Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction
FT
BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach
AI call
FSV Mainz 05 or draw
31%
25%
43%
Home Win
Draw
Away Win
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 prediction: Sportiko gives Borussia Mönchengladbach a 31% chance of winning, FSV Mainz 05 43% and the draw 25%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 15:33.
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Timeline
Florian Neuhaus
assist: Lukas Ullrich
11'
⚽
1–0
⚽
1–1
18'
Phillip Tietz
assist: Sheraldo Becker
Lukas Ullrich
Yellow Card
19'
▮
⚽
1–2
45+1'
Sheraldo Becker
assist: Anthony Caci
HT 1–2
▮
55'
Stefan Posch
Yellow Card
Franck Honorat
Yellow Card
55'
▮
Philipp Sander
Penalty confirmed
55'
🖵
Kevin Diks
Missed Penalty
57'
✗
Isac Lidberg
assist: Lukas Ullrich
59'
⚽
2–2
Florian Neuhaus
Yellow Card
62'
▮
Florian Neuhaus
⇄ Wael Mohya
64'
⇄
⇄
65'
Anthony Caci
⇄ Danny da Costa
⇄
65'
Jae-sung Lee
⇄ Eric Martel
▮
73'
Phillipp Mwene
Yellow Card
⇄
76'
Sheraldo Becker
⇄ Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer
Franck Honorat
⇄ Kevin Stöger
76'
⇄
Joe Scally
⇄ Daiki Hashioka
76'
⇄
⚽
2–3
78'
Eric Martel
assist: Kaishu Sano
Ko Itakura
⇄ S. Machino
84'
⇄
Hugo Bolin
⇄ Robin Hack
84'
⇄
Wael Mohya
Yellow Card
87'
▮
Kevin Stöger
Yellow Card
87'
▮
⚽
2–4
89'
Danny da Costa
⇄
90+1'
Nadiem Amiri
⇄ Lennard Maloney
▮
90+3'
Kacper Potulski
Yellow Card
S. Machino
Yellow Card
90+3'
▮
▮
90+4'
Alexander Schwolow
Yellow Card
S. Machino
Penalty
90+5'
⚽
3–4
▮
90+7'
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer
Yellow Card
FT 3–4
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Match Stats
FSV Mainz 05
47%
Ball Possession
53%
21
Total Shots
16
7
Shots on Goal
7
7
Shots off Goal
7
7
Blocked Shots
2
15
Shots insidebox
14
6
Shots outsidebox
2
6
Corner Kicks
4
0
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
14
6
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4
423
Total passes
479
335
Passes accurate
389
11
Free Kicks
12
Borussia Mönchengladbach
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Isac Lidberg F | 7.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 23 (16%) | – |
| 18 S. Machino F | 7.5 | 6' | 1 | – | 4 | 1 (1%) | – |
| 10 Florian Neuhaus M | 7.5 | 64' | 1 | – | 2 | 13 (9%) | 2 |
| 26 Lukas Ullrich M | 7.2 | 90' | – | 2 | 2 | 30 (22%) | 2 |
| 5 Jan Leszczyński D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 73 (67%) | 1 |
| 29 Joe Scally M | 6.2 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 26 (23%) | 1 |
| 38 Hugo Bolin M | 6.2 | 84' | – | – | 2 | 18 (11%) | 2 |
| 4 Kevin Diks D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 58 (48%) | 2 |
| 9 Franck Honorat M | 6.1 | 76' | – | – | – | 17 (13%) | 1 |
| 16 Philipp Sander M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 60 (44%) | 4 |
| 7 Kevin Stöger M | 5.9 | 14' | – | – | – | 15 (12%) | – |
| 25 Robin Hack M | 5.8 | 6' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 1 Moritz Nicolas G | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (15%) | – |
| 14 Daiki Hashioka D | 5.7 | 14' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 36 Wael Mohya M | 5.6 | 26' | – | – | – | 13 (13%) | 1 |
| 6 Ko Itakura D | 5.4 | 84' | – | – | 1 | 40 (33%) | – |
FSV Mainz 05
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sheraldo Becker F | 9.0 | 76' | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 (16%) | 1 |
| 9 Phillip Tietz F | 7.9 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 21 (10%) | 1 |
| 21 Danny da Costa D | 7.1 | 25' | 1 | – | 1 | 13 (12%) | – |
| 5 Eric Martel M | 7.1 | 25' | 1 | – | 1 | 4 (2%) | 2 |
| 6 Kaishu Sano M | 7.0 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 48 (42%) | – |
| 19 Anthony Caci M | 6.6 | 65' | – | 1 | 2 | 21 (17%) | – |
| 10 Nadiem Amiri M | 6.5 | 91' | – | – | – | 61 (52%) | – |
| 7 Jae-sung Lee M | 6.4 | 65' | – | – | – | 26 (19%) | – |
| 2 Phillipp Mwene M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 32 (27%) | 3 |
| 11 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer F | 6.3 | 14' | – | – | – | 4 (1%) | 1 |
| 1 Alexander Schwolow G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (18%) | – |
| 4 Stefan Posch D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (47%) | 3 |
