Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 2

05 Sep 2026, 13:30

Post on X

Union Berlin

Away

AI call Bayer Leverkusen to win

80%

17%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin prediction: Sportiko gives Bayer Leverkusen a 80% chance of winning, Union Berlin 3% and the draw 17%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:44.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 20.4%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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Bayer Leverkusen

WWWDL

Union Berlin

DLDLD

Last 3 meetings Bayer Leverkusen · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Bayer Leverkusen enters this Bundesliga clash against Union Berlin with a strong attacking record, averaging 2.5 goals per game this season. Their high possession style (averaging 62% possession) allows them to control the tempo, while their defense has been relatively solid, conceding just 1 goal per match. In contrast, Union Berlin has struggled with consistency, particularly on the road, managing only 1.2 goals per game. Leverkusen's ability to create chances and maintain pressure could prove decisive in this matchup, making them the favorites to secure a victory.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Union Berlin goals →

	0	1	2
0	10	2
1	18	6	1
2	20	6	1
3	15	4	1
4	8	2
5	3	1

↑ Bayer Leverkusen goals · most likely 2–0 (20.4%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

80%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

80%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

96% Home (No Draw) 4% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

55% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

80% Home Scores More 17% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

57%

2.5

43%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

20%

27%

22%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.6%	1.9%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
1	18.2%	6.4%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.4%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	14.6%	4.4%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	7.9%	2.4%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

34%

24%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen	55.0%	1.4%	0.1%
Draw	24.4%	12.7%	1.7%
Union Berlin	1.3%	1.5%	1.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

38%

1.5

62%

65%

2.5

35%

85%

3.5

15%

Home Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin

1 Bayer Leverkusen Wins

1 Draws

1 Union Berlin Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Feb 2026	Union Berlin	1 - 0	Bayer Leverkusen
04 Oct 2025	Bayer Leverkusen	2 - 0	Union Berlin
12 Apr 2025	Bayer Leverkusen	0 - 0	Union Berlin

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Bayer Leverkusen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Rot-Weiß Essen	W	3 - 0
29 Jul	H Genk	W	4 - 0
25 Jul	A Kickers Offenbach	W	1 - 3
16 May	H Hamburger SV	D	1 - 1
09 May	A VfB Stuttgart	L	3 - 1

Union Berlin — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	H Cagliari	D	2 - 2
01 Aug	A Dynamo Dresden	L	2 - 1
17 Jul	A FC Winterthur	D	0 - 0
12 Jul	A FC Carl Zeiss Jena	L	1 - 0
09 Jul	A Chemnitzer FC	D	1 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Borussia Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	RB Leipzig	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	VfB Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	1899 Hoffenheim	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	FC Augsburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	FSV Mainz 05	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Union Berlin	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Hamburger SV	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	1. FC Köln	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Werder Bremen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	FC Schalke 04	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	SV Elversberg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	SC Paderborn 07	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.