FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg Prediction

Bundesliga Bundesliga · Regular Season - 4
FT
Post on X
VELTINS-Arena, Gelsenkirchen
AI call FC Schalke 04 or draw
48%
25%
27%
Home Win Draw Away Win

FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg prediction: Sportiko gives FC Schalke 04 a 48% chance of winning, SV Elversberg 27% and the draw 25%. Last updated 20 Sep 2026, 17:21.

Premium picks

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  • Away to Score 75%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 74%
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Match Report

FC Schalke 04 and SV Elversberg played out a goalless draw in Bundesliga Matchday 4, a match that failed to produce a single goal despite a combined 24 attempts. Elversberg dominated possession with 60% of the ball but could not convert their opportunities, while Schalke managed just one shot on target from 13 total efforts.

The contest was disrupted early by disciplinary issues, with Felix Keidel and Noah Darvich both picking up yellow cards before half-time. Darvich's booking proved costly, as he was withdrawn at the interval. The second half brought a flurry of substitutions from both sides, including the introduction of Edin Džeko for Elversberg, but neither team could find a breakthrough despite the fresh legs. Hasan Kuruçay added another yellow card to the afternoon's tally in the 62nd minute.

The result means the points were shared, with Schalke perhaps the more satisfied side given Elversberg's territorial advantage throughout. Notably, our pre-match AI model had rated a Schalke win as the most likely outcome at 48%, and while the hosts did not win, they avoided defeat against the possession-heavy visitors.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

26'
Felix Keidel Yellow Card
36'
Noah Darvich Yellow Card
45'
Noah Darvich ⇄ Maurice Krattenmacher
HT 0–0
51'
Jan Gyamerah ⇄ Luca Sirch
Hasan Kuruçay Yellow Card
62'
Timo Becker ⇄ Maximilian Wöber
62'
Edin Džeko ⇄ Moussa Sylla
62'
Robin Gosens ⇄ Vitalie Becker
70'
Adil Aouchiche ⇄ Hwang Hee-chan
70'
76'
David Mokwa ⇄ Noel Futkeu
76'
Lasse Günther ⇄ Nicholas Mickelson
Satoshi Tanaka ⇄ Ron Schallenberg
78'
87'
Cole Campbell ⇄ Francis Onyeka
FT 0–0
FC Schalke 04

Match Stats

SV Elversberg
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Goal 1
6 Shots off Goal 4
6 Blocked Shots 6
11 Shots insidebox 6
2 Shots outsidebox 5
4 Corner Kicks 4
2 Offsides 2
10 Fouls 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
357 Total passes 535
259 Passes accurate 436
10 Free Kicks 10
FC Schalke 04
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
4 Hasan Kuruçay D 7.0 90' 39 (36%) 8
24 Adil Aouchiche M 7.0 70' 2 27 (19%) 1
5 Timo Becker D 6.9 62' 29 (21%) 4
19 K. Karaman M 6.8 90' 1 17 (13%) 1
29 Junior Dina Ebimbe M 6.7 90' 2 22 (16%) 4
7 Hwang Hee-chan F 6.6 20' 1 10 (7%)
39 Maximilian Wöber D 6.6 28' 9 (8%) 1
1 Loris Karius G 6.6 90' 25 (15%)
6 Ron Schallenberg M 6.5 12' 5 (3%)
8 Robin Gosens M 6.4 70' 32 (19%) 2
9 Moussa Sylla F 6.4 28' 4 (2%)
23 Soufiane El-Faouzi M 6.3 90' 43 (37%) 2
13 Satoshi Tanaka M 6.3 78' 3 25 (18%) 1
25 Nikola Katić D 6.2 90' 1 33 (21%) 4
33 Vitalie Becker D 6.1 20' 9 (8%)
10 Edin Džeko F 6.0 62' 3 27 (16%)
SV Elversberg
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
20 Nicolas Kristof G 7.1 90' 60 (50%)
31 Maximilian Rohr D 7.1 90' 2 90 (79%)
19 L. Pinckert D 7.0 90' 1 77 (68%) 1
39 Cole Campbell M 6.9 87' 2 20 (15%) 2
8 Łukasz Poręba M 6.8 90' 1 70 (61%) 1
30 Jan Gyamerah D 6.7 51' 34 (26%) 1
21 Lasse Günther D 6.6 76' 38 (31%) 1
2 Nicholas Mickelson D 6.5 14' 11 (11%)
7 Maurice Krattenmacher M 6.5 44' 9 (7%)
9 Noel Futkeu F 6.4 14' 1 (1%)
42 David Mokwa F 6.4 76' 11 (6%) 1
26 Luca Sirch D 6.3 39' 25 (21%)
43 Felix Keidel M 6.2 90' 1 43 (35%)
25 Lukas Petkov M 6.2 90' 3 31 (17%) 4
10 Noah Darvich M 6.2 46' 1 12 (7%) 1
40 Francis Onyeka M 6.1 3' 1
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Confidence Low (48%)

