Alaves vs Celta Vigo Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 23

07 Feb 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Celta Vigo

Away

AI call Difficult Alaves win or draw

55%

27%

18%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Alaves vs Celta Vigo prediction: Sportiko gives Alaves a 55% chance of winning, Celta Vigo 18% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.8%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Alaves

DLLWW

Celta Vigo

WLDDD

Last 3 meetings Alaves · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Alaves faces Celta Vigo, with both teams vying for critical points in the league. Alaves has struggled with consistency this season, sitting in the lower half of the table, while Celta Vigo has shown more attacking prowess, ranked higher and often capitalizing on opponent errors. Key players to watch include Alaves’ top scorer, who needs to convert chances, and Celta's dynamic forward line that has been effective in breaking down defenses. The match will likely hinge on Alaves' ability to contain Celta's offense and convert set-pieces, making for an intriguing tactical battle.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

55%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

18%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Celta Vigo goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	9	5	3	1
1	11	13	5	1
2	11	10	4	1
3	6	6	2	1
4	3	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Alaves goals · most likely 1–1 (12.8%)

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Players in form

Alaves

L. Boyé 4 gls

M. Díaz 3 gls

Celta Vigo

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

27%

Away Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

27%

Away Win

18%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

76% Home (No Draw) 24% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

31% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 18% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.0%	5.1%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%
1	11.4%	12.8%	5.0%	1.5%	0.3%
2	11.1%	9.8%	4.3%	1.3%	0.3%
3	6.4%	5.6%	2.5%	0.7%	0.2%
4	2.7%	2.4%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

34%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Alaves	Draw	Celta Vigo
Alaves	35.2%	3.9%	1.1%
Draw	19.4%	17.1%	7.5%
Celta Vigo	2.4%	3.8%	9.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

49%

1.5

51%

76%

2.5

24%

91%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

18%

31%

27%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Alaves vs Celta Vigo

1 Alaves Wins

1 Draws

1 Celta Vigo Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Mar 2026	Celta Vigo	3 - 4	Alaves
22 Nov 2025	Alaves	0 - 1	Celta Vigo
27 Jan 2025	Alaves	1 - 1	Celta Vigo

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Alaves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Athletic Club	D	0 - 0
15 Sep	H Valencia	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Racing Santander	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Osasuna	W	5 - 2
28 Aug	H Villarreal	W	1 - 0

Celta Vigo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	5 - 0
16 Sep	A Omonia Nicosia	L	1 - 0
13 Sep	H Malaga	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	A Getafe	D	1 - 1
03 Sep	A Real Sociedad	D	0 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.