Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln Prediction
FT
Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
AI call
1. FC Köln or draw
34%
27%
39%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln prediction: Sportiko gives Hamburger SV a 34% chance of winning, 1. FC Köln 39% and the draw 27%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 15:23.
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Timeline
Albert Grønbæk
Yellow Card
10'
▮
Nicolás Capaldo
assist: Albert Grønbæk
44'
⚽
1–0
Terem Moffi
⇄ Yussuf Poulsen
45'
⇄
HT 1–0
Yussuf Poulsen
assist: Albert Grønbæk
49'
⚽
2–0
▮
54'
Gideon Mensah
Yellow Card
⇄
64'
Gideon Mensah
⇄ Borna Sosa
⇄
64'
Thijs Dallinga
⇄ Ragnar Ache
Albert Grønbæk
⇄ Patson Daka
67'
⇄
⇄
67'
Alessio Castro-Montes
⇄ Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
▮
77'
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
Yellow Card
David Møller Wolfe
⇄ Louis Lemke
77'
⇄
Zakaria El Ouahdi
⇄ Bakery Jatta
77'
⇄
⇄
81'
Tom Krauß
⇄ Luca Waldschmidt
⇄
81'
Linton Maina
⇄ Marius Bülter
▮
84'
Ellyes Skhiri
Yellow Card
⚽
2–1
90'
Ragnar Ache
assist: Ellyes Skhiri
Albert Sambi Lokonga
⇄ Martin Adeline
90'
⇄
FT 2–1
Hamburger SV
Match Stats
1. FC Köln
45%
Ball Possession
55%
12
Total Shots
18
7
Shots on Goal
5
4
Shots off Goal
6
1
Blocked Shots
7
7
Shots insidebox
12
5
Shots outsidebox
6
3
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5
267
Total passes
566
202
Passes accurate
499
13
Free Kicks
11
Hamburger SV
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Albert Grønbæk M | 8.6 | 67' | – | 2 | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 24 Nicolás Capaldo D | 7.6 | 89' | 1 | – | 1 | 28 (17%) | 4 |
| 15 Yussuf Poulsen F | 7.4 | 43' | 1 | – | 3 | 9 (8%) | 1 |
| 1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G | 7.3 | 89' | – | – | – | 28 (17%) | – |
| 23 Jordan Torunarigha D | 7.2 | 89' | – | – | – | 25 (20%) | 1 |
| 20 Fábio Vieira M | 7.2 | 89' | – | – | 4 | 19 (16%) | 1 |
| 17 Warmed Omari D | 7.1 | 89' | – | – | – | 31 (26%) | – |
| 37 Louis Lemke D | 7.0 | 12' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | – |
| 21 Nicolai Remberg M | 6.9 | 89' | – | – | 2 | 27 (25%) | – |
| 18 Bakery Jatta M | 6.8 | 12' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | – |
| 27 Patson Daka F | 6.8 | 22' | – | – | 2 | 6 (6%) | 1 |
| 3 David Møller Wolfe M | 6.7 | 77' | – | – | – | 15 (7%) | – |
| 6 Albert Sambi Lokonga M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (25%) | 2 |
| 7 Zakaria El Ouahdi M | 6.5 | 77' | – | – | – | 24 (19%) | 5 |
| 9 Terem Moffi F | 6.4 | 46' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
1. FC Köln
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Marvin Schwäbe G | 7.5 | 89' | – | – | – | 32 (27%) | – |
| 24 Luka Lochoshvili D | 6.9 | 89' | – | – | 2 | 99 (94%) | – |
| 37 Linton Maina M | 6.7 | 81' | – | – | 2 | 22 (22%) | – |
| 22 Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D | 6.7 | 89' | – | – | – | 89 (81%) | – |
| 14 Gideon Mensah D | 6.6 | 64' | – | – | – | 66 (60%) | 2 |
| 10 Said El Mala M | 6.5 | 89' | – | – | 4 | 26 (23%) | 1 |
| 27 Thijs Dallinga F | 6.5 | 64' | – | – | 3 | 10 (9%) | – |
| 6 Ellyes Skhiri M | 6.4 | 89' | – | – | – | 64 (59%) | 2 |
| 30 Marius Bülter F | 6.4 | 8' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 9 Ragnar Ache F | 6.3 | 25' | – | – | 2 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 7 Luca Waldschmidt F | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 3 Borna Sosa D | 6.2 | 25' | – | – | – | 17 (14%) | – |
| 5 Tom Krauß M | 6.1 | 81' | – | – | – | 47 (38%) | – |
| 17 Alessio Castro-Montes D | 6.0 | 67' | – | – | – | 25 (20%) | 2 |
| 8 Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson M | 5.9 | 22' | – | – | 1 | 19 (16%) | 1 |
| 47 Mikey Moore M | 5.8 | 89' | – | – | 3 | 30 (22%) | 1 |
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Confidence
Low (39%)
