Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 24

14 Feb 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Rayo Vallecano

Away

AI call Celta Vigo or draw

48%

31%

21%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano prediction: Sportiko gives Celta Vigo a 48% chance of winning, Rayo Vallecano 21% and the draw 31%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

43%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

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Celta Vigo

WLDDD

Rayo Vallecano

DWLWL

Last 3 meetings Celta Vigo · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Celta Vigo faces Rayo Vallecano in a La Liga clash that promises to be competitive. Celta has shown inconsistencies this season, with a current home record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses. Rayo Vallecano, on the other hand, has been resilient, with a solid away performance that includes 3 wins and 5 losses. The match's outcome may hinge on Celta's ability to convert possession into goals, as they typically dominate the ball but struggle with finishing. Both teams will be keen to secure points to improve their league standings, making this an intriguing matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

48%

10%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

21%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Rayo Vallecano goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	13	8	4	1
1	14	14	5	1
2	10	9	4	1
3	5	4	2
4	2	1	1
5

↑ Celta Vigo goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Players in form

Celta Vigo

No scorer data.

Rayo Vallecano

Sergio Camello 7 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

31%

Away Win

21%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

31%

Away Win

21%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

69% Home (No Draw) 31% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Home Win by 2+ 7% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 21% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

34%

1.5

66%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS No 43% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.0%	7.7%	3.8%	1.0%	0.2%
1	13.8%	14.3%	5.2%	1.4%	0.3%
2	10.5%	8.6%	3.5%	1.0%	0.2%
3	4.8%	3.9%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
4	1.6%	1.3%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Celta Vigo	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
Celta Vigo	28.9%	3.9%	1.0%
Draw	18.3%	21.3%	9.1%
Rayo Vallecano	1.8%	3.9%	11.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

26%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Celta Vigo vs Rayo Vallecano

1 Celta Vigo Wins

1 Draws

1 Rayo Vallecano Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Jan 2026	Celta Vigo	3 - 0	Rayo Vallecano
21 Sep 2025	Rayo Vallecano	1 - 1	Celta Vigo
18 May 2025	Celta Vigo	1 - 2	Rayo Vallecano

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Celta Vigo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	5 - 0
16 Sep	A Omonia Nicosia	L	1 - 0
13 Sep	H Malaga	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	A Getafe	D	1 - 1
03 Sep	A Real Sociedad	D	0 - 0

Rayo Vallecano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Osasuna	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Espanyol	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Real Madrid	L	4 - 1
05 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	3 - 2
31 Aug	A Barcelona	L	5 - 2

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.