Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV Prediction
Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV prediction: Sportiko gives Borussia Dortmund a 68% chance of winning, Hamburger SV 13% and the draw 20%. Last updated 29 Aug 2026, 18:25.
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Match Report
Borussia Dortmund made a commanding start at Signal Iduna Park, taking the lead through Serhou Guirassy in the ninth minute. Konstantelias doubled the advantage just before the break, and his goal proved decisive as Dortmund headed into half-time with a comfortable 2–0 cushion. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Dortmund win as the most likely outcome at 68%, a call that proved correct.
The second half offered little in the way of a Hamburg comeback. Dortmund controlled possession at 56% and registered 20 total shots to Hamburg's seven, reflecting the home side's dominance throughout. Konstantelias was withdrawn early in the second period, while a flurry of substitutions from both benches disrupted the game's rhythm without altering the scoreline.
The match's defining disciplinary moment came in the 77th minute when Hamburg's Samuele Inacio received a red card, effectively ending any slim hope of a revival. Despite late changes including the introduction of Maximilian Beier, Dortmund saw the game out without difficulty, securing a convincing opening-day victory.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Borussia Dortmund
Match Stats
Borussia Dortmund
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Serhou Guirassy F | 8.1 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 28 (19%) | – |
| 19 Konstantinos Karetsas F | 7.7 | 74' | – | 1 | 6 | 47 (39%) | 1 |
| 3 Waldemar Anton D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 89 (83%) | – |
| 22 Joane Gadou D | 7.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 69 (67%) | 1 |
| 1 Gregor Kobel G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (17%) | – |
| 24 Daniel Svensson D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 72 (69%) | 2 |
| 7 Jobe Bellingham M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 55 (49%) | 4 |
| 36 Kauã Prates D | 7.1 | 6' | – | – | 1 | – | 2 |
| 8 Felix Nmecha M | 7.0 | 74' | – | – | 2 | 48 (42%) | 1 |
| 39 Filippo Mané D | 7.0 | 16' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
| 25 Joey Veerman M | 6.9 | 16' | – | – | 1 | 6 (6%) | – |
| 45 Giannis Konstantelias F | 6.9 | 54' | – | – | 2 | 26 (21%) | 1 |
| 26 Julian Ryerson M | 6.8 | 74' | – | – | – | 29 (27%) | 1 |
| 20 Marcel Sabitzer M | 6.8 | 36' | – | – | – | 14 (10%) | – |
| 14 Maximilian Beier M | 6.7 | 84' | – | – | 5 | 27 (20%) | 2 |
| 40 Samuele Inacio F | 5.7 | 3' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | – |
Hamburger SV
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 68 (55%) | – |
| 6 Albert Sambi Lokonga M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 64 (56%) | 2 |
| 15 Yussuf Poulsen F | 6.6 | 8' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 14 Rayan Philippe F | 6.5 | 1' | – | – | 1 | 3 (2%) | – |
| 11 Albert Grønbæk M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 24 (18%) | – |
| 21 Nicolai Remberg M | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (42%) | – |
| 9 Terem Moffi F | 6.3 | 23' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 18 Bakery Jatta M | 6.3 | 82' | – | – | – | 36 (31%) | 2 |
| 23 Jordan Torunarigha D | 6.1 | 82' | – | – | – | 36 (29%) | 1 |
| 19 Otto Stange F | 6.1 | 23' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | – |
| 5 Martin Adeline M | 6.1 | 67' | – | – | – | 20 (16%) | 1 |
| 4 Bilal Nadir M | 6.0 | 8' | – | – | – | 4 (4%) | – |
| 27 Patson Daka F | 6.0 | 67' | – | – | 3 | 12 (8%) | 1 |
| 24 Nicolás Capaldo D | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (27%) | 3 |
| 37 Louis Lemke M | 5.9 | 89' | – | – | – | 13 (7%) | 2 |
| 33 Sebastiaan Bornauw D | 5.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (33%) | 1 |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
S. Guirassy
2 gls
F. Nmecha
2 gls
No scorer data.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 - 2 | Hamburger SV |
| 08 Nov 2025 | Hamburger SV | 1 - 1 | Borussia Dortmund |
| 10 Feb 2018 | Borussia Dortmund | 2 - 0 | Hamburger SV |
Borussia Dortmund — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A VfB Stuttgart | W | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | H SC Paderborn 07 | W | 3 - 0 |
| 08 Sep | H Villarreal | W | 3 - 2 |
| 05 Sep | A 1899 Hoffenheim | W | 2 - 3 |
| 01 Sep | A HEBC | W | 0 - 5 |
Hamburger SV — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H 1. FC Köln | W | 2 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | A RB Leipzig | L | 5 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | H FSV Mainz 05 | L | 0 - 5 |
| 29 Aug | A Borussia Dortmund | L | 2 - 0 |
| 24 Aug | A Verl | W | 0 - 3 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 2 | +12 | 10 |
| 3 |
SC Freiburg
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 10 |
| 4 |
FC Augsburg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 7 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Werder Bremen
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
RB Leipzig
|
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 |
FC Schalke 04
|
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 |
1. FC Köln
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 |
Hamburger SV
|
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 3 |
| 17 |
Union Berlin
|
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 1 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 0 |
Borussia Dortmund
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: David Pagou
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | G. Kobel | G |
| 22 | Kouakou Joane Gadou | D |
| 3 | W. Anton | D |
| 24 | D. Svensson | D |
| 26 | J. Ryerson | M |
| 7 | J. Bellingham | M |
| 8 | F. Nmecha | M |
| 14 | M. Beier | M |
| 19 | K. Karetsas | F |
| 9 | S. Guirassy | F |
| 45 | G. Konstantelias | F |
Substitutes
| 41 | M. Albert | F |
| 40 | S. Inacio | F |
| 39 | F. Mané | D |
| 33 | A. Meyer | G |
| 36 | Kauã Prates | D |
| 20 | M. Sabitzer | M |
| 21 | Fábio Silva | F |
| 25 | J. Veerman | M |
Hamburger SV
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: David Pagou
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Heuer Fernandes | G |
| 24 | N. Capaldo | D |
| 33 | S. Bornauw | D |
| 23 | J. Torunarigha | D |
| 18 | B. Jatta | M |
| 6 | A. Sambi Lokonga | M |
| 21 | N. Remberg | M |
| 37 | L. Lemke | M |
| 5 | M. Adeline | M |
| 11 | A. Grønbæk | M |
| 27 | P. Daka | F |
Substitutes
| 14 | R. Philippe | F |
| 15 | Y. Poulsen | F |
| 19 | Otto Emerson Stange | F |
| 12 | S. Tangvik | G |
| 9 | T. Moffi | F |
| 4 | B. Nadir | M |
| 8 | Daniel Elfadli | M |
| 22 | Kofi Jeremy Amoako | M |