Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Prediction

Bundesliga Bundesliga · Regular Season - 2
FT
Post on X
AI call Difficult Bayer Leverkusen win or draw
65%
21%
15%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin prediction: Sportiko gives Bayer Leverkusen a 65% chance of winning, Union Berlin 15% and the draw 21%. Last updated 5 Sep 2026, 15:24.

Premium picks

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  • Home/Draw & Over 1.5 75%
  • Under 4.5 75%
  • Home 2H Over 0.5 72%
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Match Report

Bayer Leverkusen made an emphatic statement in Bundesliga Matchday 2, dismantling Union Berlin 4–0 at home in a display of total dominance. Ezequiel Fernández set the tone with a goal inside the opening minute, and Facundo Medina doubled the lead on 28 minutes to send the hosts into the break firmly in control. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Leverkusen win as the most likely outcome at 65%, and the game validated that assessment emphatically.

The second half brought more of the same. Patrik Schick struck almost immediately after the restart to make it 3–0, before Ibrahim Maza added a fourth on 66 minutes to complete the rout. Union Berlin offered virtually nothing in response, registering zero shots on target throughout the entire match compared to Leverkusen's ten.

The statistics told a stark story: 64% possession, 11 corners to Union's one, and 20 total attempts underlined Leverkusen's utter control. Three yellow cards for the visitors reflected their growing frustration, while Leverkusen's clinical efficiency will make them a serious force to watch this season.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Ezequiel Fernández assist: Miguel Gutiérrez
1' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 4'
Felix Uduokhai Yellow Card
Facundo Medina assist: Miguel Gutiérrez
28' ⚽ 2–0
HT 2–0
▮ 47'
Zeno Van Den Bosch Yellow Card
Patrik Schick assist: Jarell Quansah
48' ⚽ 3–0
Miguel Gutiérrez Yellow Card
61' ▮
⇄ 63'
Emmanuel Latte Lath ⇄ Tim Skarke
⇄ 63'
Michel Aebischer ⇄ Woo-Yeong Jeong
⇄ 63'
Aljoscha Kemlein ⇄ Janik Haberer
Ibrahim Maza assist: Patrik Schick
66' ⚽ 4–0
Patrik Schick ⇄ Christian Kofane
67' ⇄
Malik Tillman ⇄ Moussa Diaby
67' ⇄
Ezequiel Fernández ⇄ Robert Andrich
71' ⇄
Facundo Medina ⇄ Loïc Badé
71' ⇄
⇄ 74'
Josip Juranović ⇄ Christopher Trimmel
⇄ 79'
Livan Burcu ⇄ András Schäfer
Miguel Gutiérrez ⇄ Lucas Vázquez
83' ⇄
Ibrahim Maza Yellow Card
88' ▮
FT 4–0
Bayer Leverkusen

Match Stats

Union Berlin
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Goal 0
4 Shots off Goal 3
6 Blocked Shots 2
15 Shots insidebox 2
5 Shots outsidebox 3
11 Corner Kicks 1
3 Offsides 3
11 Fouls 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
0 Goalkeeper Saves 6
581 Total passes 323
523 Passes accurate 260
11 Free Kicks 10
Bayer Leverkusen
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
14 Patrik Schick F 8.8 67' 1 1 4 8 (7%) –
3 Miguel Gutiérrez D 8.2 83' – 2 – 53 (47%) 1
6 Ezequiel Fernández M 8.2 71' 1 – 2 48 (46%) 1
30 Ibrahim Maza M 8.0 90' 1 – 5 55 (43%) –
2 Facundo Medina D 7.6 71' 1 – 1 67 (65%) –
24 Aleix García M 7.2 90' – – 2 103 (94%) 2
4 Jarell Quansah D 7.1 90' – 1 1 47 (44%) 1
12 Edmond Tapsoba D 6.9 90' – – – 64 (59%) 1
19 Moussa Diaby F 6.7 23' – – – 9 (9%) –
5 Loïc Badé D 6.7 19' – – – 14 (13%) 3
10 Malik Tillman M 6.6 67' – – 1 32 (29%) –
9 Afonso Moreira M 6.6 90' – – 3 32 (28%) 1
8 Robert Andrich M 6.6 19' – – – 15 (13%) –
1 M. Flekken G 6.5 90' – – – 30 (23%) –
35 Christian Kofane F 6.3 23' – – 1 2 (1%) –
17 Lucas Vázquez D 6.2 7' – – – 2 (2%) –
Union Berlin
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Frederik Rønnow G 6.7 90' – – – 28 (19%) –
29 Emmanuel Latte Lath F 6.4 63' – – 1 6 (2%) –
27 Marin Ljubičić F 6.4 90' – – – 15 (12%) 1
9 Livan Burcu M 6.2 79' – – – 25 (22%) –
19 Janik Haberer M 6.1 27' – – 1 12 (11%) –
13 András Schäfer M 6.0 11' – – – 7 (7%) –
21 Tim Skarke M 6.0 27' – – 1 8 (4%) 2
20 Michel Aebischer M 5.9 63' – – – 12 (10%) 1
18 Josip Juranović D 5.9 74' – – 1 24 (18%) 2
8 Rani Khedira M 5.8 90' – – – 34 (28%) 1
15 Tom Rothe D 5.8 90' – – – 29 (22%) 5
28 Christopher Trimmel D 5.7 16' – – – 6 (6%) –
4 Zeno Van Den Bosch D 5.6 90' – – – 34 (30%) –
11 Woo-Yeong Jeong M 5.5 27' – – – 9 (7%) –
6 Aljoscha Kemlein M 5.5 63' – – – 26 (21%) 2
2 Felix Uduokhai D 5.4 90' – – 1 48 (41%) –
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Confidence Medium (65%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Bayer Leverkusen win or draw
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Bayer Leverkusen
WWDWL
Union Berlin
LLLDW
Last 3 meetings Bayer Leverkusen · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Bayer Leverkusen enters this Bundesliga clash against Union Berlin with a strong attacking record, averaging 2.5 goals per game this season. Their high possession style (averaging 62% possession) allows them to control the tempo, while their defense has been relatively solid, conceding just 1 goal per match. In contrast, Union Berlin has struggled with consistency, particularly on the road, managing only 1.2 goals per game. Leverkusen's ability to create chances and maintain pressure could prove decisive in this matchup, making them the favorites to secure a victory.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Bayer Leverkusen
P. Schick 4 gls
Christian Kofane 2 gls
Union Berlin
T. Skarke 2 gls