| 48 Kacper Potulski D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 67 (62%) | 3 |
| 3 F. Gruber D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 78 (64%) | 3 |
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Confidence
Low (43%)
At a glance
Our lean
FSV Mainz 05 or draw
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Borussia Mönchengladbach
LDWWL
FSV Mainz 05
LLLLW
Last 3 meetings
Borussia Mönchengladbach · 1W 1D 1L
Match summary
In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Borussia Mönchengladbach will host FSV Mainz 05. Mönchengladbach has shown a strong offensive presence, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season, while Mainz has struggled defensively, conceding 2.2 goals per game. The effectiveness of Mönchengladbach's midfield will be crucial in controlling the pace and creating opportunities. Conversely, Mainz will need to improve their defensive organization to contain the attacking threats. This matchup could hinge on Mönchengladbach’s ability to exploit any defensive lapses from Mainz.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Ours
Independent
Home
31%
10%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
43%
45%
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Borussia Mönchengladbach
J. Scally
3 gls
FSV Mainz 05
P. Tietz
5 gls
A. Caci
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05
1
Borussia Mönchengladbach Wins
1
Draws
1
FSV Mainz 05 Wins
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1 - 1 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| 05 Dec 2025 | FSV Mainz 05 | 0 - 1 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 07 Mar 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1 - 3 | FSV Mainz 05 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | A Hamburger SV | L | 3 - 1 |
| 31 Oct | H SC Paderborn 07 | D | 0 - 0 |
| 27 Oct | H Karlsruher SC | W | 2 - 0 |
| 23 Oct | A VfB Stuttgart | W | 2 - 3 |
| 18 Oct | H 1899 Hoffenheim | L | 1 - 2 |
FSV Mainz 05 — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Bayern München | L | 1 - 2 |
| 30 Oct | A SV Elversberg | L | 4 - 1 |
| 27 Oct | A VfL Bochum | L | 2 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H Werder Bremen | L | 2 - 3 |
| 17 Oct | A FC Schalke 04 | W | 0 - 1 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 18 |
| 4 |
SC Freiburg
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Werder Bremen
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 10 |
Hamburger SV
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
| 11 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |
FC Augsburg
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |
Union Berlin
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |
FC Schalke 04
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 4 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: J. Lichte
1
Nicolas
4
Diks
5
Leszczyński
6
Itakura
26
Ullrich
16
Sander
38
Bolin
29
Scally
10
Neuhaus
9
Honorat
3
Lidberg
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Nicolas | G |
| 6 | K. Itakura | D |
| 5 | J. Leszczyński | D |
| 4 | K. Diks | D |
| 29 | J. Scally | M |
| 38 | H. Bolin | M |
| 16 | P. Sander | M |
| 26 | L. Ullrich | M |
| 9 | F. Honorat | M |
| 10 | F. Neuhaus | M |
| 3 | I. Lidberg | F |
Substitutes
| 2 | F. Chiarodia | D |
| 25 | R. Hack | M |
| 14 | D. Hashioka | D |
| 20 | D. Herold | D |
| 33 | D. Batz | G |
| 18 | S. Machino | F |
| 36 | W. Mohya | M |
| 34 | M. Nguefack | M |
| 7 | K. Stöger | M |
FSV Mainz 05
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: U. Fischer
1
Schwolow
48
Potulski
3
Gruber
4
Posch
2
Mwene
7
Jae-Sung
6
Sano
10
Amiri
19
Caci
23
Becker
9
Tietz
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | A. Schwolow | G |
| 4 | S. Posch | D |
| 3 | F. Gruber | D |
| 48 | K. Potulski | D |
| 19 | A. Caci | M |
| 10 | N. Amiri | M |
| 6 | K. Sano | M |
| 7 | Lee Jae-Sung | M |
| 2 | P. Mwene | M |
| 9 | P. Tietz | F |
| 23 | S. Becker | F |
Substitutes
| 16 | S. Bell | D |
| 21 | D. da Costa | D |
| 17 | B. Hollerbach | F |
| 40 | M. Kinzig | G |
| 11 | R. Königsdörffer | F |
| 15 | L. Maloney | M |
| 5 | E. Martel | M |
| 47 | R. Nakuzola | D |
| 20 | O. Ruoppi | M |