1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1

29 Aug 2026, 13:30

Post on X

1899 Hoffenheim

Away

AI call Difficult 1899 Hoffenheim win or draw

16%

24%

60%

Home Win Draw Away Win

1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim prediction: Sportiko gives 1. FC Köln a 16% chance of winning, 1899 Hoffenheim 60% and the draw 24%. Last updated 28 Jul 2026, 16:45.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.7%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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1. FC Köln

WLLDL

1899 Hoffenheim

WWLWD

Last 3 meetings 1. FC Köln · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

1. FC Köln faces 1899 Hoffenheim in what promises to be an intriguing Bundesliga clash. Köln has shown defensive solidity at home, conceding only 1.2 goals per match last season, while Hoffenheim's attack has been potent, averaging 1.5 goals per game. The matchup will likely depend on Köln's ability to contain Hoffenheim's forward line, which includes key players capable of exploiting gaps in defense. Additionally, both teams will be keen to start the season strongly, making this a critical early fixture.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

16%

45%

Draw

24%

45%

Away

60%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

1899 Hoffenheim goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	10	11	7	4	1
1	4	12	10	6	3	1
2	2	5	5	3	1	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ 1. FC Köln goals · most likely 1–1 (11.7%)

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Match Result

Away Win

60%

Draw

24%

Home Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

60%

Draw

24%

Home Win

16%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

79% Away (No Draw) 21% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

36% Away Win by 2+ 5% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

60% Away Scores More 24% Equal Goals 16% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

47%

2.5

53%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.3%	10.2%	11.2%	7.2%	3.5%
1	4.0%	11.7%	10.0%	6.5%	3.2%
2	2.4%	4.7%	4.5%	2.9%	1.4%
3	0.7%	1.4%	1.4%	0.9%	0.4%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

63%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

22%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	1. FC Köln	Draw	1899 Hoffenheim
1. FC Köln	8.6%	3.7%	2.6%
Draw	6.5%	15.1%	19.8%
1899 Hoffenheim	1.1%	3.7%	39.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

43%

1.5

57%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Away Exact Goals

15%

28%

27%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: 1. FC Köln vs 1899 Hoffenheim

1 1. FC Köln Wins

2 Draws

0 1899 Hoffenheim Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Feb 2026	1. FC Köln	2 - 2	1899 Hoffenheim
03 Oct 2025	1899 Hoffenheim	0 - 1	1. FC Köln
11 Feb 2024	1899 Hoffenheim	1 - 1	1. FC Köln

See all 10 meetings — Premium

1. FC Köln — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
23 Jul	A Bergisch Gladbach	W	0 - 8
16 May	A Bayern München	L	5 - 1
10 May	H 1. FC Heidenheim	L	1 - 3
02 May	A Union Berlin	D	2 - 2
25 Apr	H Bayer Leverkusen	L	1 - 2

1899 Hoffenheim — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Aug	H Karlsruher SC	W	3 - 0
29 Jul	H Holstein Kiel	W	3 - 1
16 May	A Borussia Mönchengladbach	L	4 - 0
09 May	H Werder Bremen	W	1 - 0
02 May	H VfB Stuttgart	D	3 - 3

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Bayern München	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Borussia Dortmund	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	RB Leipzig	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	VfB Stuttgart	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	1899 Hoffenheim	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Bayer Leverkusen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	FC Augsburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	FSV Mainz 05	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Union Berlin	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Hamburger SV	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	1. FC Köln	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Werder Bremen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	FC Schalke 04	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	SV Elversberg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	SC Paderborn 07	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.