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Head to Head: Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin

1 Bayer Leverkusen Wins
1 Draws
1 Union Berlin Wins
Date Home Score Away
21 Feb 2026 Union Berlin 1 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen
04 Oct 2025 Bayer Leverkusen 2 - 0 Union Berlin
12 Apr 2025 Bayer Leverkusen 0 - 0 Union Berlin
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Bayer Leverkusen — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H RB Leipzig W 2 - 0
16 Sep H Celje W 2 - 0
12 Sep A FC Augsburg D 2 - 2
05 Sep H Union Berlin W 4 - 0
29 Aug A SV Elversberg L 3 - 2

Union Berlin — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep A Bayern München L 7 - 0
11 Sep H FC Schalke 04 L 1 - 3
05 Sep A Bayer Leverkusen L 4 - 0
29 Aug H Eintracht Frankfurt D 3 - 3
23 Aug A Eintracht Braunschweig W 2 - 4

Bundesliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Borussia Dortmund
4 4 0 0 +7 12
2
Bayern München
4 3 1 0 +12 10
3
SC Freiburg
4 3 1 0 +9 10
4
FC Augsburg
4 2 1 1 +5 7
5
Bayer Leverkusen
4 2 1 1 +5 7
6
FSV Mainz 05
4 2 1 1 +4 7
7
SV Elversberg
4 2 1 1 +1 7
8
Werder Bremen
4 2 1 1 0 7
9
RB Leipzig
4 2 0 2 +4 6
10
Eintracht Frankfurt
4 1 2 1 -1 5
11
FC Schalke 04
4 1 2 1 -1 5
12
SC Paderborn 07
4 1 1 2 -2 4
13
1. FC Köln
4 1 1 2 -3 4
14
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 0 3 -3 3
15
VfB Stuttgart
4 1 0 3 -3 3
16
Hamburger SV
4 1 0 3 -11 3
17
Union Berlin
4 0 1 3 -13 1
18
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4 0 0 4 -10 0

Bayer Leverkusen

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Carles Martínez
1 Flekken
3 Gutiérrez
12 Tapsoba
2 Medina
4 Quansah
24 García
6 Fernández
9 Moreira
10 Tillman
30 Maza
14 Schick

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 M. Flekken G
4 J. Quansah D
2 F. Medina D
12 E. Tapsoba D
3 Miguel Gutiérrez D
6 E. Fernández M
24 Aleix García M
30 I. Maza M
10 M. Tillman M
9 Afonso Moreira M
14 P. Schick F

Substitutes

8 R. Andrich M
5 L. Badé D
28 J. Blaswich G
22 V. Boniface F
19 M. Diaby F
7 J. Hofmann M
35 Christian Kofane F
17 Lucas Vázquez D
15 T. Oermann D

Union Berlin

Formation: 4-1-2-1-2 Coach: M. Lustrinelli
1 Rønnow
15 Rothe
4 Bosch
2 Uduokhai
18 Juranović
6 Kemlein
9 Burcu
20 Aebischer
8 Khedira
29 Lath
27 Ljubičić

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 F. Rønnow G
18 J. Juranović D
2 F. Uduokhai D
4 Z. Van Den Bosch D
15 T. Rothe D
6 A. Kemlein M
20 M. Aebischer M
9 Livan Burcu M
8 R. Khedira M
27 M. Ljubičić F
29 E. Latte Lath F

Substitutes

21 T. Skarke M
24 R. Skov M
28 C. Trimmel D
13 A. Schäfer M
31 M. Raab G
14 L. Querfeld D
17 D. Köhn D
11 Jeong Woo-Yeong M
19 J. Haberer M

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