Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 3

11 Sep 2026, 18:30

Post on X

FC Schalke 04

Away

AI call Union Berlin or draw

45%

31%

24%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 prediction: Sportiko gives Union Berlin a 45% chance of winning, FC Schalke 04 24% and the draw 31%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:44.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.5%

Both teams to score

46%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Union Berlin

DLDLD

FC Schalke 04

WWWDD

Last 3 meetings Union Berlin · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Union Berlin will face FC Schalke 04. Union Berlin has shown a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.2 goals per match this season, while Schalke struggles with a leaky defense, allowing 2.0 goals per match on average. The attacking duo of Union’s forwards has been effective, contributing to a goal rate of 1.5 per match. Schalke’s reliance on set pieces could be crucial, as they have scored 40% of their goals from dead-ball situations. This matchup could hinge on whether Schalke can exploit Union’s defensive lapses or if Union continues their efficient goal-scoring form.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Schalke 04 goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	12	8	4	1
1	12	15	6	2
2	10	9	4	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Union Berlin goals · most likely 1–1 (14.5%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

31%

Away Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

31%

Away Win

24%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

66% Home (No Draw) 34% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 24% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS No 46% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.1%	7.9%	4.3%	1.3%	0.3%
1	12.5%	14.5%	5.9%	1.8%	0.4%
2	9.5%	8.7%	4.0%	1.2%	0.3%
3	4.3%	3.9%	1.8%	0.5%	0.1%
4	1.5%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Union Berlin	Draw	FC Schalke 04
Union Berlin	27.4%	4.1%	1.2%
Draw	17.2%	20.9%	10.0%
FC Schalke 04	1.9%	4.1%	13.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04

1 Union Berlin Wins

2 Draws

0 FC Schalke 04 Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Feb 2023	Union Berlin	0 - 0	FC Schalke 04
27 Aug 2022	FC Schalke 04	1 - 6	Union Berlin
13 Feb 2021	Union Berlin	0 - 0	FC Schalke 04

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Union Berlin — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	H Cagliari	D	2 - 2
01 Aug	A Dynamo Dresden	L	2 - 1
17 Jul	A FC Winterthur	D	0 - 0
12 Jul	A FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L	1 - 0
09 Jul	A Chemnitzer FC	D	1 - 1

FC Schalke 04 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A Hessen Kassel	W	0 - 5
25 Jul	H Fagiano Okayama	W	3 - 1
19 Jul	A Erzgebirge Aue	W	2 - 4
11 Jul	A FC Gutersloh	D	0 - 0
21 Mar	A SV Darmstadt 98	D	1 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Borussia Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	RB Leipzig	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	VfB Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	1899 Hoffenheim	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	FC Augsburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	FSV Mainz 05	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Union Berlin	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Hamburger SV	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	1. FC Köln	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Werder Bremen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	FC Schalke 04	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	SV Elversberg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	SC Paderborn 07	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.