SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 2

05 Sep 2026, 13:30

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SC Freiburg

Away

AI call SC Freiburg to win

23%

68%

Home Win Draw Away Win

SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg prediction: Sportiko gives SC Paderborn 07 a 9% chance of winning, SC Freiburg 68% and the draw 23%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:44.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:2 · 14.9%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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SC Paderborn 07

WWDDW

SC Freiburg

WLDLW

Last 3 meetings SC Paderborn 07 · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, SC Paderborn 07 will face SC Freiburg. Paderborn currently stands with a mixed record, having shown vulnerability in defense, conceding an average of 2 goals per match in their last five games. Conversely, Freiburg has been more consistent, leveraging a solid midfield to control possession and create scoring opportunities. Key players to watch include Freiburg's top scorer, who has been instrumental in their attacking plays. This match will be crucial for both teams as they aim to secure vital points early in the season.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

10%

Draw

23%

45%

Away

68%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

SC Freiburg goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	14	15	10	5	2
1	3	10	9	6	3	1
2	1	3	3	2	1
3		1	1
4
5

↑ SC Paderborn 07 goals · most likely 0–2 (14.9%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

68%

Draw

23%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

68%

Draw

23%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

88% Away (No Draw) 12% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

43% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

68% Away Scores More 23% Equal Goals 9% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.9%	14.0%	14.9%	9.8%	4.8%
1	3.5%	10.5%	9.1%	6.0%	3.0%
2	1.4%	2.8%	2.8%	1.8%	0.9%
3	0.3%	0.6%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	SC Paderborn 07	Draw	SC Freiburg
SC Paderborn 07	5.1%	2.8%	2.1%
Draw	4.3%	15.0%	22.0%
SC Freiburg	0.6%	2.9%	45.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

54%

33%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Away Exact Goals

14%

28%

27%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: SC Paderborn 07 vs SC Freiburg

2 SC Paderborn 07 Wins

0 Draws

1 SC Freiburg Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Jan 2020	SC Freiburg	0 - 2	SC Paderborn 07
24 Aug 2019	SC Paderborn 07	1 - 3	SC Freiburg
02 May 2015	SC Freiburg	1 - 2	SC Paderborn 07

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SC Paderborn 07 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A VfL Osnabrück	W	0 - 2
21 Mar	H Dynamo Dresden	W	2 - 1
14 Mar	A Arminia Bielefeld	D	2 - 2
07 Mar	H Eintracht Braunschweig	D	1 - 1
28 Feb	A 1. FC Kaiserslautern	W	1 - 2

SC Freiburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 May	H RB Leipzig	W	4 - 1
10 May	A Hamburger SV	L	3 - 2
03 May	H VfL Wolfsburg	D	1 - 1
26 Apr	A Borussia Dortmund	L	4 - 0
19 Apr	H 1. FC Heidenheim	W	2 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Borussia Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	RB Leipzig	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	VfB Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	1899 Hoffenheim	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	FC Augsburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	FSV Mainz 05	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Union Berlin	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Hamburger SV	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	1. FC Köln	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Werder Bremen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	FC Schalke 04	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	SV Elversberg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	SC Paderborn 07	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.