shots insidebox
16
2
Shots outsidebox
13
5
Corner Kicks
9
1
Offsides
4
10
Fouls
6
3
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
8
Goalkeeper Saves
3
286
Total passes
647
215
Passes accurate
582
6
Free Kicks
10
FC Augsburg
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Rodrigo Ribeiro F | 7.6 | 75' | 1 | – | 2 | 14 (7%) | 1 |
| 1 Finn Dahmen G | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 37 (15%) | – |
| 19 Robin Fellhauer M | 7.4 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 18 (11%) | 2 |
| 5 Chrislain Matsima D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 23 (23%) | 3 |
| 32 Fabian Rieder M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (23%) | 5 |
| 2 Calvin Brackelmann D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 29 (24%) | 2 |
| 11 Michael Gregoritsch F | 6.5 | 8' | – | – | – | 3 | – |
| 35 Abdulay Juma Bah D | 6.5 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 23 (23%) | 1 |
| 21 Arijon Ibrahimović M | 6.4 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 26 (18%) | 2 |
| 30 Anton Kade M | 6.3 | 28' | – | – | 1 | 5 (5%) | – |
| 10 Mert Kömür M | 6.3 | 15' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | 1 |
| 7 Young-woo Seol M | 6.2 | 62' | – | – | 1 | 22 (16%) | 2 |
| 16 Hennes Behrens M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (25%) | 7 |
| 4 Han-Noah Massengo M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (22%) | 1 |
| 6 Jeffrey Gouweleeuw D | 5.9 | 8' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
Bayern München
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Harry Kane F | 8.2 | 90' | – | 2 | 8 | 20 (15%) | – |
| 11 Nathaniel Brown D | 7.7 | 23' | 1 | – | 2 | 18 (15%) | – |
| 34 Ismael Saibari M | 7.5 | 67' | 1 | – | 6 | 14 (11%) | 1 |
| 45 Aleksandar Pavlović M | 7.2 | 87' | – | – | – | 99 (90%) | 1 |
| 17 Michael Olise M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 5 | 59 (54%) | 1 |
| 6 Joshua Kimmich M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 123 (109%) | 3 |
| 2 Dayot Upamecano D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 62 (57%) | 3 |
| 14 Luis Díaz M | 6.9 | 87' | – | – | – | 39 (36%) | 2 |
| 19 Alphonso Davies D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 55 (51%) | 1 |
| 7 S. Gnabry F | 6.6 | 23' | – | – | 2 | 16 (12%) | – |
| 1 Manuel Neuer G | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 17 (15%) | – |
| 44 Josip Stanišić D | 6.4 | 67' | – | – | – | 47 (41%) | – |
| 4 Jonathan Tah D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (54%) | – |
| 8 Tom Bischof M | 6.3 | 3' | – | – | 1 | 12 (12%) | 1 |
| 42 Lennart Karl M | 6.2 | 3' | – | – | 1 | 11 (10%) | – |
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Confidence
High (75%)
At a glance
Our lean
Bayern München to win or draw
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FC Augsburg
LLWDL
Bayern München
WWDWW
Last 3 meetings
FC Augsburg · 1W 0D 2L
Match summary
In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, FC Augsburg faces Bayern München. Augsburg has struggled against top-tier teams, with only 4 wins in their last 20 encounters against Bayern. Bayern, on the other hand, boasts a potent attack, averaging over 3 goals per game in their last few matches, while Augsburg has conceded an average of 2 goals per game in similar fixtures. Defensive solidity will be crucial for Augsburg if they hope to limit Bayern's scoring opportunities. Overall, Bayern's superior squad depth and attacking prowess make them the favorites in this matchup.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
11%
10%
Draw
14%
45%
Away
75%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
FC Augsburg
M. Gregoritsch
5 gls
Bayern München
M. Olise
6 gls
L. Díaz
4 gls
H. Kane
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: FC Augsburg vs Bayern München
1
FC Augsburg Wins
0
Draws
2
Bayern München Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Bayern München | 1 - 2 | FC Augsburg |
| 30 Aug 2025 | FC Augsburg | 2 - 3 | Bayern München |
| 04 Apr 2025 | FC Augsburg | 1 - 3 | Bayern München |
FC Augsburg — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A RB Leipzig | L | 5 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | H SC Freiburg | L | 1 - 2 |
| 27 Oct | A SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | W | 2 - 4 |
| 24 Oct | H Union Berlin | D | 1 - 1 |
| 17 Oct | A SV Elversberg | L | 4 - 3 |
Bayern München — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A FSV Mainz 05 | W | 1 - 2 |
| 03 Nov | A Atletico Madrid | W | 0 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | H Borussia Dortmund | D | 2 - 2 |
| 28 Oct | H 1. FC Magdeburg | W | 6 - 1 |
| 25 Oct | A SC Freiburg | W | 1 - 3 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 18 |
| 4 |
SC Freiburg
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Werder Bremen
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 10 |
Hamburger SV
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
| 11 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |
FC Augsburg
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |
Union Berlin
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |
FC Schalke 04
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 4 |
Bayern München
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: V. Kompany
1
Neuer
19
Davies
4
Tah
2
Upamecano
44
Stanišić
45
Pavlović
6
Kimmich
14
Díaz
34
Saibari
17
Olise
9
Kane
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Neuer | G |
| 44 | J. Stanišić | D |
| 2 | D. Upamecano | D |
| 4 | J. Tah | D |
| 19 | A. Davies | D |
| 6 | J. Kimmich | M |
| 45 | A. Pavlović | M |
| 17 | M. Olise | M |
| 34 | I. Saibari | M |
| 14 | L. Díaz | M |
| 9 | H. Kane | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | S. Boey | D |
| 11 | N. Brown | D |
| 7 | S. Gnabry | F |
| 21 | H. Ito | D |
| 42 | L. Karl | M |
| 3 | Kim Min-Jae | D |
| 39 | Bara Ndiaye | M |
| 40 | J. Urbig | G |
| 8 | T. Bischof | M |
FC Augsburg
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: M. Baum
1
Dahmen
2
Brackelmann
5
Matsima
35
Bah
16
Behrens
32
Rieder
4
Massengo
7
Young-Woo
21
Ibrahimović
19
Fellhauer
9
Ribeiro
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | F. Dahmen | G |
| 35 | Abdulay Bah | D |
| 5 | C. Matsima | D |
| 2 | C. Brackelmann | D |
| 7 | Seol Young-Woo | M |
| 4 | H. Massengo | M |
| 32 | F. Rieder | M |
| 16 | Hennes Behrens | M |
| 19 | R. Fellhauer | M |
| 21 | A. Ibrahimović | M |
| 9 | Rodrigo Ribeiro | F |
Substitutes
| 37 | T. Schnitzer | M |
| 8 | K. Suso | M |
| 6 | J. Gouweleeuw | D |
| 11 | M. Gregoritsch | F |
| 30 | A. Kade | M |
| 14 | Y. Keitel | M |
| 10 | M. Kömür | M |
| 22 | N. Labrović | G |
| 39 | U. Ogundu | F |