Real Madrid vs Valencia Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 26

28 Feb 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Valencia

Away

AI call Real Madrid to win or draw

66%

23%

11%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Real Madrid vs Valencia prediction: Sportiko gives Real Madrid a 66% chance of winning, Valencia 11% and the draw 23%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 13.8%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Real Madrid

LWWWL

Valencia

LWLLL

Last 3 meetings Real Madrid · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Real Madrid will face Valencia. Real Madrid has been solid defensively, boasting the best goal difference in the league thus far, while Valencia has struggled with consistency, particularly in away matches. Key players like Vinícius Júnior and Jude Bellingham will be crucial for Madrid's attacking threat, while Valencia will rely on their midfield to disrupt play and create chances. Historically, Madrid has had a favorable record against Valencia, making them the favorites in this encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Valencia goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	4	2
1	13	11	3	1
2	14	10	3	1
3	9	6	2
4	4	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Real Madrid goals · most likely 2–0 (13.8%)

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Players in form

Real Madrid

Kylian Mbappé 7 gls

J. Bellingham 3 gls

Valencia

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

66%

Draw

23%

Away Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

66%

Draw

23%

Away Win

11%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

86% Home (No Draw) 14% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

41% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

66% Home Scores More 23% Equal Goals 11% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.4%	3.7%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
1	12.7%	10.9%	3.3%	0.8%	0.1%
2	13.8%	9.5%	3.3%	0.8%	0.1%
3	9.1%	6.3%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%
4	4.5%	3.1%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Real Madrid	Draw	Valencia
Real Madrid	46.4%	3.3%	0.7%
Draw	19.1%	14.9%	4.8%
Valencia	1.9%	2.9%	6.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

42%

1.5

58%

70%

2.5

30%

88%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

14%

28%

27%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

97%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

50%

35%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Real Madrid vs Valencia

2 Real Madrid Wins

0 Draws

1 Valencia Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Feb 2026	Valencia	0 - 2	Real Madrid
01 Nov 2025	Real Madrid	4 - 0	Valencia
05 Apr 2025	Real Madrid	1 - 2	Valencia

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Real Madrid — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Atletico Madrid	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	A Elche	W	2 - 3
12 Sep	H Rayo Vallecano	W	4 - 1
08 Sep	H Inter	W	2 - 1
04 Sep	A Real Betis	L	1 - 0

Valencia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Real Sociedad	L	2 - 3
15 Sep	A Alaves	W	0 - 1
11 Sep	A Sevilla	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Barcelona	L	0 - 5
30 Aug	A Deportivo La Coruna	L	3 - 1

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.