SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 5

10 Oct 2026, 13:30

Post on X

FC Schalke 04

Away

AI call SC Freiburg to win or draw

72%

20%

Home Win Draw Away Win

SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 prediction: Sportiko gives SC Freiburg a 72% chance of winning, FC Schalke 04 8% and the draw 20%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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73% 71% 70%

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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SC Freiburg

DWWWW

FC Schalke 04

DWDLW

Last 3 meetings SC Freiburg · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga match, SC Freiburg will face FC Schalke 04. Freiburg has shown a solid defensive record this season, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match, while Schalke struggles with away form, averaging 0.8 goals scored per game. Freiburg's midfield control could be key, as they average 55% possession, allowing them to dictate play. Conversely, Schalke's reliance on counter-attacks could be stifled by Freiburg's organized defense. The outcome will likely hinge on Freiburg's ability to exploit Schalke's defensive vulnerabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Schalke 04 goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	3	1
1	12	9	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	11	7	2
4	6	4	1
5	3	2	1

↑ SC Freiburg goals · most likely 2–0 (14.5%)

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Players in form

SC Freiburg

Y. Suzuki 4 gls

I. Matanović 3 gls

FC Schalke 04

No scorer data.

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Match Result

Home Win

72%

Draw

20%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

72%

Draw

20%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

90% Home (No Draw) 10% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

48% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

72% Home Scores More 20% Equal Goals 8% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.0%	2.7%	1.2%	0.3%	0.0%
1	12.0%	9.4%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%
2	14.5%	9.3%	3.0%	0.6%	0.1%
3	10.7%	6.9%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%
4	6.0%	3.8%	1.2%	0.3%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	SC Freiburg	Draw	FC Schalke 04
SC Freiburg	49.1%	2.6%	0.5%
Draw	22.0%	12.6%	3.6%
FC Schalke 04	2.4%	2.7%	4.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

36%

1.5

64%

63%

2.5

37%

84%

3.5

16%

Home Exact Goals

11%

25%

27%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

53%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04

3 SC Freiburg Wins

0 Draws

0 FC Schalke 04 Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Apr 2023	SC Freiburg	4 - 0	FC Schalke 04
30 Oct 2022	FC Schalke 04	0 - 2	SC Freiburg
17 Apr 2021	SC Freiburg	4 - 0	FC Schalke 04

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SC Freiburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Eintracht Frankfurt	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A SC Paderborn 07	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Werder Bremen	W	4 - 1
27 Aug	H Motherwell	W	4 - 1

FC Schalke 04 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H SV Elversberg	D	0 - 0
11 Sep	A Union Berlin	W	1 - 3
05 Sep	H Bayern München	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A FC Augsburg	L	3 - 0
24 Aug	A Hallescher FC	W	2 - 5

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.