Real Sociedad vs Malaga Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 21

24 Jan 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Malaga

Away

AI call Difficult Malaga win or draw

19%

26%

55%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Real Sociedad vs Malaga prediction: Sportiko gives Real Sociedad a 19% chance of winning, Malaga 55% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.6%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Real Sociedad

WLLWD

Malaga

LLDDL

Last 3 meetings Real Sociedad · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga match, Real Sociedad will host Malaga. Sociedad has shown strong form at home, leveraging a solid defense and effective ball control, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season. Malaga, on the other hand, struggles on the road and has a defensive record that could be exposed by Sociedad's attacking prowess. Given the current standings, Sociedad is favored to secure the victory, particularly if they maintain their high possession percentage and capitalize on set pieces.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Malaga goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	10	10	6	3	1
1	5	13	10	6	3	1
2	3	5	5	3	1
3	1	2	2	1
4
5

↑ Real Sociedad goals · most likely 1–1 (12.6%)

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Players in form

Real Sociedad

L. Sučić 3 gls

Malaga

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

55%

Draw

26%

Home Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

55%

Draw

26%

Home Win

19%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

74% Away (No Draw) 26% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

31% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 19% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.0%	10.2%	10.3%	6.1%	2.7%
1	4.8%	12.6%	9.9%	5.9%	2.6%
2	3.0%	5.4%	4.8%	2.8%	1.3%
3	1.0%	1.7%	1.5%	0.9%	0.4%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Real Sociedad	Draw	Malaga
Real Sociedad	9.4%	3.2%	1.9%
Draw	8.4%	16.2%	16.7%
Malaga	1.6%	4.8%	37.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Real Sociedad vs Malaga

0 Real Sociedad Wins

1 Draws

2 Malaga Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Apr 2018	Malaga	2 - 0	Real Sociedad
10 Dec 2017	Real Sociedad	0 - 2	Malaga
14 May 2017	Real Sociedad	2 - 2	Malaga

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Real Sociedad — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Valencia	W	2 - 3
17 Sep	H Bournemouth	L	1 - 2
13 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	L	0 - 3
07 Sep	A Elche	W	2 - 3
03 Sep	H Celta Vigo	D	0 - 0

Malaga — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Getafe	L	1 - 0
17 Sep	H Villarreal	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	A Celta Vigo	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Levante	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A Real Madrid	L	4 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.