Alaves vs Athletic Club Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 27

07 Mar 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Athletic Club

Away

AI call Athletic Club or draw

32%

30%

38%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Alaves vs Athletic Club prediction: Sportiko gives Alaves a 32% chance of winning, Athletic Club 38% and the draw 30%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Alaves

DLLWW

Athletic Club

DDWWL

Last 3 meetings Alaves · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Alaves faces Athletic Club in what promises to be a closely contested match. Alaves has struggled for consistency this season, currently sitting in the lower half of the table, while Athletic Club is vying for a European spot, showing stronger form in recent matches. The key battle will likely occur in midfield, where Athletic's possession-based approach will challenge Alaves' defensive structure. Set pieces could also be crucial, given both teams' scoring records from corners and free-kicks. Strategic execution will be essential for both sides to secure points in this rivalry.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Athletic Club goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	9	7	3	1
1	8	14	9	4	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Alaves goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Players in form

Alaves

L. Boyé 4 gls

M. Díaz 3 gls

Athletic Club

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

32%

Draw

30%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

38%

Home Win

32%

Draw

30%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

55% Away (No Draw) 45% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

18% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

38% Away Scores More 32% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.4%	8.8%	7.1%	3.2%	1.1%
1	7.8%	14.3%	8.6%	3.9%	1.3%
2	5.7%	7.7%	5.2%	2.3%	0.8%
3	2.3%	3.1%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.7%	0.9%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

66%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Alaves	Draw	Athletic Club
Alaves	18.8%	4.5%	2.1%
Draw	12.2%	18.8%	14.4%
Athletic Club	1.8%	4.5%	22.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Alaves vs Athletic Club

1 Alaves Wins

1 Draws

1 Athletic Club Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Sep 2026	Athletic Club	0 - 0	Alaves
02 May 2026	Alaves	2 - 4	Athletic Club
13 Sep 2025	Athletic Club	0 - 1	Alaves

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Alaves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Athletic Club	D	0 - 0
15 Sep	H Valencia	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Racing Santander	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Osasuna	W	5 - 2
28 Aug	H Villarreal	W	1 - 0

Athletic Club — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Alaves	D	0 - 0
12 Sep	H Elche	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	W	3 - 0
30 Aug	A Celta Vigo	W	0 - 2
27 Aug	A Barcelona	L	2 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.