Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1

29 Aug 2026, 16:30

Post on X

Hamburger SV

Away

AI call Borussia Dortmund to win

82%

15%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV prediction: Sportiko gives Borussia Dortmund a 82% chance of winning, Hamburger SV 3% and the draw 15%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:45.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 20.3%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Borussia Dortmund

WLWWL

Hamburger SV

LDWWL

Last 3 meetings Borussia Dortmund · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Borussia Dortmund will face Hamburger SV. Dortmund has demonstrated a strong attacking prowess, averaging 2.5 goals per match last season, while their defense maintained a solid 1.2 goals conceded per game. Conversely, Hamburger SV struggled defensively, allowing 1.8 goals per match, which could be a critical factor in this matchup. With Dortmund's high pressing and quick transitions, they will likely look to exploit Hamburger's defensive vulnerabilities. A key matchup to watch will be Dortmund's attacking midfielders against HSV's central defenders.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Hamburger SV goals →

	0	1	2
0	8	2
1	17	6	1
2	20	6	1
3	16	5	1
4	9	3
5	4	1

↑ Borussia Dortmund goals · most likely 2–0 (20.3%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

82%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

27%

1.5

73%

53%

2.5

47%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

82%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

96% Home (No Draw) 4% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

58% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

82% Home Scores More 15% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

27%

1.5

73%

53%

2.5

47%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

19%

27%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	1.6%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
1	16.9%	6.0%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.3%	6.1%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
3	15.5%	4.7%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	8.9%	2.7%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

35%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

33%

25%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Hamburger SV
Borussia Dortmund	57.7%	1.3%	0.1%
Draw	23.9%	11.2%	1.5%
Hamburger SV	1.3%	1.4%	1.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

34%

1.5

66%

61%

2.5

39%

82%

3.5

18%

Home Exact Goals

10%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

74%

22%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV

2 Borussia Dortmund Wins

1 Draws

0 Hamburger SV Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Mar 2026	Borussia Dortmund	3 - 2	Hamburger SV
08 Nov 2025	Hamburger SV	1 - 1	Borussia Dortmund
10 Feb 2018	Borussia Dortmund	2 - 0	Hamburger SV

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Borussia Dortmund — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	A FC Tokyo	W	0 - 1
25 Jul	A Fortuna Düsseldorf	L	2 - 1
16 May	A Werder Bremen	W	0 - 2
08 May	H Eintracht Frankfurt	W	3 - 2
03 May	A Borussia Mönchengladbach	L	1 - 0

Hamburger SV — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Everton	L	1 - 2
16 May	A Bayer Leverkusen	D	1 - 1
10 May	H SC Freiburg	W	3 - 2
02 May	A Eintracht Frankfurt	W	1 - 2
25 Apr	H 1899 Hoffenheim	L	1 - 2

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Borussia Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	RB Leipzig	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	VfB Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	1899 Hoffenheim	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	FC Augsburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	FSV Mainz 05	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Union Berlin	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Hamburger SV	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	1. FC Köln	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Werder Bremen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	FC Schalke 04	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	SV Elversberg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	SC Paderborn 07	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.