FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction
FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt prediction: Sportiko gives FSV Mainz 05 a 53% chance of winning, Eintracht Frankfurt 24% and the draw 24%. Last updated 12 Sep 2026, 15:25.
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Match Report
Eintracht Frankfurt secured a commanding 3–1 victory away at FSV Mainz 05 in Bundesliga Matchday 3, with Can Uzun the standout performer on a difficult afternoon for the hosts. Frankfurt struck early through Uzun in the ninth minute, and despite Mainz enjoying 55% possession throughout, they struggled to convert that dominance into clear chances. A missed penalty from Nadiem Amiri in the 43rd minute proved costly, as Jonathan Burkardt added a second goal deep in first-half stoppage time to send Frankfurt into the break firmly in control.
The second half offered little respite for Mainz. Uzun doubled his personal tally with a third Frankfurt goal on the hour mark, effectively ending the contest. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Mainz win as the most likely outcome at 53%, a call that proved well wide of the mark. Both sides finished level on shots on target at five apiece, though Frankfurt were far more clinical in front of goal.
Phillip Tietz pulled one back for Mainz in the 89th minute, but it amounted to little more than a consolation as Frankfurt ran out deserved winners.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
FSV Mainz 05
Match Stats
FSV Mainz 05
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Phillip Tietz F | 7.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 6 | 22 (13%) | 1 |
| 11 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer F | 6.8 | 44' | – | – | 2 | 10 (7%) | – |
| 10 Nadiem Amiri M | 6.6 | 85' | – | – | 2 | 56 (51%) | 2 |
| 23 Sheraldo Becker F | 6.5 | 74' | – | – | 3 | 16 (11%) | – |
| 4 Stefan Posch D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 68 (62%) | 2 |
| 48 Kacper Potulski D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 57 (53%) | 4 |
| 17 B. Hollerbach F | 6.4 | 16' | – | – | 2 | 11 (8%) | 1 |
| 3 F. Gruber D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 71 (60%) | 5 |
| 6 Kaishu Sano M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 57 (48%) | 3 |
| 47 R. Nakuzola D | 6.1 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 5 (5%) | 1 |
| 7 Jae-sung Lee M | 6.0 | 46' | – | – | – | 11 (7%) | – |
| 20 O. Ruoppi M | 5.9 | 5' | – | 1 | – | 4 (1%) | – |
| 21 Danny da Costa D | 5.9 | 28' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | 1 |
| 2 Phillipp Mwene M | 5.7 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 14 (10%) | 1 |
| 27 Robin Zentner G | 5.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (24%) | – |
| 19 Anthony Caci M | 5.4 | 62' | – | – | – | 27 (18%) | 1 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 Can Uzun M | 9.3 | 87' | 2 | – | 2 | 42 (37%) | 2 |
| 9 Jonathan Burkardt F | 9.0 | 74' | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 (11%) | – |
| 4 Robin Koch D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 56 (55%) | 2 |
| 1 Noah Atubolu G | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 21 (13%) | – |
| 3 Lilian Brassier D | 7.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (43%) | 4 |
| 37 J. Maluze D | 7.1 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 53 (38%) | 2 |
| 15 N. Aséko Nkili M | 6.9 | 59' | – | – | – | 21 (18%) | 2 |
| 27 Mario Götze M | 6.8 | 31' | – | 1 | – | 24 (21%) | 3 |
| 22 Timothy Chandler D | 6.6 | 3' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 29 Ayoube Amaimouni Echghouyab F | 6.5 | 3' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 11 Younes Ebnoutalib F | 6.5 | 16' | – | – | – | 2 (1%) | – |
| 26 K. Kosugi M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 22 (16%) | 2 |
| 25 R. Onyedika M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (35%) | – |
| 20 Ritsu Doan M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 24 (20%) | 2 |
| 2 Elias Baum M | 6.1 | 87' | – | – | 1 | 27 (18%) | 3 |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
P. Tietz
4 gls
S. Becker
2 gls
Y. Ebnoutalib
4 gls
J. Burkardt
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2026 | FSV Mainz 05 | 2 - 1 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 09 Nov 2025 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 - 0 | FSV Mainz 05 |
| 04 May 2025 | FSV Mainz 05 | 1 - 1 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
FSV Mainz 05 — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Borussia Mönchengladbach | W | 3 - 4 |
| 12 Sep | H Eintracht Frankfurt | L | 1 - 3 |
| 06 Sep | A Hamburger SV | W | 0 - 5 |
| 29 Aug | H SC Paderborn 07 | D | 0 - 0 |
| 23 Aug | A Krieschow | W | 0 - 9 |
Eintracht Frankfurt — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H SC Freiburg | D | 2 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A FSV Mainz 05 | W | 1 - 3 |
| 06 Sep | H FC Augsburg | L | 1 - 4 |
| 29 Aug | A Union Berlin | D | 3 - 3 |
| 21 Aug | A SC St. Tönis | W | 0 - 11 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 |
SC Freiburg
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |
FC Augsburg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Werder Bremen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |
FC Schalke 04
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |
1. FC Köln
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 |
Hamburger SV
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 |
Union Berlin
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 |
FSV Mainz 05
Formation: 3-1-4-2
Coach: U. Fischer
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 27 | R. Zentner | G |
| 4 | S. Posch | D |
| 3 | F. Gruber | D |
| 48 | K. Potulski | D |
| 6 | K. Sano | M |
| 19 | A. Caci | M |
| 7 | Lee Jae-Sung | M |
| 10 | N. Amiri | M |
| 2 | P. Mwene | M |
| 23 | S. Becker | F |
| 9 | P. Tietz | F |
Substitutes
| 21 | D. da Costa | D |
| 17 | B. Hollerbach | F |
| 16 | S. Bell | D |
| 24 | S. Kawasaki | M |
| 11 | R. Königsdörffer | F |
| 15 | L. Maloney | M |
| 47 | R. Nakuzola | D |
| 20 | O. Ruoppi | M |
| 1 | A. Schwolow | G |
Eintracht Frankfurt
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: A. Hütter
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Atubolu | G |
| 37 | J. Maluze | D |
| 4 | R. Koch | D |
| 3 | L. Brassier | D |
| 2 | Elias Baum | M |
| 15 | N. Aséko Nkili | M |
| 25 | R. Onyedika | M |
| 26 | K. Kosugi | M |
| 20 | R. Dōan | M |
| 42 | C. Uzun | M |
| 9 | J. Burkardt | F |
Substitutes
| 35 | M. Pimpong | F |
| 5 | Otávio | D |
| 40 | Kauã Santos | G |
| 27 | M. Götze | M |
| 11 | Y. Ebnoutalib | F |
| 34 | N. Collins | D |
| 22 | T. Chandler | D |
| 31 | L. Arrhov | M |
| 29 | A. Amaimouni | F |