Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 20

17 Jan 2027, 16:00

Post on X

Real Sociedad

Away

AI call Atletico Madrid to win

82%

15%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad prediction: Sportiko gives Atletico Madrid a 82% chance of winning, Real Sociedad 3% and the draw 15%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 20%

Both teams to score

25%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Atletico Madrid

WWWLL

Real Sociedad

WLLWD

Last 3 meetings Atletico Madrid · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Atletico Madrid faces Real Sociedad in a La Liga clash that promises to be tightly contested. Atletico has historically excelled defensively, often leveraging a strong home record, while Real Sociedad has shown resilience and tactical flexibility this season. The key matchup will likely be in midfield, where Atletico's physicality will be tested by Sociedad's technical prowess. Both teams are currently in contention for European spots, making this fixture crucial for their ambitions. Expect a tactical battle with limited scoring opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Real Sociedad goals →

	0	1	2
0	8	2
1	16	6	1
2	20	6	1
3	16	5	1
4	9	3
5	4	1

↑ Atletico Madrid goals · most likely 2–0 (20.0%)

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Players in form

Atletico Madrid

Álex Baena 4 gls

J. David 3 gls

Real Sociedad

L. Sučić 3 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

82%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

75% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

75%

3.5

25%

90%

4.5

10%

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

82%

Draw

15%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

97% Home (No Draw) 3% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

59% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

82% Home Scores More 15% Equal Goals 3% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

75%

3.5

25%

90%

4.5

10%

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

75% BTTS No 25% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

26%

23%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.9%	1.6%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
1	16.3%	6.0%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.0%	6.2%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%
3	15.6%	4.9%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
4	9.2%	2.9%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

24%

33%

25%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

35%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid	64.9%	1.6%	0.1%
Draw	17.6%	10.7%	1.5%
Real Sociedad	0.9%	1.2%	1.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

33%

1.5

67%

60%

2.5

40%

82%

3.5

18%

Home Exact Goals

10%

23%

27%

21%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

63%

1.5

37%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

73%

23%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

86%

0.5

14%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad

2 Atletico Madrid Wins

1 Draws

0 Real Sociedad Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
13 Sep 2026	Real Sociedad	0 - 3	Atletico Madrid
07 Mar 2026	Atletico Madrid	3 - 2	Real Sociedad
04 Jan 2026	Real Sociedad	1 - 1	Atletico Madrid

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Atletico Madrid — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Real Madrid	W	2 - 1
16 Sep	H Osasuna	W	4 - 0
13 Sep	A Real Sociedad	W	0 - 3
09 Sep	A Liverpool	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Athletic Club	L	3 - 0

Real Sociedad — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Valencia	W	2 - 3
17 Sep	H Bournemouth	L	1 - 2
13 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	L	0 - 3
07 Sep	A Elche	W	2 - 3
03 Sep	H Celta Vigo	D	0 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.