At a glance

Our lean
FC Schalke 04 or draw
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FC Schalke 04
DWDLW
SV Elversberg
DLWWW

Match summary

FC Schalke 04 faces SV Elversberg in an intriguing Bundesliga clash. Schalke, with a strong offensive lineup, has averaged 1.5 goals per match this season, while Elversberg has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per game. Schalke's midfield control could be pivotal, given Elversberg's challenges in ball retention. Recent form suggests Schalke will look to capitalize on set-pieces, where they have shown effectiveness, while Elversberg must tighten their defense to avoid being overrun. Overall, Schalke enters as the stronger side, making them favorites for this encounter.

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Still level at 0-0. Draw looking likely at 65.1%. Late goal chance: 39.2%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 78.6%. Over 1.5 remaining: 49.9%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
48%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
27%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

FC Schalke 04

No scorer data.

SV Elversberg
M. Krattenmacher 3 gls

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Head to Head: FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

FC Schalke 04 — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H SV Elversberg D 0 - 0
11 Sep A Union Berlin W 1 - 3
05 Sep H Bayern München D 0 - 0
30 Aug A FC Augsburg L 3 - 0
24 Aug A Hallescher FC W 2 - 5

SV Elversberg — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A FC Schalke 04 D 0 - 0
13 Sep H Bayern München L 1 - 2
05 Sep A Borussia Mönchengladbach W 3 - 4
29 Aug H Bayer Leverkusen W 3 - 2
22 Aug A MSV Duisburg W 1 - 3

Bundesliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Borussia Dortmund
4 4 0 0 +7 12
2
Bayern München
4 3 1 0 +12 10
3
SC Freiburg
4 3 1 0 +9 10
4
FC Augsburg
4 2 1 1 +5 7
5
Bayer Leverkusen
4 2 1 1 +5 7
6
FSV Mainz 05
4 2 1 1 +4 7
7
SV Elversberg
4 2 1 1 +1 7
8
Werder Bremen
4 2 1 1 0 7
9
RB Leipzig
4 2 0 2 +4 6
10
Eintracht Frankfurt
4 1 2 1 -1 5
11
FC Schalke 04
4 1 2 1 -1 5
12
SC Paderborn 07
4 1 1 2 -2 4
13
1. FC Köln
4 1 1 2 -3 4
14
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 0 3 -3 3
15
VfB Stuttgart
4 1 0 3 -3 3
16
Hamburger SV
4 1 0 3 -11 3
17
Union Berlin
4 0 1 3 -13 1
18
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4 0 0 4 -10 0

FC Schalke 04

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: M. Muslić
1 Karius
4 Kuruçay
25 Katić
5 Becker
8 Gosens
13 Tanaka
23 El-Faouzi
29 Ebimbe
24 Aouchiche
19 Karaman
10 Džeko

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 L. Karius G
5 T. Becker D
25 N. Katić D
4 H. Kuruçay D
29 J. Dina Ebimbe M
23 S. El-Faouzi M
13 S. Tanaka M
8 R. Gosens M
19 K. Karaman M
24 A. Aouchiche M
10 E. Džeko F

Substitutes

7 Hwang Hee-Chan F
38 L. Vozar M
22 K. Müller G
9 M. Sylla F
6 R. Schallenberg M
39 M. Wöber D
20 J. Adamu F
43 M. Ayhan D
33 Vitalie Becker D

SV Elversberg

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: V. Wagner
20 Kristof
21 Günther
31 Rohr
19 Pinckert
30 Gyamerah
8 Poręba
43 Keidel
39 Campbell
10 Darvich
25 Petkov
42 Mokwa

Starting XI

# Player Pos
20 N. Kristof G
30 J. Gyamerah D
19 L. Pinckert D
31 M. Rohr D
21 L. Günther D
43 F. Keidel M
8 Ł. Poręba M
25 L. Petkov M
10 Noah Darvich M
39 William Cole Campbell M
42 D. Mokwa F

Substitutes

6 A. Condé M
7 M. Krattenmacher M
3 F. Le Joncour D
2 N. Mickelson D
40 Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka M
24 L. Schnellbacher M
26 L. Sirch D
28 T. Boss G
9 N. Futkeu F

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