At a glance
Our lean
1. FC Köln or draw
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Hamburger SV
WLLLW
1. FC Köln
DWDLW
Last 3 meetings
Hamburger SV · 0W 1D 2L
Match summary
In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Hamburger SV will face 1. FC Köln, both seeking crucial points early in the season. Hamburger SV has demonstrated a solid home record historically, capitalizing on their attacking prowess, with key players contributing significantly to their goal tally. On the other hand, Köln's recent form has been inconsistent, struggling defensively, which could be exploited if Hamburger SV maintains pressure. The match could hinge on which team controls the midfield, as both sides have shown vulnerabilities in transition. Expect a tactical battle with potential for high-intensity play.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
34%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
39%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln
0
Hamburger SV Wins
1
Draws
2
1. FC Köln Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Hamburger SV | 1 - 1 | 1. FC Köln |
| 02 Nov 2025 | 1. FC Köln | 4 - 1 | Hamburger SV |
| 20 Jan 2018 | Hamburger SV | 0 - 2 | 1. FC Köln |
Hamburger SV — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | H Borussia Mönchengladbach | W | 3 - 1 |
| 01 Nov | A Eintracht Frankfurt | L | 3 - 1 |
| 27 Oct | H Eintracht Frankfurt | L | 1 - 3 |
| 24 Oct | A SC Paderborn 07 | L | 1 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | H VfB Stuttgart | W | 1 - 0 |
1. FC Köln — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | A Union Berlin | D | 1 - 1 |
| 27 Oct | H Union Berlin | W | 5 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H FC Schalke 04 | D | 0 - 0 |
| 16 Oct | A Eintracht Frankfurt | L | 1 - 0 |
| 11 Oct | H Borussia Mönchengladbach | W | 2 - 1 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 18 |
| 4 |
SC Freiburg
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Werder Bremen
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 10 |
Hamburger SV
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
| 11 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |
FC Augsburg
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |
Union Berlin
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |
FC Schalke 04
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 4 |
Hamburger SV
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: M. Polzin
1
Fernandes
17
Omari
23
Torunarigha
24
Capaldo
3
Wolfe
21
Remberg
6
Lokonga
7
Ouahdi
11
Grønbæk
20
Vieira
9
Moffi
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Heuer Fernandes | G |
| 24 | N. Capaldo | D |
| 23 | J. Torunarigha | D |
| 17 | W. Omari | D |
| 7 | Z. El Ouahdi | M |
| 6 | A. Sambi Lokonga | M |
| 21 | N. Remberg | M |
| 3 | D. Møller Wolfe | M |
| 20 | Fábio Vieira | M |
| 11 | A. Grønbæk | M |
| 9 | T. Moffi | F |
Substitutes
| 37 | L. Lemke | D |
| 4 | B. Nadir | M |
| 15 | Y. Poulsen | F |
| 43 | S. Nandja | D |
| 5 | M. Adeline | M |
| 27 | P. Daka | F |
| 18 | B. Jatta | M |
| 19 | Otto Emerson Stange | F |
| 12 | S. Tangvik | G |
1. FC Köln
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1
Schwäbe
14
Mensah
24
Lochoshvili
22
Simpson-Pusey
17
Castro-Montes
6
Skhiri
5
Krauß
10
Mala
47
Moore
37
Maina
27
Dallinga
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Schwäbe | G |
| 17 | A. Castro-Montes | D |
| 22 | Jahmai Simpson-Pusey | D |
| 24 | L. Lochoshvili | D |
| 14 | G. Mensah | D |
| 5 | T. Krauß | M |
| 6 | E. Skhiri | M |
| 37 | L. Maina | M |
| 47 | M. Moore | M |
| 10 | S. El Mala | M |
| 27 | T. Dallinga | F |
Substitutes
| 30 | M. Bülter | F |
| 2 | J. Schmied | D |
| 28 | S. Sebulonsen | D |
| 3 | B. Sosa | D |
| 29 | J. Thielmann | M |
| 7 | L. Waldschmidt | F |
| 20 | R. Zieler | G |
| 9 | R. Ache | F |
| 8 | Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson | M |