Alaves vs Racing Santander Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 25

21 Feb 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Racing Santander

Away

AI call Difficult Alaves win or draw

60%

25%

16%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Alaves vs Racing Santander prediction: Sportiko gives Alaves a 60% chance of winning, Racing Santander 16% and the draw 25%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.8%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Alaves

DLLWW

Racing Santander

LLWLW

Last 2 meetings Alaves · 0W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash between Alaves and Racing Santander, both teams will aim to secure vital points. Alaves has shown a stronger home record this season, with a higher average possession percentage and more shots on target compared to Racing Santander. Conversely, Racing Santander has struggled on the road, with a lower goal conversion rate. The matchup will likely hinge on Alaves' ability to exploit defensive gaps in Racing's lineup while maintaining solid defensive organization to counter any counter-attacks. Expect a competitive encounter with both sides looking to assert their style of play.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Racing Santander goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	4	2	1
1	11	12	5	1
2	11	10	4	1
3	7	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Alaves goals · most likely 1–1 (11.8%)

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Players in form

Alaves

L. Boyé 4 gls

M. Díaz 3 gls

Racing Santander

M. Zabiri 6 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

25%

Away Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

60%

Draw

25%

Away Win

16%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

79% Home (No Draw) 21% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

36% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

60% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 16% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.6%	4.1%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%
1	10.5%	11.8%	4.6%	1.4%	0.3%
2	11.4%	10.0%	4.4%	1.3%	0.3%
3	7.2%	6.4%	2.8%	0.8%	0.2%
4	3.5%	3.0%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Alaves	Draw	Racing Santander
Alaves	38.9%	3.7%	1.1%
Draw	19.8%	15.3%	6.5%
Racing Santander	2.6%	3.6%	8.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

44%

1.5

56%

71%

2.5

29%

89%

3.5

12%

Home Exact Goals

15%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Alaves vs Racing Santander

0 Alaves Wins

1 Draws

1 Racing Santander Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Sep 2026	Racing Santander	2 - 1	Alaves
07 Aug 2026	Racing Santander	1 - 1	Alaves

Alaves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Athletic Club	D	0 - 0
15 Sep	H Valencia	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Racing Santander	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Osasuna	W	5 - 2
28 Aug	H Villarreal	W	1 - 0

Racing Santander — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Celta Vigo	L	5 - 0
16 Sep	A Barcelona	L	7 - 2
12 Sep	H Alaves	W	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Rayo Vallecano	L	3 - 2
28 Aug	H Elche	W	3 - 2

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.