Barcelona vs Real Sociedad Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 17

20 Dec 2026, 16:00

Post on X

Real Sociedad

Away

Camp Nou, Barcelona

AI call Barcelona to win

87%

11%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Barcelona vs Real Sociedad prediction: Sportiko gives Barcelona a 87% chance of winning, Real Sociedad 2% and the draw 11%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 17.1%

Both teams to score

30%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

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Barcelona

WWWWW

Real Sociedad

WLLWD

Last 3 meetings Barcelona · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In this La Liga clash, Barcelona faces Real Sociedad, both teams showcasing strong performances this season. Barcelona holds a potent attack, averaging 2.3 goals per game, while Sociedad boasts a solid defense, conceding only 1.2 goals per match. The midfield battle will be crucial, with Barcelona's possession game likely testing Sociedad's resilience. Given their current form, Barcelona is favored, but Sociedad's ability to counterattack could make this a tightly contested match. Expect tactical adjustments as both teams aim to secure vital points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Real Sociedad goals →

	0	1	2
0	5	1
1	11	5	1
2	17	6	1
3	17	6	1
4	12	5	1
5	7	3

↑ Barcelona goals · most likely 2–0 (17.1%)

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Players in form

Barcelona

Raphinha 12 gls

Lamine Yamal 7 gls

Fermín 4 gls

K. Adeyemi 2 gls

Real Sociedad

L. Sučić 3 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

87%

Draw

11%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

70% BTTS No 30% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

17%

1.5

83%

39%

2.5

61%

63%

3.5

37%

83%

4.5

17%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

87%

Draw

11%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

97% Home (No Draw) 3% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

68% Home Win by 2+ 0% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

87% Home Scores More 11% Equal Goals 2% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

17%

1.5

83%

39%

2.5

61%

63%

3.5

37%

83%

4.5

17%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

70% BTTS No 30% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

22%

24%

20%

13%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

50% Even Total Goals 50% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.5%	0.9%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
1	11.1%	4.9%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
2	17.1%	6.3%	1.2%	0.1%	0.0%
3	16.8%	6.2%	1.2%	0.1%	0.0%
4	12.3%	4.6%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

52%

1.5

48%

79%

2.5

21%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

21%

31%

26%

14%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

48%

1.5

52%

76%

2.5

24%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

29%

27%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Barcelona	Draw	Real Sociedad
Barcelona	69.1%	1.4%	0.2%
Draw	18.3%	6.8%	1.2%
Real Sociedad	1.1%	0.9%	1.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

23%

1.5

77%

47%

2.5

53%

72%

3.5

28%

Home Exact Goals

17%

25%

24%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

56%

1.5

44%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

69%

26%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

86%

0.5

14%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

80%

0.5

20%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Barcelona vs Real Sociedad

2 Barcelona Wins

0 Draws

1 Real Sociedad Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Jan 2026	Real Sociedad	2 - 1	Barcelona
28 Sep 2025	Barcelona	2 - 1	Real Sociedad
02 Mar 2025	Barcelona	4 - 0	Real Sociedad

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Barcelona — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Sevilla	W	1 - 3
16 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	7 - 2
13 Sep	A Levante	W	2 - 4
09 Sep	H Feyenoord	W	5 - 1
06 Sep	A Valencia	W	0 - 5

Real Sociedad — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Valencia	W	2 - 3
17 Sep	H Bournemouth	L	1 - 2
13 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	L	0 - 3
07 Sep	A Elche	W	2 - 3
03 Sep	H Celta Vigo	D	0 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.